©2017 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
The
Road to the Kentucky Derby takes us to the Empire State
Saturday where GOOD
MAGIC has
been tabbed as the lukewarm 7-2 morning line favorite in the 146th
running of the $500,000 Champagne Stakes (G1) at Belmont Park. Post time is 4:13
p.m. ET. for the Champagne Stakes (G1) which is a Breeders’ Cup “Win and You’re
In” Challenge Race.
There
are several horses in this herd that recently broke their maiden and Good Magic,
comes into this race off of a second-place finish in his maiden debut for
trainer Chad Brown. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:
GOOD MAGIC three
wide in pursuit, advanced to latch on to the aforementioned foe [HAZIT] midway
on the turn, came under coaxing five-sixteenths from home, continued three wide
into upper stretch shaken off a bit straightened away, rallied to latch on once
more a furlong out digging in under a drive but was ultimately repelled to the
finish while clear of the rest for the place honors.
Good
Magic looked good finishing second in his maiden debut and he has room to
improve off that effort. With an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred
Profile®, Good
Magic is one of the better bred colts in this race.
Curlin, the sire of Good Magic, was an outstanding racehorse
that compiled an 11-2-2 record in 16 career starts with $10,501,800 in career
earnings.
Curlin did not
start as a two year old. But, at the age of three, Curlin was 6-1-2 in nine
starts with $5,102,800 in earnings including wins in the Rebel Stakes (G3) and
Arkansas Derby (G2) en route to a third-place finish in the 2007 Kentucky Derby
(G1). He went on to win the Preakness Stakes (G1) and he finished second in the
Belmont Stakes (G1).
Other important
stakes wins include the Breeders'
Cup Classic (G1), Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), twice, Dubai World Cup (G1),
Stephen Foster Handicap (G1), Woodward Stakes (G1), and the UAE Jaguar Trophy
Handicap.
Good
Magic was a $1 million session four sale topper at the 2016 Keeneland September
Yearling Sale and he was a yearling (Hip 845) on my sales list.
It
remains to be seen if Good Magic can step up in class to win graded stakes
honors. However, he has the breeding to be competitive and two recent bullet
work outs since his last race could have him ready to take another big step
forward.
I
look for Good Magic to run a good race.
A
long shot I like is STRONGER (15-1) who’s trained by Eric
Guillot. He comes into this race with a 1-0-0 record in two starts including an
impressive maiden win at Gulfstream Park last out. Here’s the video and chart
call of that race:
STRONGER sat in
god stalking position sitting outside the top trio, let out notch and steadily
moved up closer reaching the leader at the quarter pole, matched strides
turning for home then gave rival slip, pulled away to clear commanding lead and
ridden out in deep stretch.
Stronger
improved in the stretch out in distance and looked good breaking his maiden by
6½ lengths. But the time of 1:37.78 for the mile was slower than what I like
and he’ll need to pick up the pace in order to earn graded stakes honors in the
Champagne Stakes (G1).
Bodemeister, the sire of Stronger, did not
race until the age of three when he made six starts for Hall of Fame Trainer
Bob Baffert, compiling a 2-4-0 record in six starts with $1,304,800 in career
earnings.
He
raced twice in the maiden ranks before finishing second in his third start, the
San Felipe Stakes (G2). In his fourth start, Baffert shipped Bodemeister to
Oaklawn Park where he was my pick to win the Arkansas Derby
(G1). Bodemeister trounced the field, winning by an outstanding 9½ lengths. He
then went on to finish second in both the Kentucky Derby (G1) and Preakness
Stakes (G1).
Stronger
is the best bred colt in this race with an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred
Profile® and he was a yearling (Hip 4154) I liked at the 2016
Keeneland September Yearling Sale. However, he was taken out of the sale.
Stronger
appears to like the Belmont track and a recent bullet work out could have him
ready to run a career best.
HONORABLE
TREASURE
(6-1) comes into this race with a 1-0-0 record in two starts for trainer Kenny
McPeek including an impressive win in a maiden race last out at Saratoga. Here’s
the video and chart
call:
HONORABLE
TREASURE four then three wide in aim of the front, came under coaxing at the five-sixteenths
upping the pressure on the leader, spun just off the inside for home taking
over command, drew clear under a drive kept to task.
Honorable
Treasure tracked just off the leader, chasing fast fractions, and pulled away with
authority at the eighth pole to win by an impressive 6¼ lengths.
To Honor and Serve, the sire of Honorable
Treasure, was a young colt I liked, along with my top pick Animal Kingdom, on the 2011 Kentucky Derby Trail.
In
three racing seasons, To Honor and Serve was a multiple graded-stakes winner
who compiled an 8-1-3 record in 17 starts with $1,798,840 in career earnings.
To
Honor and Serve compiled a 3-1-0 record in four starts as a two year old with
wins in the Nashua Stakes (G2) and Remsen Stakes (G2).
As
a three year old, he was 3-0-2 in seven starts with a win in the Pennsylvania
Derby and (G2) and the Cigar Mile Handicap (G1).
At
the age of four, To Honor and Serve won the Westchester Stakes (G3) and
Woodward Stakes (G1).
Honorable
Treasure has a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and has room to improve
in his third start of the season. I look for him to run a good race.
ENTICED (10-1) comes into this race
off of a maiden debut win over a muddy track for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin. Here’s
the video and chart
call:
ENTICED broke at
the start, jostled with EGYPTIAN PRICE early, chased the pace on the outside,
dropped back while climbing into the kickback mid-way down the backstretch,
raced inside early on the turn,
When
he initially encountered the kickback, Enticed dropped back five lengths off of
the leaders but recovered nicely and made up ground to win “in hand” by 1¾ lengths
at the finish.
Medaglia d’Oro, the sire of Enticed, was a good multiple graded-stakes
winner that compiled an 8-7-0 record in 17 starts with $5,754,720 in career
earnings. Overall, he had seven wins and five second-place finishes in 14 route
races.
Medaglia
d’Oro finished second in his only start as a two year old but as a three year old
he won the San Felipe Stakes (G2) and finished second in the Wood Memorial
Stakes (G1) in route to the 2002 Derby where he finished in fourth place.
In
the Preakness Stakes (G1), Medaglia d’Oro finished eighth but rebounded from
that run to finish second in the Belmont Stakes (G1). He went on to complete
his racing season as a three year old with wins in the nine-furlong Jim Dandy
Stakes (G2) and the 10-furlong Travers Stakes (G1).
As
a four year old, Medaglia d’Oro won the nine-furlong Strub Stakes (G2), Oaklawn
Handicap (G2) and Whitney Handicap (G1). In addition, he finished second in the
10-furlong Pacific Classic Stakes (G1) and Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).
At
the age of five, Medaglia d’Oro won the nine-furlong Donn Handicap (G1) and
finished second in the 10-furlong Emirates Airline Dubai World Cup (G1).
Enticed
has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and a recent bullet work out
since his last race could have him ready to take another big step forward.
Honorable
mention goes to HAZIT (4-1) who comes into this race
off of a maiden win, defeating Good Magic by one length.
*****
This
is the sixth consecutive year for Churchill Downs to use a point system to
determine eligibility to get into the Kentucky Derby starting gate. A total of
36 races comprise the Road to the Kentucky Derby and a significant change to
the schedule is the addition of the Springboard Mile at Remington Park on
December 17.
In
addition to the Japan road to the Derby which
features the Cattleya Sho Stakes (November 25), Zen-Nippon Nisai Yushan Stakes
(December 13) and Hayacinth Stakes (February 2018), Churchill Downs has added a
European road to Derby glory consisting
of seven races: Juddmonte Beresford (September 24), Juddmonte Royal Lodge
(September 30), Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardère (October 1), Racing Post Trophy
(October 28, Road to the Kentucky Derby Condition Stakes (March 1), Patton
(March 2) and the Burradon (March 30).
2017/2018 KENTUCKY DERBY
LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Bold d’Oro, 10, Mick Ruis, $360,000
2. The Tabulator,
10, Larry Rivelli, $126,750
3. Hollywood Star, 4, Dale Romans, $68,500
4. Solomini, 4, Bob Baffert, $60,000
5. Ten City, 2, Kenny McPeek, $83,300
6. Take the One O One, 2, Brian Koriner, $36,345
7. Ayacara, 1, Keith Desormeaux, $18,000
8. Ebben, 1, Steve Margolis , $7875
EUROPEAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Happily, 10, Aidan O’Brien,
2.
Saxon Warrior (JPN), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $84,592
3. Roaring Lion
(USA), 10, John Gosden, $75,986
4.
Olmedo, 4, Jean-Claude Rouget,
5.
Nelson (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $99,826
6.
Delano Roosevelt (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $38,074
7.
Masar, 2, Aidan O’Brien,
8.
Mildenberger (ENG), 2, Mark Johnston, $64,634
9.
Warm the Voice (IRE), 2, Brendan Duke, $12,904
10.
Kew Gardens (IRE), 1, Aidan O’Brien, $28,605
11.
Woodmax, 1, Nicolas Clement,
12.
Petrus (IRE), 1, Brian Meehan, $7,182
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