Trainer
Doug O’Neil’s California shipper Avare heads a field of nine
3-year-old Thoroughbreds today as the 2-1 morning line favorite in the 6th
running of the $150,000 Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn Park.
The
Smarty Jones Stakes is one mile long and Avare has already shown good speed at that
distance. In his second start, Avare broke his maiden in October racing a mile on
the turf at Santa Anita Park and his time of 1:36.16 is in the neighborhood of
what I like a young colt to run. Avare came back in December to win the Eddie
Logan Stakes by 4¼-lengths in a time of 1:36.39.
If
Avare repeats the form of those previous two races he should be competitive in
the Smarty Jones Stakes.
As
a 2-year-old, Avare’s sire Johannesburg was a precocious sprinter in
Europe that was undefeated in six starts, including three Group One victories,
and he was the recipient of the Cartier Award for European Champion
Two-Year-Old Colt.
Toward
the end of the racing season, Johannesburg was brought to America and he
successfully carried his speed to 8½-furlongs to win the 2001 Breeders’ Cup
Juvenile Stakes (G1).
Johannesburg
made one start in April as a 3-year-old winning the 7-furlong Gladness Stakes
(Group 3) at the Curragh racetrack en route to an 8th-place finish
in the 2002 Kentucky Derby.
Robellino, the damsire of Avare, made 14
starts in Europe compiled a 5-5-0 record on the turf. His best stakes wins were
in the 8-furlong Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) and the 5-furlong Seaton Delaval
Stakes (Group 3).
I
look for Avare to be competitive in the Smarty Jones Stakes.
In
five starts, Brown Almighty (4-1) has only been out of the
money once and since his maiden-debut win in July his other four races have
been stakes races.
In
September, Brown Almighty finished a neck behind Java’s War in the Sunday
Silence Stakes in a time of 1:36.73. His final time in the Breeders’ Cup
Juvenile Turf (G1) at Santa Anita Park in November was close to the 1:36 mark.
Big Brown, the sire of Brown
Almighty, was a lightly-race, precocious colt that won the Kentucky Derby (G1) and
Preakness Stakes (G1) and was favored to win the Belmont Stakes (G1) but was
pulled up by jockey Kent Desormeaux before the finish.
Brown
Almighty’s damsire, Gone
For Real, raced mostly on the turf compiling a 5-3-1 record in 11 starts.
His best win came in the Royal Palm Handicap (G3) and he placed in several
stakes as well.
All
of Brown Almighty’s races have been on the turf. If he can transfer that form
to the dirt and run close to the 1:36 mark as he has in previous races he
should be competitive in today’s race.
Always in a Tiz (9-2)
is stepping up in class and he’s never ran in a route race but he’s shouldn’t
have a problem stretching out to 8-furlongs.
Tiznow, the sire of Always in a
Tiz, was an outstanding runner who compiled an 8-4-2 record in 14 dirt route
races and as a 3-year-old he won the Breeders’ Cup Classic Stakes (G1), Super
Derby (G1), Goodwood Breeders’ Cup Handicap (G2) and the Affirmed Handicap
(G3).
Elusive Quality, the damsire of Always in a Tiz, competed mostly
in sprint races compiling a 5-2-2 record in 12 starts including a win in the
Jaipur Handicap (G3) and Poker Stakes (G3). He also was equally talented in
route racing compiling a 2-1-0 record in four starts.
Elusive
Quality is the sire of 2004 Kentucky Derby (G1) and Preakness Stakes (G1)
winner Smarty Jones and stakes champions Raven’s
Pass, Quality
Road and Maryfield.
In
his maiden debut win, Always in a Tiz defeated the third-place finisher Revolutionary who went
on to finally break his maiden with an impressive 8½-length romp and he’s one
of the horses I wrote about in my 2013
Kentucky Derby Outlook. In his second race, Always in a Tiz finished
second to the undefeated Vyjack
who recently won the Jerome Stakes (G2).
If
he continues to move forward, Always in a Tiz should be competitive in the
Smarty Jones Stakes.
A
long shot I like in today’s race is Best of Birdstone
(20-1). All three of his previous races were stakes and he has the breeding to
be competitive in the Smarty Jones Stakes.
His
tail-male sire line is especially impressive with the Classic Champion
Thoroughbreds Birdstone, Grindstone and Unbridled. Storm and a Half, the
damsire of Best of Birdstone, was unraced but his second damsire is the Sire of
Sires Storm Cat who has
produced numerous stakes winners.
In
his last race, Best of Birdstone lost to Texas Bling and Will Take Charge who
are also entered in today’s race. So, I’ll be looking those three over very
closely and if Best of Birdstone looks good in the post parade he may be worthy
of a wager.
A
nice work out at Oaklawn Park on January 8 could have him ready to run a good
race.
*****
The
Smarty Jones Stakes is not a graded stakes and this is the first year that any
horses in this race will earn any points under the new Churchill Downs grading
system to qualify for the Kentucky Derby. Under the old system, the horses with
the most graded stakes earnings qualified to enter the Kentucky Derby starting
gate.
The
winner of today’s race will receive 10 points while second-place will yield 4
points, the third-place finisher will receive 2 points and the fourth-place
finisher will receive 1 point.
A
win by any of the horses running in the Smarty Jones Stakes would put them in
the top twenty. Here’s a look at the current top twenty Kentucky Derby
qualifiers:
Kentucky
Derby 2013 Leaderboard
(Updated
January 19, 2013)
Individual Leaders ranking,
total points, Trainer
1
= Goldencents, 24, Doug O’Neill
2
= Shanghai Bobby, 20, Todd Pletcher
3
= Oxbow, 11, D. Wayne Lukas
4
= Violence, 10, Todd Pletcher
5
= Overanalyze, 10, Todd Pletcher
6
= Uncaptured, 10, Mark Casse
7
= Power Broker, 10, Bob Baffert
8
= Steeler, 10, Mark Johnson
9
= River Seven, 10, Nick Gonzalez
10
= Den’s Legacy, 6, Bob Baffert
11
= Tesseron, 5, Josie Carroll
12
= Bern Identity, 4, Kelly Breen
13
= He’s Had Enough, 4, Doug O’Neill
14
= Capo Bastone, 4, Todd Pletcher
15
= Dynamic Sky, 4, Mark Casse
16
= Know More, 4, Doug O’Neill
17
= Fury Kapcori, 4, Jerry Hollendorfer
18
= Artigiano, 4, Mahmood Al Zarooni
19
= Normandy Invasion, 4, Chad Brown
20
= Golden Soul, 4, Dallas Stewart
An
updated leaderboard will be posted at the end of today’s race.
Kentucky
Derby 2013 Leaderboard
(Updated
January 21, 2013)
Individual Leaders ranking,
total points, Trainer
1
= Goldencents, 24, Doug O’Neill
2
= Shanghai Bobby, 20, Todd Pletcher
3
= Oxbow, 11, D. Wayne Lukas
4
= Violence, 10, Todd Pletcher
5
= Overanalyze, 10, Todd Pletcher
6
= Uncaptured, 10, Mark Casse
7
= Power Broker, 10, Bob Baffert
8
= Steeler, 10, Mark Johnson
9
= Will Take Charge, 10, D. Wayne Lukas
10
= River Seven, 10, Nick Gonzalez
11
= Den’s Legacy, 6, Bob Baffert
12
= Tesseron, 5, Josie Carroll
13
= Bern Identity, 4, Kelly Breen
14
= He’s Had Enough, 4, Doug O’Neill
15
= Capo Bastone, 4, Todd Pletcher
16
= Dynamic Sky, 4, Mark Casse
17
= Know More, 4, Doug O’Neill
18
= Texas Bling, 4, Danele Durham
19
= Fury Kapcori, 4, Jerry Hollendorfer
20
= Artigiano, 4, Mahmood Al Zarooni
The
first two finishers in the Smarty Jones stakes, both previously unranked, are
now in the top twenty list of Derby qualifiers. Will Take Charge earned 10
points for his win in the Smarty Jones Stakes and is now ranked 9th.
Texas Bling earned 4 points and is now ranked 18th.
Smarty Jones Stakes, Oaklawn
Park, January 21, 2013
1.
Will Take Charge, 10
2.
Texas Bling, 4
3.
Always in a Tiz, 2
4.
Stormy Holiday, 1
Hi Calvin, Always In A Tiz you wrote a step up in class. I think this is a step down off the Vyjack race. The colt gave nothing back to Vyjack and appears to have a the tactical speed to pounce late.
ReplyDeleteIf Vyjack was in the race, he would be 1/2 and Always In A Tiz never lost ground that day.
Barry,
ReplyDeleteI thought it was an unusual race.
Hi Calvin,
ReplyDeleteTexas Bling 2 * 9 * 3
Will Take Charge 22 * 4 * 1,2,3
Always in a TiZ 10,13 * 26 * 1,9
IMO
Texas Bling - Not entirely impossible
Wil Take Charge - very doubtful
Always in a TiZ - highly unlikely
We shall see. It appears to me this was a points race without a serious derby hopeful in the top three finishers.
I'll have to take a look at Avare.
It is somewhat silly IMO that horses are earning points in ungraded stakes. This new system may throw some monkey wrenches in the works !
Talk to you later
BSB
BSB,
ReplyDeleteI would not be surprised to see a colt that has not earned any Derby points yet step up in this next round of qualifying races to become a serious Derby contender.