©2018 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
This
Saturday, the Road to the Kentucky Derby takes us to Turfway Park in Florence,
Kentucky, where HAZIT and RIDE A COMET have been tagged as the 5-1,
morning line co-favorites in the 47th running of the $200,000 Jeff
Ruby Stakes (G3). Despite their favoritism, there are
others I like better in this race which goes to post at 6 p.m. ET.
ARCHAGGELOS (6-1) comes into this race with a 2-1-0
record in four starts for trainer Michael Dickinson including a fourth-place
finish in the Display Stakes. Here’s the video
and chart
call of that race:
ARCHAGGELOS
raced two-wide between foes in mid-pack on the opening turn, stalked the
leading trio while racing three-wide on the far turn, drifted inwards and
bumped into THUNDER RIDE at the 1/8th pole and chased to the wire.
Archaggelos stalked the leaders until
the far turn and was beginning to make a move in the stretch when he was cut
off by Admiralty
Pier who veered
left and would go on to win the Display Stakes.
Temple City,
the sire of Archaggelos, was a graded stakes winner that compiled a 4-2-4
record in 15 starts.
Unraced as a two-year-old, Temple
City won his only start as a three-year-old and followed that with a
third-place finish in the Del Mar Handicap at the age of four.
Temple City earned graded stakes
honors as a five-year-old with a win in the Cougar II Handicap (G3) and
second-place finishes in both the American Handicap (G2) and the Hollywood Turf
Cup Stakes (G1).
Archaggelos
has an A
Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he was a horse we profiled (Hip
2138)
at the 2016 Keeneland September Yearling Sale. A bay colt by Temple City out of
Mien by Nureyev, Archaggelos is a half-brother to dual classic winner Big
Brown
and he was a $200,000 RNA for consignor Monticule, LLC.
Archaggelos
has not raced since December but, despite the layoff, he’s been training well at Michael Dickinson’s
Tapeta Farm
and a recent bullet work out could have him ready to run a big race in his
debut as a three year old.
SKY PROMISE (12-1) comes into this race with
a 1-2-3 record in 10 starts for trainer Ken McPeek including a second-place
finish in the John Battaglia Memorial Stakes. Here’s the video and chart
call of that race:
SKY PROMISE trailed
the field early while far back, fanned into the seven path in the far turn,
raced widest down the lane, was flying late but did not have enough in the final
stages.
Sky
Promise raced at the back of the herd until the half when he finally made his run
to close with authority in the stretch but finished short one half length shy
of victory to the winner, Magicalmeister.
Sky
Mesa,
the sire of Sky Promise, was a multiple graded-stakes winner that compiled a 3-1-1
record in six starts with $633,076 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Sky Mesa was
undefeated in three starts with stakes wins in the Hopeful Stakes (G1) and
Lane’s End Breeders’ Futurity (G2).
At the age of three, Sky Mesa compiled
an 0-1-1 record in three stars with a second-place finish in the Haskell
Invitational Handicap (G2) and third-place in the Dwyer Stakes (G2).
Sky
Promise has a C Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and that makes him competitive in this race. I
really like the way he closed in his last race and a repeat of that form could,
perhaps, make him tough in the Jeff Ruby Stakes (G3).
MAGICALMEISTER (12-1) comes into this race with
a 2-0-1 record in three starts for trainer James Chapman including a win in the
John Battaglia Memorial Stakes. Here’s the video and chart
call of that race:
MAGICALMEISTER
chased the pace early, swung into the six path in the far turn, took over
command nearing the eighth pole, quickly drew clear and held off rival in the
final stages.
Magicalmeister
tracked the leader and drew clear in the stretch to win by only a half of a length.
Bodemeister,
the sire of Magicalmeister, did not race until the age of three when he made
six starts for Hall of Fame Trainer Bob Baffert, compiling a 2-4-0 record in
six starts with $1,304,800 in career earnings.
He raced twice in the maiden
ranks before finishing second in his third start, the San Felipe Stakes (G2).
In his fourth start, Baffert shipped Bodemeister to Oaklawn Park where he was
my pick
to win the Arkansas Derby (G1). Bodemeister trounced the field, winning by an
outstanding 9½ lengths. He then went on to finish second in both the Kentucky
Derby (G1) and Preakness Stakes (G1).
Magicalmeister has a B Classic Champion
Thoroughbred Profile® and he has the breeding to be competitive in this race.
PONY
UP (6-1)
comes into this race with a 1-3-0 record in five starts for trainer Todd
Pletcher including a fifth-place finish in the Holy Bull Stakes (G2) last out. Here’s
the video and chart
call
of that race:
PONY
UP raced three to four wide in the first turn then raced off the early pace, came
under ride and continued driving three wide upper stretch, lacked needed kick
for impact.
Pony Up finished in the money in
his first four starts and he’s a better horse than his performance in the Holy
Bull indicates.
Aikenite, the sire of Pony Up, was a
multiple graded-stakes winner that raced until the age of five and compiled a 5-4-3
record in 24 starts with $875,385 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Aikenite was
1-1-1 in four starts with a second-place finish in the Dixiana Breeders’ Futurity
Stakes (G1) and a third-place finish in the Three Chimney’s Hopeful Stakes (G1).
As a three-year-old, he was 2-1-1
in 11 starts with a second-place finish in The Cliff’s Edge Derby Trail Stakes
(G3) and he finished third in the Fasig-Tipon Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2).
Aikenite was 2-2-1 in eight starts
as a four-year-old with stakes wins in the Commonwealth Stakes (G2) and Churchill
Downs Stakes (G2). He finished second in the Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes
(G3) and third in the Forego Stakes (G1).
At the age of five, Aikenite
finished fourth in his only start.
Pony Up has a C Classic Champion
Thoroughbred Profile® but his Behavior Index potentially makes him competitive
in this race,
This is the sixth consecutive
year for Churchill Downs to use a point system to determine eligibility to get
into the Kentucky Derby starting gate. A total of 36 races comprise the Road to
the Kentucky Derby and a significant change to the schedule is the addition of
the Springboard Mile at Remington Park on December 17.
In addition to the Japan
road to the Derby which features the Cattleya Sho Stakes (November 25),
Zen-Nippon Nisai Yushan Stakes (December 13) and Hayacinth Stakes (February
2018), Churchill Downs has added a European
road to Derby glory consisting of seven races: Juddmonte Beresford (September
24), Juddmonte Royal Lodge (September 30), Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardère
(October 1), Racing Post Trophy (October 28, Road to the Kentucky Derby
Condition Stakes (March 1), Patton (March 2) and the Burradon (March 30).
2018
KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD
Ranking,
total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Bravazo, 54, D. Wayne Lukas, $349,913
2.
+Good
Magic, 24, Chad Brown, $1,200,000
3. Firenze Fire, 24, Jason Servis,
$567,500
4.
Snapper Sinclair, 22, Steve Asmussen, $301,810
5.
McKinzie, 20, Bob Baffert, $240,000
6.
Instilled
Regard, 19, Jerry Hollendorfer, $196,000
7. Bolt d’Oro, 14, Mick Ruis, $540,000
8. +Free
Drop Billy, 14, Dale Romans, $467,200
9. +Solomini, 14, Bob
Baffert, $436,000
10. Catholic
Boy, 14, Jonathan Thomas, $330,000
11. Avery
Island, 14, Kiaran McLaughlin, $320,000
12. Enticed, 13, Kiaran McLaughlin,
$180,880
13. My Boy Jack, 12, Keith Desormeaux,
$402,000
14.
Combatant, 12, Steve Asmussen, $210,000
15.
Mourinho, 11, Bob Baffert, $149,360
16.
Greyvitos, 10, Adam Kitchingman, $300,000
17.
Audible, 10, Todd Pletcher, $208,320
18.
Lombo, 10, Mike Pender, $90,000
19.
Noble Indy, 10, Todd Pletcher, $40,000
20. Tiz Mischief, 6, Dale Romans,
$70,400
+
= Horses we picked as yearlings at the 2016 Keeneland
September Yearling Sale. Good Magic = Eclipse Champion Two Year Old Male.
EUROPEAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. *MENDELSSOHN, 20, Aidan O’Brien, $747,307
2. Saxon Warrior (JPN), 20, Aidan
O’Brien, $245,017
3.
*GRONKOWSKI, 20, Jeremy Noseda, $0
4.
Roaring Lion (USA), 14, John Gosden, $136,807
5. f-Happily (IRE), 10, Aidan
O’Brien, $543,648
6. *THREEANDFOURPENCE, 8, Aiden O’Brien, $54,076
7. Court House (IRE), 8, John
Gosden, $0
8. *SEAHENGE, 4, Aiden O’Brien, $145,630
9. Olmedo (FR), 4, Jean-Claude
Rouget, $113,505
10. Nelson (IRE), 4, Aidan
O’Brien, $99,826
11. Delano Roosevelt (IRE), 4,
Aidan O’Brien, $38,074
12. Fortune’s Pearl (IRE), 4,
Andrew Balding, $1,800
13. Masar (IRE), 2, Aidan
O’Brien, $101,264
14. The Pentagon (IRE), 2, Aidan
O’Brien, $71.981
15. Mildenberger (ENG), 2, Mark
Johnston, $64,634
16. Warm the Voice (IRE), 2,
Brendan Duke, $12,904
17. f-Blackgold Fairy, 2, Michael
Halford, $4,618
18. Ventura Knight (IRE), 2, Mark
Johnston, $0
19. Verbal Dexterity (IRE), 1,
Jim Bolger, $280,269
20. Kew Gardens (IRE), 1, Aidan
O’Brien, $28,605
21. Woodmax (GER), 1, Nicolas
Clement, $23,610
22. Petrus (IRE), 1, Brian
Meehan, $7,182
*Mendelssohn,
Gronkowski,
Threeandfourpence
and Seahenge
are only horses nominated for Triple Crown. Here’s the video
of Mendelssohn’s win in the Patton Stakes. Here’s the video
of Gronkowski’s win in the Conditions Stakes.
JAPAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking,
total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Sumahama (JPN), 30, Ryo
Takahashi, $291,287
2. *RUGGERO
(JPN), 16, Yuichi Shikato, $220,861
3. Taiki Ferveur, 12, Mitsunori
Makiura, $299,689
4. Le Vent Se Leve (JPN), 10,
Kiyoshi Hagiwara, $463,935
5. Don Fortis (JPN), 4, Mitsunori
Makiura, $436,916
6.
Mic Ben Hur (JPN), 4, Yoshihiro Hatakeyama, $122,696
7.
Great Time (JPN), 3, Hideaki Fujiwara, $186,586
8.
Haseno Pyro (JPN), 2, Kenki Sato, $263,981
9.
Meiner Yukitsubaki (JPN) 2, Noboru Takagi, $151,796
10.
Dark Repulser (JPN), 1, Takashi Kanari, $200,920
11.
Bronze Kay (JPN), 1, Koichi Tsunoda, $75,979
*Ruggero is the only horse nominated for
Triple Crown. Here’s the video
of his last race, Hyacinth Stakes.
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