Kentucky Derby 145 Wrapup: Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® Unlocks Secret Of Ancestral Herd, Pedigree, To Determine Derby Outcome

Tabbed Country House at 2017 Keeneland Sale

By Calvin L. Carter and Dallas Carter

©2019 Calvin L. Carter. All rights reserved.

The Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, for the second year in a row, shows its prowess as a sales analysis tool with the win of Country House in Kentucky Derby 145.  A chestnut colt by Lookin at Lucky out of Quake Lake by War Chant, Country House was a yearling (Hip 2203) we profiled at the 2017 Keeneland September Yearling Sale and he has a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®.

In 2016, Classic Champion Thoroughbreds LLC debuted the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® as a sales analysis tool at the Keeneland September Yearling Sale and Good Magic was our best of sale pick. Good Magic went on to win the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile stakes, earning him the Eclipse Champion Two Year Old award, and he won the Blue Grass Stakes en route to a second-place finish in the 2018 Kentucky Derby.

Let’s look at the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and Behavior Index of the horses in Kentucky Derby 145:

In the first chart above are the ranking of horses based upon the breeding influences in the five-generation pedigree. The second chart list the ranking by breeding as well as the Behavior Index which we created to identify legitimate and false contenders. And, the third chart lists the Brisnet Prime Power rankings.

As you can see in the first chart, Country House has a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s ranked ninth in breeding. Horses with his profile can be competitive on the Derby trail and I’ve written about him in my blog posts of prep races.

The reason why we profiled Country House at the 2017 Keeneland Sale is that there are specific, proprietary breeding influences we’ve identified that could factor into our profile analysis. However, when we profiled him at the Keeneland Sale it was too soon to add those breeding influences into our profile analysis.

When those breeding influences are added into our profile analysis, as you can see in chart two, Country House has an A+ profile and he’s ranked third in breeding. Also, in chart two, when we factor in the Behavior Index of the horses highlighted in green, Improbable, Game Winner, Vekoma, Roadster, Maximum Security are moved up in ranking while Spinoff is dropped in ranking. In addition, when you look at the breeding and Behavior Index, the profile tabbed five of the top seven finishers.

In my Kentucky Derby blog, I listed Code of Honor as potentially dropping in ranking but his pedigree shows that he could be competitive and he lived up to that breeding in the Derby.

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Since the debut of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® at the 2016 Keeneland September Yearling Sale, we’ve had tremendous success with horses that we profiled winning and placing in stakes competition.

2017 SALES

Classic Champion Thoroughbreds, LLC currently has 18 horses we profiled (https://bit.ly/2PlLilZ) at the 2017 yearling sales that are performing well nationally and internationally.

COUNTRY HOUSE (Hip 2203): 2^nd Kentucky Derby (G1), placed 1^st in DQ. 2^nd Risen Star (G2). 3^rd Arkansas Derby (G1).

HARVEY WALLBANGER (Hip 176): 1^st Holy Bull (G2).

STANDARD DEVIATION (Hip 1630): 3^rd Champagne (G1).

CURRENT (Hip 1149): 1^st Dixiana Bourbon (G3), Dania Beach.

SO ALIVE (Hip 000): 3^rd Sam F. Davis (G3).

KINGLY (Hip 29): 1^st California Derby.

DUNPH (Hip 114): 1^st Spendthrift Juvenile Stallion. 3^rd Remington Springboard Mile.

FIVE STAR GENERAL (Hip 66): 1^st Central Park.

(f)-GRANDARIA (Hip 1025): 3^rd Silverbulletday.

(f)-ALEXA ROSE (Hip 719): 1^st Matchbook/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies’ Novice, 2^nd Ladbrokes Bet 5 Get 20 EBF Novice, 3^rd in both the Inspire Racing Club British Stallion Studs EBF Novice and Ladbrokes Home Of The Odds Boost/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice.

DARK LOCHNAGAR (Hip 2709): 1^st EBF ‘Double Trigger’ Novice.

LAAFY (Hip 496): 1^st Lutterworth Novice Stakes. 2^nd British Stallion Studs EBF Novice.

SEMOUM (Hip 558): 1^st Snooty Frox Ebf Novice.

RED CENTRE (Hip 460): 3^rd Smarkets British EBF Novice.

IL PARADISO (Hip 201): 2^nd British EBF Crown At Stowupland Novice.

SPANISH MISSION (Hip 433): 1^st Bet totequadpot At totesport.com Conditions. 3^rd totespool Cashback Club At totesport.com EBF Novice.

In addition, two horses have been running well in South Korea.

THUNDER BLADE has compiled a 2-2-1 record in six starts at Seoul Racecourse, South Korea: https://bit.ly/2T5bVwS. A dark bay gelding by Tale of Ekati out of Regally bred by A.P. Indy (Hip 3025), Thunder Blade has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®.

CURLIN TIME has compiled a 0-2-0 record in three starts at Busan Gyeongnam Racecourse Park, South Korea: https://bit.ly/2yJ8GDi. A chestnut colt by Curlin out of Inny Minnie by Hard Spun (Hip 1684), Curlin Time has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®.

2016 SALES

In 2016, we debuted our Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® software as a sales analytical tool at the Keeneland September Yearling Sale. Of 2,334 yearling colts, we profiled 101 colts that had an A or A+ grade ranking. From that sales list we now have 15 horses and one horse from the Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October Yearling Sale list that are either winners or placers in graded stakes and stakes races. Also, Good Magic, Free Drop Billy, Solomini and Vino Rosso ran in the 2018 Kentucky Derby:

GOOD MAGIC (Hip 845): Eclipse Champion Two Year Old, 1^st Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), Toyota Blue Grass (G2), Haskell Invitational, 2^nd Champagne (G1), Kentucky Derby (G1), 3^rd Fountain of Youth (G3).

FREE DROP BILLY (Hip 104): 1^st Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity (G1), 2^ndSanford (G3), Hopeful (G1), Holy Bull (G2), 3^rd Gotham (G3), Toyota Blue Grass (G2).

SOLOMINI (Hip 662): 2^nd FrontRunner (G1), Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), Rebel (G2), 3^rd Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity (G1), Arkansas Derby (G1), Affirmed (G3).

VINO ROSSO (Hip 528): 1^st Stymie, 1^st Wood Memorial (G2), 3^rd Sam F. Davis (G3), Jim Dandy (G2).

ARCHAGGELOS (Hip 2138): 1^st Grey (G3), 2^nd Woodhaven, 3^rd Stanton.

CAMPAIGN (Hip 183): 1^st Tokyo City Cup (G3).

HOLLYWOOD STAR (Hip 395): 2^nd Saratoga Special (G2), Iroquois (G3).

LIFE’S A PARLAY (Hip 498): 1^st Excelsior (G3), 2^nd Gio Ponti. Life’s a Parlay is a colt we profiled but with an E Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® he was not mentioned in our blog post.

KING ZACHARY (Hip 956): 1^st Matt Winn (G3).

MISSISSIPPI (Hip 888): 3^rd Florida Derby (G1).

COAT OF ARMS (IRE), (Hip 446): 2^nd Galileo Irish E.B.F. Futurity (G2).

CANADIAN GAME (Hip 293): 3^rd British Columbia Derby (G3).

GUNNISON (Hip 474): 1^st Tale of the Cat.

WENTZ (Hip 1029): 2^nd Frank Whiteley, Jr., 3^rd Miracle Wood.

STRONGER (Hip 4154): 3^rd Smooth Air.

TIGERBEACH (Hip 2001): 3^rd Victoria.

In addition, one horse has been running well in handicap races in South Korea.

JUMBO BLADE has compiled a 5-2-1 record in eleven starts at Busan Gyeongnam Racecourse Park, South Korea: https://bit.ly/2RBOiv5. A bay colt by Mineshaft out of Mumbo Jumbo by Kingmambo (Hip 2164), Jumbo Blade has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®.

Another three-year-old colt has run well in Japan.

BASIN STREET has compiled an 0-2-1 record in five starts https://bit.ly/2DcW2hV. A bay colt by Curlin out of Judith Basin by Danzig (Hip 2121), Basin Street was a weanling colt we profiled at the 2016 Keeneland November Mixed Sale and he has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®.

The empirical data gathered by the robust power of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® software easily shows which horses have the potential to be quality stakes winners or classic champions.

From foal to finish line™, the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® is a proven analytical tool you need for breeding, purchasing at auction and racing equine champions: http://bit.ly/2E99liF.

For a free initial consultation to evaluate how Classic Champion Thoroughbreds LLC can help you achieve your goals and dreams of owning or breeding a stakes horse or Classic Champion Thoroughbred, please contact us at our website or give us a call at (844) 346-2223.