© 2014 Calvin L. Carter. All rights
reserved.
A
field of only eight young Thoroughbreds will go to the post Saturday in the 77th
running of the $1 million Santa Anita Derby (G1) at Santa Anita Park. Post time
is 6:30 p.m., ET and live coverage of the race, as well as the Wood Memorial
Stakes (G1), will be broadcast on the NBC Sports Network beginning
at 5:30 p.m., ET. Let’s take a look at the Derby.
California Chrome has
been installed as the early 6-5 morning-line favorite and by all appearances he
looks like the horse to beat. In nine starts he’s only finished off the board
three times and he comes into the Derby with a 5-1-0 record. Almost all of his
races have been in stakes competition and his last three races were blowout
victories.
There’s
no doubt that California Chrome is a talented, fast colt. In his last race, he
put on a superb performance winning the San Felipe Stakes (G2), in
front-running style, by 7¼-lengths. The mile split for that race was a
blistering 1:33.94 and his finish time of 1:40.59 is several ticks faster the
speedster Social
Inclusion who’s also running this weekend in the Wood Memorial Stakes (G1).
I
look for California Chrome to be competitive in the Derby but the one question
I have for all of these speed horses is how well they will finish after running
9-furlongs.
Candy Boy (9-5) is also
another fast horse who comes into this race with 2-2-0 record in six starts for
trainer John Sadler. Candy Boy is a fast colt, too. His finish time of 1:41.83
in the 8½-furlong Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G2) is the kind of time I like to see
a young colt on the Derby Trail.
However,
unlike California Chrome, Candy Boy likes to come from off the pace. I look for
him to be competitive and I’ll be watching to see how well he finishes the
race.
Hoppertunity, the 3-1 third-choice on the morning line, is the
colt who interests me most in this race. He comes into the Derby with 2-0-0
record for Hall of Fame Trainer Bob Baffert and owners Karl Watson, Michael
Pegram and Paul Weitman.
While
Hoppertunity does not possess fast speed like California Chrome, he does have
good speed and his breeding indicates that the stretch out to 9-furlongs will
not be a problem for the son of Any Given Saturday
who also was a competitive middle-distance horse.
On the Derby
Trail in 2007, Any Given Saturday finished third in the Wood Memorial Stakes en
route to an eighth-place finish in the Kentucky Derby (G1). Later in the
season, Any Given Saturday went on to win the Haskell Invitational (G1) and
Brooklyn Handicap (G2), both at 9-furlongs.
Unaccounted For, the
damsire of Hoppertunity, was a multiple graded stakes winner who was
competitive from 9 to 10 furlongs. His most notable stakes wins at 9 furlongs
was in the Jim Dandy Stakes (G2) and Whitney Handicap (G1). In 10-furlongs
competition, Unaccounted For finished second in the Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1)
and third in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).
Jockey Mike
Smith rode Hoppertunity in the Rebel Stakes (G2) and he retains the mount in
the Santa Anita Derby (G1). I look for both to be competitive in this race.
A couple of interesting-looking
long shots I like in the Derby are Big Tire (20-1) and Schoolofhardrocks (10-1).
Big Tire has
yet to run in stakes competition and he comes into this race with a 1-2-0
record in six starts for trainer Mark Glatt and owners Donkey Island Racing LLC
and Halo Farms. After six attempts, Big Tire finally broke his maiden in his
last race by a narrow nose victory. The final time of 1:35.52 is right in the ball
park of what I like to see a young colt run on the Derby Trail.
With Candy Ride as his sire and Giant’s Causeway as his
damsire, Big Tire should be able to handle the stretch out to 9 furlongs and, perhaps,
spring an upset at a nice price.
The tail-female
line of Big Tire descends from the Reines-de-Course mare and Matriarch of the
Turf Rough Shod in the
sixth generation who was an important influence in the pedigrees of Lt. Stevens, Ridan, Moccasin, Gambetta, Thong, Nureyev, Sadler’s Wells, Montjeu, Galileo, Miesque, Peteski, Peintre Celebre, Big Brown and Unusual Heat to name a
few.
Schoolofhardrocks
comes into this race off of a fourth-place finish in the San Felipe Stakes (G2)
and another move forward could make him competitive.
2014 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD
Individual Leaders ranking,
total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Vicar’s In Trouble, 120, Mike Maker, $760,000
2. Toast of New
York, 100, Jamie Osborne, $1,200,000
3. Constitution,
100, Todd Pletcher, $600,000
4. Intense Holiday, 93, Todd
Pletcher, $527,500
5. Wildcat Red, 90,
Jose Garrofalo, $665,000
6. We Miss Artie,
60, Todd Pletcher, $544,000
7. Samraat, 60, Rick Violette, Jr., $450,000
8. Hoppertunity,
55, Bob Baffert, $376,000
9. Chitu, 54, Bob
Baffert, $440,000
10. Midnight Hawk, 52, Bob Baffert, $320,000
11. Ring Weekend,
50, Graham Motion, $210,000
12. California
Chrome, 50, Art Sherman, $182,250
13. General
A Rod, 40, Mike Maker, $240,000
14. Tapiture,
42, Steve Asmussen, $420,738
15. Albano, 34, Larry Jones, $190,000
16. Cairo Prince,
24, Kiaran McGlaughlin, $520,000
17. Uncle Sigh, 24, Gary Contessa, $150,000
18. Vinceremos, 20, Todd Pletcher, $190,000
19. Harry’s Holiday, 20, Mike Maker, $150,596
20. Commanding Curve, 20, Dallas Stewart, $104,000
I would have preferred if the colt name was "California Gold" because he is going to win by daylight.
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