Recent
developments, due to the Coronavirus pandemic, have resulted in the
cancellation of numerous sporting events. However, Horse Racing is still in
operation at most tracks, minus racing fans. Keeneland
cancelled its entire spring meet and Aqueduct
suspended live racing until further notice. Churchill Downs has moved the date
of Kentucky Derby to September 5 and also reported
that soon they will add additional points races to Derby trail to fill the gap
from May to September.
This
Saturday, the Road to the Kentucky Derby
takes us to Fair Grounds
Race Course where ENFORCEABLE has been tabbed as the 7-2
morning-line favorite in the 107th running of the $1 million
Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby (G2). Post time is 5:49 p.m. ET and this is the
first year in the Derby’s lengthy history that it will be run at 1 3/16 miles.
Enforceable
comes into this race for trainer Mark Casse with a 2-2-2 record in eight starts
including a second-place finish in the Risen Star Stakes (G2), Division I.
Here’s the video
and chart call of that race:
ENFORCEABLE
broke a step slow, went three wide on the first turn, moved up on the
backstretch, advanced closer while in hand in the three path on the far turn,
moved to the four path outside the quarter-pole, was roused while swinging six
wide into the stretch and finished with good energy to get the place.
Enforceable
ran toward the back of the herd early. At the half he was in ninth place and
began to move forward to the far turn when he swung to the outside and made a long,
sustained drive to get up for second place.
Tapit,
the sire of Enforceable, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a
3-0-0 record in six starts with $557,300 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Tapit was undefeated
in two starts including a win in the Laurel Futurity (G3). Tapit was troubled by a lung infection for
much of his three-year-old season but he did win the nine-furlong Wood Memorial
Stakes (G1) in route to a ninth-place finish in the 2004 Kentucky Derby.
At stud, Tapit has sired numerous
graded stakes winners including the Belmont Stakes (G1) champions Tapwrit
(2017), Creator
(2016) and Tonalist
(2014). In addition to Enforceable, other runners on the Derby trail include Frosted,
Hansen,
Cupid,
Ring
Weekend, Constitution,
Mohaymen
and Hofburg.
A
full brother to Mohaymen and a half-brother to New Year’s Day, Enforceable is a colt (Hip 76) we profiled at the 2018
Keeneland September Yearling Sale and he has an A Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile®.
Enforceable
has the breeding to win this race. He’s been training well at the Fair Grounds
and he has room to take another big step forward in his third start of the
season.
A
long shot I like is WELLS BAYOU (8-1). He’s trained by Brad Cox
and he comes into this race with a 2-1-0 record in four starts including a second-place
finish in the Southwest Stakes (G3) at Oaklawn Park. Here’s the video
and chart call of that race:
WELLS
BAYOU broke alertly, showed the way into the first turn, set an uncontested
pace up the backstretch and into the far turn, continued to show the way into
the lane toward the inside, responded when the winner came alongside soon
after, proved stubborn in the drive, clearly second best.
Wells
Bayou led from the start, setting fast fractions to the stretch where he grudgingly
relinquished the lead to Silver Prospector
who won by one length at the wire.
Lookin at Lucky, the sire of Wells Bayou, was a multiple
graded-stakes winner that compiled a 9-1-1 record in 13 starts with $3,307,278
in career earnings.
Undefeated
in four starts, Lookin at Lucky scored impressive stakes victories as a two
year old in the Best Pal Stakes (G2), Del Mar Futurity (G1) and Norfolk Stakes
(G1), before suffering his first loss by a neck to Vale of York in the 2009 Grey Goose Breeders’ Cup Juvenile
Stakes (G1). He came back from that loss to close the season with a win in the
CashCall Futurity Stakes (G1).
As
a three year old, Lookin at Lucky won the Rebel Stakes (G2) and he finished
third in the Santa Anita Derby (G1) en route to a sixth-place finish in the
Kentucky Derby (G1). Lookin at Lucky went on to earn Classic Champion
Thoroughbred honors with a three-quarter length victory in the Preakness Stakes
(G1).
Wells
Bayou is a colt we profiled as a yearling (Hip 3281) at the 2018 Keeneland September
Yearling Sale and he has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®. He’s an
improving colt and I look for Wells Bayou to take another big step forward in
his third start of the season.
CHESTERTOWN (15-1) comes into this race with
a 1-2-1 record in four starts for trainer Steve Asmussen including a
second-place finish running 11/8 miles last out at the Fair Grounds.
Here’s the chart
call:
CHESTERTOWN
broke a length slowly, was last into the first turn and appeared to not corner
well while keen to go on racing on or just off the rail, moved out a bit and
advanced two wide between foes into the far turn going two to three wide on
that bend, lacked room in behind runners in upper stretch briefly before moving
out past the three-sixteenths, once clear ran on well but was too late and
missed.
Chestertown
ran well for most of the race but in the final yards he appeared to come to
life and made a nice move to close ground and narrowly lose by a neck.
Tapit,
the sire of Chestertown, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a
3-0-0 record in six starts with $557,300 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Tapit was
undefeated in two starts including a win in the Laurel Futurity (G3). Tapit was troubled by a lung infection for
much of his three-year-old season but he did win the nine-furlong Wood Memorial
Stakes (G1) in route to a ninth-place finish in the 2004 Kentucky Derby.
At stud, Tapit has sired numerous
graded stakes winners including the Belmont Stakes (G1) champions Tapwrit
(2017), Creator
(2016) and Tonalist
(2014). Other runners on the Derby trail include Frosted,
Enforceable,
Hansen,
Cupid,
Ring
Weekend, Constitution,
Moyhaymen
and Hofburg.
Chestertown
has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®. He has the breeding to win
this race and room to improve in his third start of the season. Time will tell
if he can step up to earn graded stakes honors.
MAJOR FED (8-1), with a 1-1-1 record in three starts, comes
into this race for trainer Greg Foley off a second-place finish in the Risen
Star Stakes (G2), Division II. Here’s the video
and chart
call:
MAJOR
FED went three wide on the first turn, was rated off the pace, came under
urging while three wide on the far turn, was driven five wide into the stretch,
pursued the winner in the drive and finished willingly for the place.
Major
Fed ran mid-herd tracking the leaders to the far turn to where he swung wide
and made up ground but came up short at the wire by one length.
Ghostzapper,
a 2012 Hall of Fame inductee and the sire of Major Fed, was an incredibly talented, multiple graded stakes winner that
compiled a 9-0-1 record in 11 starts with $3,466,120 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Ghostzapper
won his maiden special weight debut by nine lengths and was 1-0-0 in two
starts. At the age of three, Ghostzapper won the Vosburgh Stakes (G1) and
finished third in the King’s Bishop (G1), compiling a 3-0-1 record in four
starts.
As a four-year-old, Ghostzapper
was undefeated in four starts winning the Tom Fool Handicap (G2), Philip H.
Iselin Breeders’ Cup Handicap (G3), Woodward Stakes (G1) and the Breeders’ Cup
Classic Powered by Dodge (G1). In addition, Ghostzapper was selected as the
2004 Eclipse Horse of the Year and Eclipse Champion Older Horse.
In his only start as a
five-year-old, Ghostzapper was a 6 ¼ length winner of the one-mile Metropolitan
Handicap (G1).
As
a stallion, Ghostzapper’s leading lifetime runners include: Shaman Ghost, Moreno, Judy the Beauty, Paulassilverlining, Better Lucky, Stately Victor, Molly Morgan, Contested and McCraken to name a few.
Major
Fed has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he has the breeding to
be a factor in this race.
Honorable
mention goes to Silver
State (6-1), Sharecropper
(20-1) and especially the also eligible Mr.
Big News (20-1) if
he draws into the race.
Sharecropper
has a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s a colt we profiled as a
yearling (Hip 179)
at the Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Select Yearling Sale. Mr. Big News has an A+
Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s a colt we profiled (Hip
3) at
the 2018 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October Yearling Sale. He’s the best-bred colt
in this herd of runners and, he has the breeding to win this race.
*****
A
total of 35 races comprise the Road to the Kentucky Derby. In addition, there
are seven races on the European road to the Kentucky Derby and there three
races on the Japan road to Derby glory.
2020 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Authentic,
60, Bob Baffert, $300,000
2. Ete Indien, 54,
Patrick Biancone, $288,156
3. Nadal,
50, Bob Baffert, $720,000
4. Mischievous
Alex, 50, John Servis, $308,410
5. Modernist, 50,
Bill Mott, $240,000
6. King Guillermo,
50, Juan Carlos Avila, $217,050
7. +Enforceable, 33, Mark
Casse, $344,550
8. Storm the Court, 32, Peter Eurton, $1,196,351
9. Sole Volante, 30, Patrick Biancone, $243,510
10. Thousand Words, 25, Bob Baffert, $205,000
11. Tiz the Law,
22, Barclay Tagg, $456,000
12. Silver Prospector, 21, Steve Asmussen, $661,518
** . Field Pass, 20, Mike Maker, $229,960
13. Excession, 20, Steve Asmussen, $206,000
14. Honor A.P., 20, John Shirreffs, $80,000
15. Major Fed, 20, Greg Foley, $80,000
16. Candy Tycoon, 20, Todd Pletcher, $76,000
17. Untitled, 20, Mark Casse, $67,275
18. Shotski, 19, Jeremiah O’Dwyer, $212,466
19. Independence Hall, 14, Mike Trombetta, $205,000
20. Silver State, 14, Steve Asmussen, $80,000
21. +Azul Coast, 14, Bob Baffert, $80,000
29. +Max Player, 10, Linda Rice, $137,500
34. +Invader, 8, Wesley Ward, $107,140
36. +Scabbard, 6, Eddie Kenneally, $178,000
45. +Wells Bayou, 4, Brad Cox, $150,000
+ Nadal (Hip 1279), Enforceable (Hip 76), Excession (Hip
855),
Azul
Coast (Hip
1177),
Max Player (Hip
929),
Invader (Hip 371), Scabbard (Hip
802)
and Wells Bayou (Hip 3281)
were colts we profiled
at the 2018 Keeneland September Yearling Sale. Unlike other companies that
provide automatic computer-generated pedigree analysis of yearlings at auction,
Classic Champion Thoroughbreds LLC personally handpicks from the sales catalog
all yearlings to be profiled at auction based upon
their breeding.
* Mr.
Monomoy, with 52 Derby points, is off the Kentucky Derby Trail due to a minor
ankle injury. S-King Guillermo was supplemented to
the Triple Crown. ** Field Pass, with 20 Derby points, is not nominated to the
Triple Crown.
EUROPEAN
ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking,
total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Chares (GER), 20, Jane Chapple-Hyam, $80,819
2.
Crossfirehurricane, 20, Joseph O’Brien, $49,507
3.
Kameko, 14, Andrew Balding, $192,894
4.
Innisfree (IRE), 14, Aidan O’Brien, $127,856
5.
Victor Ludorum, 10, Andre Fabre, $250,958
6.
Royal Donarch (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $115,813
7.
Alson (GER), 4, J.P. Carvalho, $135,572
8.
Shekhem (IRE), 4, Dermot Weld, $24,068
9.
Year of the Tiger (IRE), 3, Aidan O’Brien $36,086
10.
Armory (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $258,793
11.
Iberia (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $25,389
12.
Gold Maze (GB), 2, Jessica Harrington, $12,034
13.
Mogul (GB), 1, Aidan O’Brien, $111,879
14.
Ecrivain (FR), 1, Carlos Laffon-Parias, $69.202
15.
Camorra (IRE), 1, Ger Lyons, $3,610
JAPAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Café Pharoah, 30, Noriyuki Hori, $234,290
2.
Vacation (JPN), 20, Kenichi Takatsuki, $499,874
3.
Tango Beauty (JPN), 12, Masato Nishizono, $329,346
4.
Dieu du Vin (JPN), 10, Yukihiro Kato, $159,609
5.
Yaugau (JPN), 6, Naosuke Sugai, $182,385
6.
Longonot (JPN), 3, Mizuki Takayanagi, $158,202
7.
Daimei Corrida (JPN), 2, Naoyuki Morita, $107,736
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