©2020 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
The Road to the Kentucky Derby will log a lot of miles this
Saturday with three qualifying races from coast-to-coast. On the east coast,
the Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (G2) post time is 5:32 p.m. ET and the
Gotham Stakes (G3) post time is 5:42 p.m. On the west coast, the San Felipe
Stakes (G2) post is 6:00 p.m. ET.
Let’s
look at the $400,000 San Felipe Stakes (G2) where AUTHENTIC, who’s undefeated in two starts,
will go to the starting gate as 6-5 morning-line favorite.
Trainer Bob Baffert brings
Authentic into this race off an impressive win in the Sham Stakes (3). Here’s
the video and chart
call:
AUTHENTIC sped to the early lead
inside, set the pace a bit off the rail, was ridden along to widen in upper
stretch, ducked inward in mid-stretch and again a sixteenth out and won clear
in hand.
Authentic took the lead early and
was in control throughout, pulling away in the stretch, though a bit green, to
win by 7¾ lengths.
Into
Mischief, the sire of Authentic, was a
precocious colt and multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a 3-3-0 record
in six starts with $597,080 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Into Mischief
easily won his maiden debut by 2½ lengths at Santa Anita Park on October 21,
2007. He went on to finish second in the Hollywood Prevue Stakes (G3) and
followed that with a win in the 8½-furlong CashCall Futurity (G1). His finish
time of 1:40.82 was just a few ticks off of the record time of 1:40.74 set by Afternoon
Deelites and the second fastest time of
1:40.78 set by Valiant
Nature.
In his debut as a three-year-old
in February 2008, Into Mischief finished second to Georgie Boy
in the San Vicente Stakes (G2). He came out of that race with an injury
to his right-hind foot and he was taken off the Triple Crown Trail.
After an extended break, Into
Mischief returned to racing in October winning the Damascus Stakes by two
lengths. In December, Into Mischief finished his racing season with a
second-place finish in the Malibu Stakes (G1).
Into Mischief’s best runners on
the Kentucky Derby Trail have been Audible,
Goldencents,
Practical
Joke, Vyjack
and Vicar’s in
Trouble. Audible won the Holy Bull
Stakes (G2) and Florida Derby (G1) en route to a third-place finish in the
Kentucky Derby (G1). Goldencents won the Santa Anita Derby and finished 17th
in the Kentucky Derby (G1). Practical Joke finished second in the Toyota Blue
Grass Stakes (G2) and fifth in the Derby. Vyjack finished third in the Wood
Memorial Stakes (G1) and 18th in the Derby. Vicar’s in Trouble won
the Louisiana Derby and finished 19th in the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Harlan’s
Holiday, the grandsire of Audible, won
the Florida Derby (G1), Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G1) and finished seventh in
the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Authentic
has a F Classic Champion Thoroughbred
Profile®
and his Behavior Index makes him competitive in this
race. He’s been training nicely since the Sham and two bullet work outs could
have him ready to take another step forward in his second start of the season.
A long shot I like is FORT
MCHENRY
(20-1) who’s making his debut for new trainer Doug O’Neil. Fort McHenry comes into
this race with a 1-1-1 record in five starts for trainer Todd Pletcher including
a third-place finish last out. Here’s the chart
call
of that race:
FORT MCHENRY stumbled at the
start recovering outwards into TIGER ROAD, showed the way in hand three to four
wide down the backstretch, tucked to the two path half a mile from home, came
under coaxing near the quarter pole, cut the corner into upper stretch, dug in
coming under threat and lugged in towards the rail scraping the paint and
unwilling to switch to the correct lead while under off sided stick work, clung
to the front until displaced seventy yards from home, came under a near sided
stick and drifted out late bobbling as he switched leads in the last jumps to
the wire.
Fort McHenry led from the start
but faded in the stretch to relinquish the lead and finish just 1¼ lengths shy
of victory.
Tapit,
the sire of Fort McHenry, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a
3-0-0 record in six starts with $557,300 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Tapit was
undefeated in two starts including a win in the Laurel Futurity (G3). Tapit was troubled by a lung infection for
much of his three-year-old season but he did win the nine-furlong Wood Memorial
Stakes (G1) in route to a ninth-place finish in the 2004 Kentucky Derby.
At stud, Tapit has sired numerous
graded stakes winners including the Belmont Stakes (G1) champions Tapwrit
(2017), Creator
(2016) and Tonalist
(2014). Other runners on the Derby trail include Frosted,
Enforceable,
Hansen,
Cupid,
Ring
Weekend, Constitution,
Mohaymen
and Hofburg.
A half-brother to California
Chrome,
Fort McHenry has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s a colt we
profiled as a yearling (Hip
141)
at the 2018 Keeneland September Yearling Sale.
Fort McHenry gets the blinkers
off for new trainer O’Neil. He has room to improve in his second start of the
season, and the breeding to win, but he’ll have to improve his game to earn graded
stakes honors.
HONOR A.P. (4-1) comes into this race with
a 1-1-0 record in two starts for trainer John Shirreffs including a maiden win
last out. Here’s the chart
call:
HONOR A. P. had speed inside to
set a pressured pace, inched away on the second turn and drew clear in the
final furlong under a couple backhanded taps of the whip and steady handling
then a hold late.
Honor A.P. led from the start and
pulled away in the stretch to win by an easy 5¼ lengths.
Honor Code,
the sire of Honor A.P., was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a
6-2-2 record in 11 starts with $2,518,260 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Honor Code was
2-1-0 in three starts with wins in the Foxwoods Champagne Stakes (G1) and
Remsen Stakes (G2).
Honor Code finished third in his
season debut as a three-year-old, but an injury
knocked him off the Kentucky Derby Trail.
At the age of four, Honor Code was
3-0-2 in six starts with wins in the Gulfstream Park Handicap (G2), NYRA.com
Metropolitan Handicap (G1) and Whitney Stakes (G1). He finished third in the
Kelso Handicap (G2) and Breeders’ Cup Classic Stakes (G1).
Honor A.P. has an A+ Classic
Champion Thorougbred Profile® and he’s the best-bred horse in this herd.
He’s been training well since his
last race and time will tell if he can a big step on class to win graded stakes
honors.
THOUSAND
WORDS
(9-5) is also trained by Baffert and he comes into this race, undefeated in
three starts, off a win in the $100,000 Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3) at Santa Anita
Park. Here’s
the video and chart call of that race:
THOUSAND WORDS saved ground
stalking the pace, came out into the stretch, bid alongside the pacesetter
under urging past the eighth pole, took a slim advantage in deep stretch and
held between foes late.
Thousand Words tracked the leaders while racing
along the rail then made a long, sustained move in the stretch to get up at the
wire and win by three-quarters of a length.
Pioneerof
the Nile, the sire of Thousand Words, was
a pretty good middle-distance runner and multiple graded-stakes winner that
compiled a 2-0-1 record as a two-year-old including a win in the CashCall
Futurity (G1) and a third-place finish in the Lane’s End Breeders’ Futurity
(G1).
As a three-year-old, Pioneerof
the Nile was 3-0-1 in five starts with wins in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G2),
San Felipe Stakes (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) in route to a second-place
finish in the 2009 Kentucky Derby (G1).
As a stallion, his best runners to date
on the Kentucky Derby Trail include Triple Crown winner American Pharoah,
Classic
Empire and Cairo Prince.
Thousand Words has a B Classic Champion
Thoroughbred Profile® and that makes him competitive in this race.
Thousand Words has been training
well and I look for him to run a good race.
*****
A
total of 35 races comprise the Road to the Kentucky Derby. In addition, there
are seven races on the European road to the Kentucky Derby and there three
races on the Japan road to Derby glory.
2020 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Ete Indien, 54,
Patrick Biancone, $288,156
2. Modernist, 50,
Bill Mott, $240,000
3. +Enforceable, 33, Mark
Casse, $344,550
4. Storm the Court, 22, Peter Eurton, $1,136,351
5. Tiz the Law, 22,
Barclay Tagg, $456,000
6. Silver Prospector, 21, Steve Asmussen, $654,851
7. Thousand Words, 20, Bob Baffert, $181,000
8. Major Fed, 20, Greg Foley, $80,000
9. Candy Tycoon, 20, Todd Pletcher, $76,000
10. Shotski, 19, Jeremiah O’Dwyer, $212,466
11. Independence Hall, 14, Mike Trombetta, $205,000
12. Silver State, 14, Steve Asmussen, $80,000
13. +Azul Coast, 14, Bob Baffert, $80,000
14. Shoplifted, 13,
Steve Asmussen, $388,500
15. Anneau d’Or, 12, Blaine Wright, $385,000
16. Maxfield, 10, Brendan Walsh, $300,000
17. Eight Rings, 10, Bob Baffert, $200,35
18. Sole Volante, 10, Patrick Biancone, $173,510
19. Dennis’ Moment, 10, Dale Romans, $141,800
20. Gold Street, 10, Steve Asmussen, $141,000
21. +Max Player, 10, Linda Rice, $137,500
26. +Scabbard, 6, Eddie Kenneally, $178,000
33. +Wells Bayou, 4, Brad Cox, $150,000
+ = Enforceable (Hip 76), Azul Coast (Hip
1177),
Max Player (Hip
929),
Scabbard (Hip
802)
and Wells Bayou (Hip 3281)
were colts we profiled
at the 2018 Keeneland September Yearling Sale.
* Mr. Monomoy,
ranked 2nd with 52 Derby Points, is off the Kentucky Derby Trail due
to a minor
ankle injury.
Unlike other companies that
provide automatic computer-generated pedigree analysis of yearlings at auction,
Classic Champion Thoroughbreds LLC personally handpicks from the sales catalog
all yearlings to
be profiled at auction based upon their breeding.
EUROPEAN
ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking,
total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
2. Crossfirehurricane, 20, Joseph
O’Brien, $49,507
3. Kameko, 14, Andrew Balding,
$192,894
4. Innisfree (IRE), 14, Aidan
O’Brien, $127,856
5. Victor Ludorum, 10, Andre
Fabre, $250,958
6. Royal Donarch (IRE), 10, Aidan
O’Brien, $115,813
7. Alson (GER), 4, J.P. Carvalho,
$135,572
8. Shekhem (IRE), 4, Dermot Weld,
$24,068
9. Year of the Tiger (IRE), 3,
Aidan O’Brien $36,086
10. Armory (IRE), 2, Aidan
O’Brien, $258,793
11. Iberia (IRE), 2, Aidan
O’Brien, $25,389
12. Gold Maze (GB), 2, Jessica
Harrington, $12,034
13. Mogul (GB), 1, Aidan O’Brien,
$111,879
14. Ecrivain (FR), 1, Carlos Laffon-Parias, $69.202
15. Camorra (IRE), 1, Ger Lyons,
$3,610
JAPAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Café Pharoah, 30, Noriyuki Hori, $234,290
2.
Vacation (JPN), 20, Kenichi Takatsuki, $499,874
3.
Tango Beauty (JPN), 12, Masato Nishizono, $329,346
4.
Dieu du Vin (JPN), 10, Yukihiro Kato, $159,609
5.
Yaugau (JPN), 6, Naosuke Sugai, $182,385
6.
Longonot (JPN), 3, Mizuki Takayanagi, $158,202
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