©2018 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
The
Road to the Kentucky Derby takes us to sunny Florida,
Saturday where CATHOLIC
BOY will go
to the starting gate as the 8-5 morning-line favorite in the 38th
running of the $250,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes (G3) at Tampa Bay Downs. Post time
is 4:52 ET.
Catholic
Boy comes into this race with a 3-0-0 record in four starts for trainer
Jonathan Thomas including a win in the With Anticipation Stakes (G3), a
fourth-place finish in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (G1) and a win in the
Remsen Stakes (G2). Here’s the video and chart call of his last race:
CATHOLIC BOY two to
three wide through the first turn, settled four wide in mid pack, remained
patiently handled advancing four wide through the far turn into contention with
five sixteenths to go, spun three wide into upper stretch outside a pair roused
for the stretch drive, took over command straightened away, drew clear under a
drive kept busy to the finish.
In
his debut on a dirt surface, Catholic Boy improved his win record with an easy
4¾ length victory.
More Than Ready, the sire of Catholic Boy, was a multiple
graded-stakes winner that compiled a 7-4-1 record in 17 starts with $1,026,229
in earnings. He won the WHAS-11 Stakes, Flash Stakes, Tremont Stakes (G3),
Sanford Stakes (G2), Hutcheson Stakes (G2) and finished second in the Louisiana
Derby (G2) and Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G1) in route to a fourth-place finish
in the 2000 Kentucky Derby (G1).
At
stud, More Than Ready made
quite a mark with in Australia with his sons Phelan
Ready and Sebring who were champion 2-year-colts with
over $2 million in career earnings. Some of his best runners in America have
been the turf-sprinter Regally Ready
with over $1 million in career earnings and Pluck, winner of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile
Turf Stakes (G2) and Summer Stakes (G3) with $727,290 in career earnings, and
Verrazano.
Catholic
Boy has a C Classic Champion Thoroughbred
Profile® but his
Behavior Index makes him competitive and I look for him to run a good race.
Undefeated
in two starts, VINO
ROSSO
(3-1) comes into this race for trainer Todd Pletcher off an Allowance Optional
Claiming race at Tampa Bay Downs on December 22. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:
VINO ROSSO stalked
comfortably outside, tracked two wide on the backside, bid two wide midway on
the far turn, gained the lead on his own, was asked for run at the eighth pole,
pulled away and was ridden out.
Vino
Rosso continues to improve with each race and he pulled away in the stretch to
easily win by 2½ lengths.
Curlin, the sire of Vino Rosso, was an outstanding racehorse
that compiled an 11-2-2 record in 16 career starts with $10,501,800 in career
earnings.
Curlin did not start as a two year old. But, at the
age of three, Curlin was 6-1-2 in nine starts with $5,102,800 in earnings
including wins in the Rebel Stakes (G3) and Arkansas Derby (G2) en route to a
third-place finish in the 2007 Kentucky Derby (G1). He went on to win the
Preakness Stakes (G1) and he finished second in the Belmont Stakes (G1).
Other important stakes wins include the Breeders'
Cup Classic (G1), Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), twice, Dubai World Cup (G1),
Stephen Foster Handicap (G1), Woodward Stakes (G1), and the UAE Jaguar Trophy
Handicap.
In his first five crops as a
stallion, Curlin has sired the 2013 Belmont Stakes (G1) winner Palace
Malice and the 2016 Preakness Stakes
(G1) winner Exaggerator.
In addition, Curlin produced the classic-placed runners Ride On
Curlin (second, 2014 Preakness), Keen Ice
(third, 2015 Belmont) and Irish War
Cry (second, 2017 Belmont).
Vino
Rosso is a colt we profiled as a yearling (Hip 528) at the 2016 Keeneland September
sale. With an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, he has the breeding to
be competitive on the Derby trail.
In
just his third start, Vino Rosso has room to improve, especially as the races
get longer. Regular jockey John Velazquez retains the mount and I look for the
pair to run a good race.
Owned
by Albaugh Family Stables, LLC and trained by Dale Romans, HOLLYWOOD STAR (5-2) comes into this race with
a 1-2-0 record in four starts including a second-place finish in both the
Saratoga Special Stakes (G2) and Iroquois Stakes (G3) and a sixth-place finish
in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes (G1). Here’s the video and chart call of the Juvenile:
HOLLYWOOD STAR
angled in at once to save ground, came under a ride with three furlongs to run,
angled out entering the stretch and improved position.
Hollywood
Star is much better than what his performance in the Juvenile indicates.
However, he’ll need to pick up the pace as three year old.
Malibu
Moon, the sire
of Hollywood Star, made only two starts as a two year old, compiling a 1-1-0
record, before a slab fracture ended his racing career.
At
stud, Malibu Moon sired the
2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb. In addition, he’s sired several horses that have been
competitive on the Derby trail such as Gormley, Danzig
Moon, Mr.
Z and Stanford.
Other
nice runners sired by Malibu Moon include Life
At Ten, Devil May Care,
Declan’s Moon, Ask
the Moon,
Prospective, Kauai
Katie, Moon Catcher,
Moonshine Memories, Ransom the Moon,
and Malibu Mint.
Hollywood
Star is also a colt we profiled as a yearling (Hip 395) at the 2016 Keeneland September
sale. With an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, he has the breeding to
be competitive and a recent bullet work out could have him ready to run a good
race in his debut as a three year old.
Honorable
mention goes to Flameaway
(8-1) and Navy Armed
Guard (15-1).
*****
This
is the sixth consecutive year for Churchill Downs to use a point system to
determine eligibility to get into the Kentucky Derby starting gate. A total of
36 races comprise the Road to the Kentucky Derby and a significant change to
the schedule is the addition of the Springboard Mile at Remington Park on
December 17.
In
addition to the Japan road to the Derby which features
the Cattleya Sho Stakes (November 25), Zen-Nippon Nisai Yushan Stakes (December
13) and Hayacinth Stakes (February 2018), Churchill Downs has added a European road to Derby glory consisting
of seven races: Juddmonte Beresford (September 24), Juddmonte Royal Lodge
(September 30), Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardère (October 1), Racing Post Trophy
(October 28, Road to the Kentucky Derby Condition Stakes (March 1), Patton
(March 2) and the Burradon (March 30).
2018 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. +Good
Magic, 24, Chad Brown, $1,200,000
2. Firenze Fire, 24, Jason Servis, $567,500
3. McKinzie, 20,
Bob Baffert, $240,000
4. Bolt d’Oro, 14, Mick Ruis, $540,000
5. +Free
Drop Billy, 14, Dale Romans, $467,200
6. +Solomini, 14, Bob Baffert, $436,000
7. Avery
Island, 14, Kiaran McLaughlin, $320,000
8. Instilled Regard, 14, Jerry Hollendorfer, $180,000
9. Enticed, 13, Kiaran McLaughlin, $180,880
10. Greyvitos, 10,
Adam Kitchingman, $300,000
11. Catholic Boy,
10, Jonathan Thomas, $290,000
12. Audible, 10,
Todd Pletcher, $208,320
13. Mourinho, 10,
Bob Baffert, $124,360
14. Lombo, 10, Mike
Pender, $90,000
15. Combatant, 8,
Steve Asmussen, $110,000
16. Tiz Mischief, 6, Dale Romans, $70,400
17. Bravazo, 4, D.
Wayne Lukas, $109,913
18. +Hollywood Star, 4, Dale Romans,
$88,500
19. Ayacara (GB), 4, Keith Desormeaux, $63,345
20. Principe Guilherme, 4, Steve Asmussen, $40,000
+ = Horses we picked
as yearlings at the 2016 Keeneland September Yearling Sale. Good
Magic = Eclipse Champion Two
Year Old Male.
EUROPEAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
1.
Saxon Warrior (JPN), 20, Aidan O’Brien, $245,017
2. Roaring Lion
(USA), 14, John Gosden, $136,807
3.
f-Happily (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $543,648
4.
Olmedo (FR), 4, Jean-Claude Rouget, $113,505
5.
Nelson (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $99,826
6.
Delano Roosevelt (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $38,074
7.
Masar (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $101,264
8.
The Pentagon (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $71.981
9.
Mildenberger (ENG), 2, Mark Johnston, $64,634
10.
Warm the Voice (IRE), 2, Brendan Duke, $12,904
11.
Verbal Dexterity (IRE), 1, Jim Bolger, $280,269
12.
Kew Gardens (IRE), 1, Aidan O’Brien, $28,605
13.
Woodmax (GER), 1, Nicolas Clement, $23,610
14.
Petrus (IRE), 1, Brian Meehan, $7,182
JAPAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Le Vent Se Leve (JPN), 10, Kiyoshi Hagiwara, $464,985
2.
Ruggero (JPN), 10, Yuichi Shikato, $178,045
3.
Don Fortis (JPN), 4, Mitsunori Makiura, $437,283
4. Mic Ben Hur
(JPN), 4, Yoshihiro Hatakeyama, $106,766
5. Haseno Pyro
(JPN), Kenki Sato, $264,191
6. Meiner
Yukitsubaki (JPN) 2, Noboru Takagi, $99,210
7. Dark Repulser
(JPN), 1, Takashi Kanari, $184,087
8. Bronze Kay
(JPN), 1, Koichi Tsunoda, $75,979
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