Monday, February 1, 2016

New Methods Needed To Assess Stallion's Ability



©2016 Calvin L. Carter. All rights reserved.

          In a recent, very good Racing Post article: New methods needed to assess stallion’s ability, bloodstock agent Jocelyn de Moubray writes that since the 1990’s the bloodstock world has dramatically changed and the current methodology used in measuring the worth of a stallion and his progeny also needs to change.
“IT IS time we all forgot about averages,” writes de Moubray. “The bloodstock world has been transformed beyond all recognition over the last 25 years, and yet the way we analyise stallions, races and many other variables has hardly changed at all.”
To see how the bloodstock world has changed, writes de Moubray, all one needs is to look at the total number of stallions and the large number of progeny currently being offered for sale:

“In 1992 there were only nine stallions with ten or more progeny in the catalogue for the select Tattersalls yearling sale…These stallions had a total of 115 yearlings catalogued, which represented 20 per cent of the total. Fast forward to 2015 and the picture is very different indeed. In 2015 there were 22 sires with ten or more yearlings catalogued in Book 1 of the Tattersalls October Yearling Sale, and they represented 70 per cent of the catalogue…
 “Stallions are going to continue to cover large books of mares and so it is time to react to this inevitable development, and to work out new ways of assessing a stallion's ability and whether or not a particular stallion at a particular price is the right one to choose for your mare. If you are only looking at earnings and averages, the chances are that you are not going to make the right decision.”

Indeed, my brother, Dallas, and I, agree wholeheartedly with de Moubray.
My brother Dallas and I have developed a software program called the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®. We see our software as the solution: “A New Vision, Standard Of Excellence, For An Old Industry.” And, we are confident that it will revolutionize the Thoroughbred racing and breeding industry.
For the first time in the history of the Thoroughbred, the empirical evidence gathered through the robust power of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® software shows that the pedigree is the only true standard, indicator of horse performance, especially of their classic potential.
The software assigns each horse a profile score. The higher the score the more potential that horse has to be a top-quality stakes winner or a winner of a classic race like the Kentucky Derby.
The Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® is a powerful tool that helps horse owners and breeders take the guesswork breeding their horses. In addition, the profile is a powerful sales analytical tool for horse buyers, helping them make the best decisions and investments when buying horses at auction.
For example, Carpe Diem was a $1.6 million dollar purchase as a 2YO in training. However, our software profile accurately predicted he would not finish in the money in the 2015 Kentucky Derby.
Some unique features of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®:


  • It unlocks the secret of the Ancestral Herd influence.

  • Is a valuable breeding analytical tool that shows horse owners and breeders how a mare can upgrade or downgrade a stallion she is bred to through the profile score of the foal from that mating.

  • Shows if the foal has the potential to be a quality stakes horse or classic champion.

  • Shows horse owners how their entire bloodstock can be upgraded by using the profile score to help them make the best breeding decisions resulting in less overbreeding and fewer potential equine welfare issues.

  • Is a valuable Thoroughbred sales analytical tool that shows buyers how to make the best decisions and investments when buying horses at auction.

  • Shows which horses purchased at auction may have the potential to be a top-quality stakes winner while a select few will have a profile score that indicates they could be a winner of a classic race like the Kentucky Derby.


In addition, the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® has proven to be an excellent handicapping tool.
Triple Crown winner American Pharoah was correctly identified by our software as one of six horses with the potential to win the 2015 Kentucky Derby (G1). The software also accurately predicted that 70% of the horses entered in the race had no chance of winning. To read about those results, please click here. The Preakness results were even better and you can read about that here.
The analysis for this year’s Belmont Stakes (G1) was best of the Triple Crown and provided a nice payoff to blog readers that may have used my picks, netting them the Exacta ($13.60), Trifecta ($109.50) and Superfecta ($570.00).
In addition, the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® software was also instrumental in picking the top performers in the major prep races leading up to Kentucky Derby 141. You can read about those results here.
Since the Belmont, analysis for the Smarty Jones Stakes could have potentially netted blog readers the Exacta ($264.20) and Trifecta ($1,003.20). And, analysis for the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) also proved profitable as a two dollar wager on the exotics netted the Exacta ($37.80), Trifecta ($320.20) and Superfecta ($1,474.00.

*****
If you are planning to breed, or purchase at auction, a potential classic-winning Thoroughbred, the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® is the analytical tool you need to take the guesswork out of buying and breeding champion racehorses.
The empirical data of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® will easily show you which horses have the potential to be classic champions while other horses may only be quality stakes winners.
The profile will give you the important information necessary to make the best decisions and investments when breeding or buying horses at auction. For a free consultation, please contact us at my website Classic Champion Thoroughbreds, LLC.

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