©2018 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
This
Saturday, the European road to the 2019 Kentucky
Derby (G1) takes us to Doncaster Racecourse
in Doncaster, South Yorkshire, England where MAGNA GRECIA has
been tabbed as the 7-5 Twinspires.com morning line favorite in the Group One Vertem
Futurity Trophy Post Stakes.
To
date, Magna Grecia is 1-1-0 in two starts for trainer Aidan O’Brien and he
comes into this race off second-place finish in the Masar Godolphin Autumn
Stakes (Group 3). Here’s the video
and chart call of that race:
MAGNA GRECIA close
up, headway on outer over 2f out, ridden and every chance from over 1f out, dueled
with winner inside final furlong until close home.
Magna
Grecia showed a lot of grit dueling with Persian King in the
final furlong but came up a neck shy of victory.
Invincible
Spirit,
the sire of Magna Grecia, was a competitive sprinter that compiled a 7-1-1 record in 17 starts.
As a two-year-old, Invincible
Spirit compiled a 2-0-1 record in four starts with wins in the Selsey Maiden
Stakes and Ripon Champion Trophy Stakes.
Invincible Spirit only made two
starts at three and he finished off the board in both those starts.
As a four-year-old, Invincible Spirit
was 3-1-0 in six starts and he was the top-rated older sprinter in Ireland in
2001. His stakes wins were in the
Aon MacDonagh Boland Stakes (Group 3), the Ruinart Champagne Hackwood Stakes and
the M-real Conditions Stakes. He finished second in Prix de Meautry Royal Barriere Stakes (Group 3).
At the age of five, Invincible Spirit
was 2-0-0 in five starts with victories in the Stanley Leisure Sprint Cup (Group 1) and Duke of York Stakes (Group 3).
As a stallion, Invincible Spirit
has sired numerous Group Stakes winners including the Classic Champion Thorougbreds
Lawman and Kingman.
His best runner on the Kentucky Derby
Trail was Vale
of York
who won the 2009 Grey Goose Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1).
With
an A Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile® Magna Grecia has the potential to earn Group
Stakes honors and I look for him to run another good race.
A
long shot I like is CIRCUS MAXIMUS (15-1) and he’s also trained by
O’Brien. He comes into this race with a 1-0-1 record in three starts including
a third-place finish in the Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes (Group 3). Here’s the
video
and chart call of that race:
CIRCUS MAXIMUS
tracked leaders, ridden to lead 2f out, headed and short of room entering final
furlong, kept on one pace.
Circus
Maximus was running well along the rail when he was slightly impeded by Persian
King in the final
strides.
Galileo, the sire of Circus Maximus, is
a Classic Champion Thoroughbred and multiple Group Stakes winner that compiled
during his racing career a 6-1-0 record in eight starts with $2,245,373 in
career earnings.
Galileo
made only one start as a two-year-old, easily winning by an impressive 14
lengths.
As
a three-year-old, Galileo won his season debut in the Ballysax Stakes. He
followed that with his first Group win in the Derrinstown Stud Derby Trail
Stakes (Group 3). Galileo then earned classic honors with wins in the Vodafone
Epsom Derby (Group 1) and the Budweiser Irish Derby (Group 1). His last group
win was in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes (Group 1).
As a stallion, Galileo was champion sire in 2008 and from 2010 to 2017 with 73
Group One winners and numerous Classic
Champion Thoroughbreds:
Capri (St. Leger, Irish Derby,), Found (Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe), Frankel (2,000 Guineas), Australia (Epsom Derby,
Irish Derby), Ruler Of
The World (Epsom Derby), Magician (Irish 2,000 Guineas), Gleneagles (2,000 Guineas, Irish 2,000 Guineas), The Gurkha (French 2,000 Guineas), Churchill (2,000 Guineas, Irish 2,000 Guineas), Roderic
O’Connor (Irish 2,000 Guineas), Treasure
Beach (Irish Derby), Capri (Irish Derby, St. Leger), Soldier
Of Fortune (Irish Derby), Order Of
St George (Irish St. Leger), Cape Blanco (Irish
Derby), Sixties
Icon (St. Leger) and New
Approach (Epsom Derby).
With an A+ Classic Champion
Thoroughbred Profile® Circus Maximus is the best-bred colt in this herd. He’s
an improving colt with the potential to take another step forward in his fourth
start of the season and, perhaps, upset at a nice price.
TURGENEV (4-1) comes into this race with
a 2-1-0 record in three starts for trainer John Gosden including a win in the
British EBF Crown At Stowupland Novice Stakes last out at New Market
Racecourse. Here’s the video
and chart call of that race:
TURGENEV chased
leaders, progress to lead over 3f out, driven clear over 1f out, easily.
Turgenev
looked good cruising to an easy novice stakes victory to runner up Il Paradiso who was a yearling
(Hip 201) we profiled
at the 2017 Keeneland September Yearling Sale.
Dubawi, the sire of Turgenev, is
a multiple Group Stakes winner and Classic Champion Thoroughbred that compiled a
5-1-1 record in eight starts.
As
a two-year-old, he was undefeated in three starts with wins in the National
Stakes (Group 1) and Superlative Stakes (Group 3).
At
the age of three, Dubawi was 2-1-1 in five starts with wins in the Prix Jacques
Le Marois (Group 1) and the Irish 2,000 Guineas (Group). He finished second in
the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) and he was third to Motivator and Walk In
The Park in the Epsom Derby Stakes (Group 1).
As
a stallion, Dubawi is the sire of numerous Group Stakes winners including the
Classic Champion Thoroughbreds Makfi,
Waldpark and Night of Thunder.
His best runner on the Kentucky Derby Trail was Mubtaahij who finished eighth
in the 2015 Derby.
With
an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® Turgenev is the second-best-bred
colt in this herd and I look for him to run a good race.
Honorable
mention goes to King Ottokar
(20-1) and Phoenix of Spain
(5-1).
*****
A
total of 35 prep races comprise the USA Road to the Kentucky Derby. In
addition, there are seven races on the European road and four races on the
Japan road to Derby glory.
EUROPEAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer
1.
Mohawk (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien
2.
Japan, 10, Aidan O’Brien
3.
Royal Marine (IRE), 10, Saeed bin Suroor
4.
Sydney Opera House (GB), 4, Aidan O’Brien
5.
Mount Everest (IRE), 4, Aiden O’Brien
6.
Broome (IRE), 4, Aiden O’Brien
7.
Cape of Good Hope (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien
8.
Power of Now (IRE), 2, M. O’Callaghan
9.
Anodor (FR), 1, F. Head
10.
Victory Command, (IRE), 1, Mark Johnston
11.
Sovereign (IRE), 1, Aiden O’Brien
12.
Boitron (FR), Richard Hannon
2018/2019 KENTUCKY DERBY
LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted
Stakes Earnings
1. Game Winner, 10, Bob Baffert, $360,000
2. Knicks Go, 10,
Ben Colebrook, $314,085
3. Complexity, 10,
Chad Brown, $275,000
4. Cairo Cat, 10, Ken McPeek, $86,490
5. Signalman, 4, Ken McPeek, $100,000
6. Code of Honor, 4, Shug McGaughey
7. Tight Ten, 4, Steve Asmussen, $67,900
8. Gunmetal Gray, 4, Jerry Hollendorfer, $60,000
9. Call Paul, 2, Jason Servis, $170,000
10. Rowayton, 2, Jerry Hollendorfer, $96,000
11.+Standard Deviation, 2, Chad Brown,
$50,000
12. Pole Sitter, 2, Brad Cox, $17,950
13. Sombeyay, 1, Todd Pletcher, $158,500
14. Tobacco Road, 1, Steve Asmussen, $51,150
15. +Aurelius Maximus, 1, Chad Brown,
$30,000
16. Jefe, 1, Keith Desormeaux, $18,000
+ = Horses picked as yearlings on 2017
Keeneland September Yearling Sales list.
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