©2020 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
The
Championship
Series of the Road to the Kentucky Derby
kicks off Saturday at the
Fair Grounds with the 48th running of the $400,000 Risen Star Stakes
(G2) which has been split into two divisions with eleven horses entered in
Division I and twelve horses entered in Division II. The top four finishers in
each division will earn 50-20-10-5 Derby points. Here’s a look at the competitors:
DIVISION
I – Race 12
(Post
Time 6:38 p.m. ET)
ENFORCEABLE has been tabbed as the 7-2 morning-line
favorite. He comes into this race for trainer Mark Casse with a 2-1-2 record in
seven starts including a win last out in the Le Comte Stakes (G 3). Here’s the video
and chart
call of that race:
ENFORCEABLE
went four wide on the first turn, settled towards the rear of the field, was
urged along while three wide early on the far turn, shifted five wide while
gaining at the five-sixteenths, rallied six wide into the stretch, closed fast
to get the lead at the three-sixteenths, kicked clear nearing the furlong
marker and held under steady urging.
Enforceable
ran toward the back of the herd to the far turn when he swung to the outside
and rallied to win by 1½ lengths.
Tapit,
the sire of Fame to Famous, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a
3-0-0 record in six starts with $557,300 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Tapit was
undefeated in two starts including a win in the Laurel Futurity (G3). Tapit was troubled by a lung infection for
much of his three-year-old season but he did win the nine-furlong Wood Memorial
Stakes (G1) in route to a ninth-place finish in the 2004 Kentucky Derby.
At stud, Tapit has sired numerous
graded stakes winners including the Belmont Stakes (G1) champions Tapwrit
(2017), Creator
(2016) and Tonalist
(2014). In addition to Enforceable, other runners on the Derby trail include Frosted, Hansen, Cupid, Ring Weekend, Constitution, Mohaymen
and Hofburg.
A
full brother to Mohaymen and a half-brother to New Year’s Day, Enforceable is a colt (Hip 76) we profiled at the 2018
Keeneland September Yearling Sale and he has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred
Profile®.
Enforceable
has the breeding to win this race. He’s been training well at the Fair Grounds
and he has room to take another big step forward in his second start of the
season.
BLACKBERRY WINE (5-1) comes into this race for
trainer Joe Sharp with a 2-0-3 record in six starts including a win last out in
an Allowance Optional Claiming race at the Fair Grounds. Here’s the chart
call of that race:
BLACKBERRY
WINE bumped with a rival at the start, went to the front, rounded the first
turn in the two path, was well rated while setting the pace off the inside,
raced in the two path on the far turn, was asked inside the five-sixteenths,
lost the lead in upper stretch, fought back gamely in the final furlong,
regained the lead inside the sixteenth-pole and prevailed under vigorous
urging.
Blackberry
Wine took the lead on the first turn and briefly trailed to Digital in the stretch run but
rallied to regain the lead and win by one length.
Orb, the sire of Blackberry Wine,
was a multiple graded stakes winner and Classic Champion Thoroughbred that
compiled a 5-0-3 record in 12 starts with $2,612,516 in career earnings.
As
a two-year-old, Orb was 1-0-1 in four starts in maiden special weight company.
At
the age of three, Orb won the Besilu Stables Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) and
the Besilu Stables Florida Derby (G1) en route to a first-place finish in the
2013 Kentucky Derby (G1). He also finished third in the Belmont Stakes (G1) and
Travers Stakes (G1).
Blackberry
Win has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s the best-bred
colt in this herd of runners. He’s been training well at the Fair Grounds and I
look for him to take another step forward in his second start of the season.
A
long shot I like is MOON
OVER MIAMI (10-1) who comes into this race for trainer Bill Mott with a
1-0-0 record in three starts including a fifth-place finish last out at Gulfstream
Park. Here’s the video
and chart
call:
MOON
OVER MIAMI raced six wide entering the first turn, stayed outside and rated off
the early pace, raced seven wide under pressure at head of the lane and lacked
the needed response for late impact.
Moon
Over Miami ran toward the back of the herd early but made a mild rally in the
stretch to miss out on finishing second by 1½ lengths.
Malibu
Moon, the sire
of Moon Over Miami, made only two starts as a two-year-old, compiling a 1-1-0
record, before a slab fracture ended his racing career.
At
stud, Malibu Moon sired the
2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb. In addition, he’s sired several horses that have been
competitive on the Derby trail such as Gormley, Danzig
Moon, Mr.
Z and Stanford. Other nice runners sired by Malibu
Moon include Life At Ten, Devil May Care,
Declan’s Moon, Ask
the Moon,
Prospective, Kauai
Katie, Moon Catcher,
Moonshine Memories, Ransom the Moon,
and Malibu Mint.
Moon
Over Miami has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s a colt we profiled
(Hip
607) at the 2018
Keeneland September Yearling Sale.
The
beaten favorite last out, Moon Over Miami he has the breeding to win this race,
however, he’ll need to improve his game to earn graded stakes honors.
SILVER STATE (4-1) comes into this race for trainer Steve
Asmussen with a 1-2-0 record in three starts including a second-place finish in
the Le Comte Stakes. Here’s the video
and chart
call of that race:
SILVER
STATE bobbled at the start while bumping with a foe, went four wide on the
first turn, settled in the back half of the field, was urged along in the two
path for most of the far turn then moved to the three path, swung six wide into
the stretch, raced inside of FINNICK THE FIERCE into the final furlong, found
clear space in front of him at that point and finished with good energy to get
the place.
Silver
State came from off the pace and rallied down the stretch and get up for second
place honors.
Hard Spun,
the sire of Silver State, was undefeated in three starts as a two-year-old,
including wins in the Port Penn Stakes and Pennsylvania Nursery Stakes. As a
three-year-old on the Derby trail, Hard spun was 2-0-0 in three starts
including wins in the Le Comte Stakes (G3) and Lane’s End Stakes (G2).
Hard Spun went on to finish
second in the Kentucky Derby (G1), third in the Preakness Stakes (G1) and
rounded out his classic campaign with a fourth-place finish in the Belmont
Stakes (G1).
As a stallion, Hard Spun’s best
runner on the Kentucky Derby trail was Wicked Strong
who finished fourth in the 2014 Derby. His other top runners include: Le Romain,
Hard
Aces, Hard Not to
Like, Someries,
Gatting,
King’s
Spun, Promising Run,
Questing
and Hardest
Core.
Silver
State has a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and that makes him
competitive in this race. Silver State has been training well at the Fair
Grounds and I look for him to take another step forward in his first start of
the season.
Honorable
mention goes to Scabbard (12-1) and Mr. Monomoy (6-1). Scabbard
has a C Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s a colt we profiled (Hip
802) at
the 2018 Keeneland September Yearling Sale.
DIVISION
II – Race 13
(Post
Time 7:12 p.m. ET)
ANNEAU D’OR
is tabbed as the morning-line 9-5 favorite in what, potentially, could be a
wide-open race. He comes into this race with a 1-2-0 record in three starts for
trainer Blaine Wright including a second-place finish in the Los Alamitos Futurity
Stakes (G2) last December. Here the video and chart call:
ANNEAU D'OR saved ground stalking
the pace, came out on the second turn and three deep into the stretch, bid
three wide in the drive, momentarily put a head in front nearing the sixteenth
pole and continued gamely to the end.
Anneau d’Or stalked the pace and fought
valiantly in the stretch to lose by a narrow neck to the victory Thousand
Words.
Medaglia
d’Oro, the sire of Anneau d’Or, was a
good middle-distance runner that compiled an 8-7-0 record in 17 starts with
$5,754,720 in career earnings. Overall, he had seven wins and five second-place
finishes in 14 route races.
Medaglia d’Oro finished second in
his only start as a two year old but as a three year old he won the San Felipe
Stakes (G2) and finished second in the Wood Memorial Stakes (G1) in route to
the 2002 Derby where he finished in fourth place.
In the Preakness Stakes (G1),
Medaglia d’Oro finished eighth but rebounded from that run to finish second in
the Belmont Stakes (G1). He went on to complete his racing season as a three
year old with wins in the nine-furlong Jim Dandy Stakes (G2) and the 10-furlong
Travers Stakes (G1).
As a four year old, Medaglia
d’Oro won the nine-furlong Strub Stakes (G2), Oaklawn Handicap (G2) and Whitney
Handicap (G1). In addition, he finished second in the 10-furlong Pacific
Classic Stakes (G1) and Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).
At the age of five, Medaglia
d’Oro won the nine-furlong Donn Handicap (G1) and finished second in the
10-furlong Emirates Airline Dubai World Cup (G1).
Anneau d’Or has an A+ Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and time will tell if he can step up to win
graded stakes honors.
A long shot I like is MR. BIG
NEWS
(20-1) who comes into this race with a 1-1-0 record in four starts for trainer Brad
Cox including a maiden win last out at the Fair Grounds. Here’s chart
call
of that race:
MR. BIG NEWS settled into stride early entering the
first turn four wide then coming in a path late on that bend content to track
off the leaders toward the rear, began to pick it up three wide moving between
foes early on the far turn then tipping out a further path on that bend, took
aim in upper stretch, drifted a bit in the lane but got up just in time.
Mr.
Big News ran toward the back of the herd to the far turn then made a big move
down the stretch run to get up at the wire and win by a nose.
Giant’s
Causeway, the sire of Mr. Big News, was
undefeated in three starts as a 2-year-old, including wins in the Group 3
Futurity Stakes and the Group 1 Prix de la Salamandre Stakes, all at 7-furlongs.
As a three year old, Giant’s
Causeway raced 10 times and won five Group One races including the Irish Champion
Stakes, International Stakes, Sussex Stakes, St. James’s Palace Stakes, Eclipse
Stakes and he won the Group 3 Gladness Stakes. He also finished second in four
races: Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, 2,000 Guineas Stakes, Irish 2,000 Guineas and
he finished second by a narrow neck to Tiznow in the 2000 Breeders’ Cup
Classic.
Overall, Giant’s Causeway
compiled a 9-4-0 record
in 13 starts, winning from 7- to 10-furlongs, and he was the 2000 Cartier
Racing Awards European Horse of the Year.
In 2018, Giant’s Causeway died at
the age of 21. During his career as a stallion, Giant’s Causeway sired numerous
graded and group stakes winners including the Classic Champion Thoroughbreds Shamardal, Mike Fox, and Irish Mission.
In addition, Giant’s Causeway had
numerous runners on the Kentucky Derby Trail including Carpe Diem, Giant Oak, Brody’s Cause, Creative
Cause,
Destin, Cowboy Cal, Hold Me Back, First Samurai, Fed Biz and Eskendereya to name a few.
Mr.
Big News has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s a colt we
profiled (Hip 3) at the 2018 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky
October Yearling Sale. He’s the best-bred colt in this herd of runners and, coming
off a maiden win last month, he could be putting everything together at the
right time of year.
Mr.
Big News has room to improve in his second start of the season and I look for
him to run a good race.
Another
long shot I like is FAME
TO FAMOUS (20-1) who comes into this race with a 1-1-1 record in five
starts including a fourth-place finish last November in the Pulpit Stakes at
Gulfstream Park. Here’s the video
and chart
call:
FAME
TO FAMOUS secured rail position and settled in range down the backstretch,
angled out a couple paths and launched a bid around the far turn, raced in
contention entering top stretch then failed to move on.
Racing
along the rail, chasing blistering fast fractions, Fame to Famous tracked the
leaders but could not make up ground in the stretch to finish fourth to Sole Volante who won the
Sam F. Davis Stakes (G3) last Saturday at Tampa Bay Downs.
Tapit,
the sire of Fame to Famous, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a
3-0-0 record in six starts with $557,300 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Tapit was
undefeated in two starts including a win in the Laurel Futurity (G3). Tapit was troubled by a lung infection for
much of his three-year-old season but he did win the nine-furlong Wood Memorial
Stakes (G1) in route to a ninth-place finish in the 2004 Kentucky Derby.
At stud, Tapit has sired numerous
graded stakes winners including the Belmont Stakes (G1) champions Tapwrit
(2017), Creator
(2016) and Tonalist
(2014). Other runners on the Derby trail include Frosted, Enforceable, Hansen, Cupid, Ring Weekend, Constitution, Mohaymen
and Hofburg.
Fame
to Famous has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s a colt (Hip 662) we
profiled at the 2018 Keeneland September Yearling Sale. Fame to Famous has the
breeding to win this race and time will tell if he can step up to earn graded
stakes honors.
MAJOR FED (10-1) comes into this race for
trainer Greg Foley off an impressive maiden last out at the Fair Grounds. Here’s
the chart
call of that race:
MAJOR
FED drifted out just after the start, went three wide on the first turn, was
rated off the pace, came under urging near the half-mile pole, went five wide
on the far turn, rallied six wide into the stretch, closed strongly to get the
lead inside the three-sixteenths then drew away while kept to the task.
Major
Fed tracked the leaders mid-pack and made a huge move on the far turn to take
the lead and pull away to win by an impressive 4¼ lengths.
Ghostzapper,
a 2012 Hall of Fame inductee and the sire of Major Fed, was an incredibly talented, multiple graded stakes winner that
compiled a 9-0-1 record in 11 starts with $3,466,120 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Ghostzapper
won his maiden special weight debut by nine lengths and was 1-0-0 in two
starts. At the age of three, Ghostzapper won the Vosburgh Stakes (G1) and
finished third in the King’s Bishop (G1), compiling a 3-0-1 record in four
starts.
As a four-year-old, Ghostzapper
was undefeated in four starts winning the Tom Fool Handicap (G2), Philip H.
Iselin Breeders’ Cup Handicap (G3), Woodward Stakes (G1) and the Breeders’ Cup
Classic Powered by Dodge (G1). In addition, Ghostzapper was selected as the
2004 Eclipse Horse of the Year and Eclipse Champion Older Horse.
In his only start as a
five-year-old, Ghostzapper was a 6 ¼ length winner of the one-mile Metropolitan
Handicap (G1).
As
a stallion, Ghostzapper’s leading lifetime runners include: Shaman Ghost, Moreno, Judy the Beauty, Paulassilverlining, Better Lucky, Stately Victor, Molly Morgan, Contested and McCraken to name a few.
Major
Fed has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he has the breeding to
be a factor in this race.
Honorable
mention goes to Excession (20-1) and Finnick the Fierce
(10-1). Excession is a colt (Hip
855) we profiled at the 2018
Keeneland September Yearling Sale and
he has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®.
*****
This
Saturday, the Road to the Kentucky Derby will also take us to Golden Gate
Fields racetrack in California for the $100,000 El Camino Real Derby which is
not part of the Championship Series of races.
The
only horse in this race that interests me as a potential Derby prospect is AZUL COAST (2-1) who comes
into the Derby for trainer Bob Baffert off a second-place finish in the Sham Stakes
(G3) last out.
Azul Coast has an A+ Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he was a colt (Hip
1177) we profiled at the 2018 Keeneland
September Yearling Sale. He has the
breeding to win this race and time will tell if Azul Coast can step up to earn
graded stakes honors.
*****
A
total of 35 races comprise the Road to the Kentucky Derby. In addition, there
are seven races on the European road to the Kentucky Derby and there three
races on the Japan road to Derby glory.
2020 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Storm the Court, 22, Peter Eurton, $1,136,351
2. Tiz the Law, 22,
Barclay Tagg, $456,000
3. Thousand Words, 20, Bob Baffert, $181,000
4. Independence Hall, 14, Mike Trombetta, $205,000
5. Shotski, 14, Jeremiah O’Dwyer, $193,466
6. +Enforceable, 13, Mark
Casse, $264,550
7. Anneau d’Or, 12, Blaine Wright, $381,000
8. Shoplifted, 12,
Steve Asmussen, $351,000
9. Silver Prospector, 11, Steve Asmussen, $204,851
10. Maxfield, 10, Brendan Walsh, $300,000
11. Eight Rings, 10, Bob Baffert, $200,35
12. Sole Volante, 10, Patrick Biancone, $173,510
13. Dennis’ Moment, 10, Dale Romans, $137,800
14. +Max Player, 10, Linda Rice, $137,500
15. Gold Street, 10, Steve Asmussen, $137,250
16. Authentic, 10, Bob Baffert, $60,000
17. Ajaaweed, 5, Kiaran McLaughlin, $95,000
18. +Scabbard, 6, Eddie Kenneally, $178,000
19. Wrecking Crew, 5, Peter Miller, $293,000
20. Finnick the Fierce, 5, Rey Hernandez, $66,200
30. +Azul Coast, 4, Bob Baffert, $20,000
+ = Enforceable (Hip 76), Max
Player
(Hip
929),
Scabbard (Hip
802)
and Azul Coast (Hip
1177)
were colts we profiled at the 2018
Keeneland September Yearling Sale.
Unlike other companies that
provide automatic computer-generated pedigree analysis of yearlings at auction,
Classic Champion Thoroughbreds LLC personally handpicks from the sales catalog
all yearlings to
be profiled at auction based upon their breeding.
EUROPEAN
ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking,
total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Kameko, 14, Andrew Balding, $192,894
2.
Innisfree (IRE), 14, Aidan O’Brien, $127,856
3.
Victor Ludorum, 10, Andre Fabre, $250,958
4.
Royal Donarch (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $115,813
5.
Alson (GER), 4, J.P. Carvalho, $135,572
6.
Shekhem (IRE), 4, Dermot Weld, $24,068
7.
Year of the Tiger (IRE), 3, Aidan O’Brien $36,086
8.
Armory (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $258,793
9.
Iberia (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $25,389
10.
Gold Maze (GB), 2, Jessica Harrington, $12,034
11.
Mogul (GB), 1, Aidan O’Brien, $111,879
12.
Ecrivain (FR), 1, Carlos Laffon-Parias, $69.202
13.
Camorra (IRE), 1, Ger Lyons, $3,610
JAPAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Vacation (JPN), 20, Kenichi Takatsuki, $499,874
2.
Dieu du Vin (JPN), 10, Yukihiro Kato, $159,609
3.
Iolite (JPN), 8, Yoshinori Muto, $246,008
4.
T’s Dunk (JPN), 4, Takashi Mizuno, $143,414
5.
Shonan Mario (JPN), 4, Shizuya Kato, $96,526
6.
Meisho Tensui (JPN), 2, Katsumi Miani, $255,394
7.
Daimei Corrida (JPN), 2, Naoyuki Morita, $107,736
8.
Aurora Tesoro, 1, Yoshihiro Hatakeyama, $99,395
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