Sunday, April 10, 2016

Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® Picks Wood Memorial Stakes Winner, Exacta

©2016 Calvin L. Carter. All rights reserved.

Congratulations to all who may have used my Wood Memorial (G1) selections Outwork ($6.80, 4.80, 3.90) and Trojan Nation ($40.60, 13.40) as a two dollar wager netted them $319.50 for the Exacta. Here’s a look at what I wrote about them:

A huge long shot I like in this race is Trojan Nation (30-1) who ships in from California for trainer Patrick Gallagher. Here’s the video and chart call of his last race:

TROJAN NATION between foes early, settled off the rail, continued outside leaving the second turn and four wide into the stretch, drifted in some and bested the others.

Trojan Nation is yet to break his maiden and he comes into this race with a 0-0-3 record in five starts. Gallagher must like what he sees in this improving colt and, perhaps, the Wood is an easier spot for him than the Santa Anita Derby (G1).
Indeed, with an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, Trojan Nation is the best-bred colt in this herd. But, he’s yet to live up to that breeding.
Street Cry, the sire of Trojan Nation, was an outstanding, multiple graded stakes winner who finished in the money in all 12 of his lifetime starts, compiling a 5-6-1 record with $5,150,837 in career earnings.
As a two year old, Street Cry lost out on graded stakes honors by the narrowest of margins with second-place finishes in both the Del Mar Futurity (G2) and Norfolk Stakes (G2) and a third-place finish in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes (G1).
As a three year old, Street Cry won the UAE 2,000 Guineas and finished second in both the UAE Derby (G2) and Discovery Handicap (G3).
Street Cry’s best season was as a four year old when he compiled a 3-1-0 record in four starts with victories in the Maktoum Challenge-Round 3 (G2), Dubai World Cup (G1) and Stephen Foster Handicap (G1). Street Cry finished his racing career with a second-place finish in the Whitney Handicap (G1).
One never knows if a young Thoroughbred, like Trojan Nation, will live up to his breeding and there can be many factors that contribute to a horse not running to his Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® – Effinex is a good example of that.
Trojan Nation has room to improve in his third start of the season, and a recent bullet work out might have him ready to make another step forward and, perhaps, a payoff at a nice price.
Outwork (5-2) is an improving colt who comes into this race with a 2-1-0 record in three starts for trainer Todd Pletcher including a second-place finish to Destin in the Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (G2). Here’s the video and chart of that race:

OUTWORK set the pace on the inside, dueled on the far turn, dug in gamely inside and battled the winner through the lane.

After leading throughout the race, Outwork finally gave up the lead and was a one length, runner up to Destin who set a new track record time of 1:42.82 in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2).
Uncle Mo, the sire of Mo Tom, was undefeated in three starts as a two year old with wins in the Champagne Stakes (G1) and the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes (G1) and he was picked as the 2010 Eclipse Champion Two Year Old Colt.
As a three year old, Uncle Mo won the Timely Writer Stakes and finished third in the Wood Memorial Stakes (G1). The Friday before the Kentucky Derby, Uncle Mo was scratched from the race with a mysterious ailment which was later diagnosed as a liver disease called cholangiohepatitis. 
Outwork is one of several Uncle Mo colts on this year’s trail and he has a low Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® score. However, his Behavior Index makes him competitive, and, sometimes, horses with a low profile score can win races that are shorter than the classic 10 furlong distance.
It will be interesting to see if Outwork can finish better in this race than his sire, Uncle Mo, who finished third in the 2011 Wood Memorial Stakes (G1).

Like an intricate puzzle, the pedigree contains many secrets of what champions are made of and everything one needs to know about the horse, from the physical conformational characteristics to the emotional and behavioral traits, can be found in the pedigree of the horse if one knows the families, Ancestral Herd that formed the foal.
For the first time in the history of the Thoroughbred, the empirical evidence gathered through the robust power of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® software shows that the pedigree is the only true standard, indicator of horse performance, especially of their classic potential.
In addition to being an exceptional handicapping tool and predictor of classic races like the Kentucky Derby, Preakness, and Belmont, Dallas and I are confident that the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® software will prove to be a valuable tool for horse owners and breeders helping them to take the guesswork out of purchasing and breeding their horses.
Some unique features of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®:

  • It unlocks the secret of the Ancestral Herd influence.

  • Is a valuable handicapping tool that shows in the profile score which horses have the potential to be top-quality stakes winners or a classic winner of races like the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont.

  • Is a valuable breeding analytical tool that shows horse owners and breeders how a mare can upgrade or downgrade a stallion she is bred to through the profile score of the foal from that mating.

  • Shows if the foal has the potential to be a quality stakes horse or classic champion.

  • Shows horse owners how their entire bloodstock can be upgraded by using the profile score to help them make the best breeding decisions resulting in less overbreeding and fewer potential equine welfare issues.

  • Is a valuable Thoroughbred sales analytical tool that shows buyers how to make the best decisions and investments when buying horses at auction.

  • Shows which horses purchased at auction may have the potential to be a top-quality stakes winner while a select few will have a profile score that indicates they could be a winner of a classic race like the Kentucky Derby.

If you are planning to breed, or purchase at auction, a potential classic-winning Thoroughbred, the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® is the analytical tool you need to take the guesswork out of buying and breeding champion racehorses.
The empirical data of the Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® will easily show you which horses have the potential to be classic champions while other horses may only be quality stakes winners.
The profile will give you the important information necessary to make the best decisions and investments when breeding or buying horses at auction. For a free consultation, please contact us at my website Classic Champion Thoroughbreds, LLC.

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