©2020 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
The
Road to the Kentucky Derby
takes us this Friday to
Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Arkansas where SILVER PROSPECTOR will go to the starting gate as
the 5-2 morning-line favorite in the 13th running of the $150,000
Smarty Jones Stakes. Post time is 4:52 p.m. ET.
Silver
Prospector comes into this race with a 2-0-2 record in six starts for trainer
Steve Asmussen including a win in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) last
out. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:
SILVER
PROSPECTOR SILVER PROSPECTOR was well placed early on, shifted into the four
path in the far turn, bid three wide down the lane, was under long drive and
edged clear in the final stages. FINNICK THE FIERCE raced back early on along
the outside, was in the five path entering the lane, made a bid down the lane,
was three wide late, got up for place but did not have enough to the winner.
Silver
Prospector tracked the leaders to the far turn when he made a move in the
stretch and gutted out a three-quarter length victory over Finnick the Fierce.
Kentucky-bred Declaration
of War,
the sire of Silver Prospector, was a multiple Group Stakes winner in England
that compiled a 7-1-2 record in 13 starts with $1,847,489 in career earnings.
At the age of two, Declaration of
War was undefeated in two starts.
At the age of three, he was 2-0-0
in three starts with a win in the Diamond Stakes (Group 3).
At four, Declaration of War was
3-1-2 in eight starts with wins in the Heritage Stakes, Queen Anne Stakes
(Group 1) and Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1). He finished second in
the Coral Eclipse Stakes (Group 1) and third in both the QIPCO Sussex Stakes
(Group 1) and Breeders’ Cup Classic (G3).
Silver
Prospector has an C Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and that makes him competitive in this race.
Since
winning the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2), Silver Prospector has been
training well at the Fair Grounds and I look for him to run a good race.
A
long shot I like is SHARED SENSE (12-1) who comes into this race
with 0-2-0 record in three starts for trainer
Brad Cox including a second-place finish at Churchill Downs last November.
Here’s the chart call:
SHARED
SENSE chased the pace early, shifted into the four path in the far turn and was
no match for the winner in the stretch run.
Shared
Sense ran just off the leaders and made a move on the far turn to secure a second-place
finish to Blackberry
Wine who has since become somewhat of a buzz horse for the upcoming Risen
Star Stakes (G2) at the Fair Grounds of February 15.
Street Sense,
the sire of Shared Sense, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a
6-4-2 record in 13 starts with $4,383,200 in career earnings.
As a two year old, Street Sense
finished third in both the Arlington-Washington Breeders’ Cup Futurity (G3) and
the Lane’s End Breeders’ Futurity (G1). He followed that with a win in the 2006
Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes (G1) and was tabbed as the Eclipse Champion Two
Year Old.
Street Sense won his season debut as a three
year old in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) and finished second in the Blue Grass Stakes
(G1) en route to a 2¼ length win over Hard Spun in the 2007 Kentucky Derby.
Shared Sense has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s the
best-bred horse in this herd of runners. He’s been training well at Oaklawn and
a recent bullet work could have him ready to run a good race.
LYNN’S MAP
(6-1) was scheduled to make his first start of the season in the LeComte Stakes
(G3) last weekend but trainer Mark Casse scratched him from that race. Lynn’s
Map comes into this race with a 2-0-1 record in three starts including a win
last out. Here’s the video and chart
call of that race:
LYNN'S MAP was forced out badly
at the start, went around the turn in the three path under tight restraint,
tracked the pace on the outside, rounded the far turn in the four path, was
asked outside the quarter-pole, chased the runner-up under a drive into the
final sixteenth, gained determinedly on that foe late and got up under strong
urging.
Lynn’s Map tracked the leaders on
the outside to the far turn and then made a long drive in the stretch to run
down Mr.
Monomoy
and win by a head at the wire.
Liam’s Map, the sire of Lynn’s Map, was a
multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a 6-2-0 record in eight starts with
$1,358,940 in career earnings.
Liam’s
Map was unraced at the age of two.
At
the age of three, he finished second in his maiden debut at Saratoga and then
went on to win three races including the Harlan’s Holiday Stakes.
At
the age of four, Liam’s Map compiled a 3-1-0 record in four starts with wins in
the Woodward Stakes (G1) and Las Vegas Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1). He finished
second in the Whitney Stakes (G1).
Lynn’s Map has a D Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile® but his Behavior
Index
potentially makes him competitive in this race. Mr. Monomoy, who finished second
to Lynn’s Map in his last race, recently finished third in the LeComte Stakes
(G3).
SHOPLIFTED (3-1) is also trained by Asmussen. He comes into
this race with a 2-1-0 record in 5 starts including a win in the Remington
Springboard Mile. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:
SHOPLIFTED
allowed to settled while three wide on the backstretch, rallied four wide on
the far turn then was in a log drive and dug in and proved best in the end.
Shoplifted
tracked the leaders to the far turn and made his move in the stretch to win by
a narrow head over Answer In.
Into Mischief, the sire of Audible, was a precocious colt and
multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a 3-3-0 record in six starts with
$597,080 in career earnings.
As
a two-year-old, Into Mischief easily won his maiden debut by 2½ lengths at
Santa Anita Park on October 21, 2007. He went on to finish second in the
Hollywood Prevue Stakes (G3) and followed that with a win in the 8½-furlong
CashCall Futurity (G1). His finish time of 1:40.82 was just a few ticks off of
the record time of 1:40.74 set by Afternoon Deelites and the second fastest time of 1:40.78 set by Valiant Nature.
In
his debut as a three-year-old in February 2008, Into Mischief finished second
to Georgie Boy in the San Vicente Stakes (G2).
He came out of that race with an injury to his right-hind foot and he
was taken off the Triple Crown Trail.
After
an extended break, Into Mischief returned to racing in October winning the
Damascus Stakes by two lengths. In December, Into Mischief finished his racing
season with a second-place finish in the Malibu Stakes (G1).
Into
Mischief’s best runners on the Kentucky Derby Trail have been Audible, Goldencents, Practical Joke, Vyjack and Vicar’s in Trouble. Audible won the Holy Bull Stakes (G2) and Florida
Derby (G1) en route to a third-place finish in the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Goldencents won the Santa Anita Derby and finished 17th in the
Kentucky Derby (G1). Practical Joke finished second in the Toyota Blue Grass
Stakes (G2) and fifth in the Derby. Vyjack finished third in the Wood Memorial
Stakes (G1) and 18th in the Derby. Vicar’s in Trouble won the
Louisiana Derby and finished 19th in the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Harlan’s Holiday, the grandsire of Audible, won the Florida Derby
(G1), Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G1) and finished seventh in the Kentucky Derby
(G1).
Shoplifted
has a low H Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® but
his Behavior Index potentially
makes him competitive in this race. He’s been training well and has room
to improve in his first start of the season.
Honorable
mention goes to Lykan (20-1)
and Gold Street (5-1).
Lykan has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® but he’s yet to live up
to his breeding. However, a recent sharp work out could have him ready to take
a big step forward in his first start of the season.
*****
A
total of 35 races comprise the Road to the Kentucky Derby. In addition, there
are seven races on the European road to the Kentucky Derby and there three
races on the Japan road to Derby glory.
2019/2020 KENTUCKY DERBY
LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Storm the Court, 22, Peter Eurton, $1,136,351
2. +Enforceable, 13, Mark
Casse, $264,550
3. Anneau d’Or, 12, Blaine Wright, $381,000
4. Tiz the Law, 12, Barclay Tagg,
$304,100
5. Shoplifted, 10, Steve
Asmussen, $336,000
6. Maxfield, 10, Brendan Walsh, $300,000
7. Eight Rings, 10, Bob Baffert, $200,351
8. Silver Prospector, 10, Steve Asmussen, $197,351
9. Independence Hall, 10, Mike Trombetta, $165,000
10. Shotski, 10, Jeremiah O’Dwyer, $143,466
11. Dennis’ Moment, 10, Dale Romans, $137,800
12. Thousand Words, 10, Bob Baffert, $121,000
13. Authentic, 10, Bob Baffert, $60,000
14. +Scabbard, 6, Eddie Kenneally, $178,000
15. Wrecking Crew, 5, Peter Miller, $293,000
16. Ajaaweed, 5, Kiaran McLaughlin, $75,000
17. Finnick the Fierce, 5, Rey Hernandez, $66,200
18. Green Light Go, 4, Jimmy Jerkens, $210,000
19. Gouverneur Morris, 4, Todd Pletcher, $100,000
20. Answer In, 4, Brad Cox, $80,000
23. +Azul Coast, 4, Bob Baffert, $20,000
+ = Enforceable
(Hip 76), Scabbard
(Hip
802) and Azul Coast (Hip
1177) were colts we profiled at the 2018
Keeneland September Yearling Sale.
EUROPEAN
ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking,
total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Kameko, 14, Andrew Balding, $192,894
2.
Innisfree (IRE), 14, Aidan O’Brien, $127,856
3.
Victor Ludorum, 10, Andre Fabre, $250,958
4.
Royal Donarch (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $115,813
5.
Alson (GER), 4, J.P. Carvalho, $135,572
6.
Shekhem (IRE), 4, Dermot Weld, $24,068
7.
Year of the Tiger (IRE), 3, Aidan O’Brien $36,086
8.
Armory (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $258,793
9.
Iberia (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $25,389
10.
Gold Maze (GB), 2, Jessica Harrington, $12,034
11.
Mogul (GB), 1, Aidan O’Brien, $111,879
12.
Ecrivain (FR), 1, Carlos Laffon-Parias, $69.202
13.
Camorra (IRE), 1, Ger Lyons, $3,610
JAPAN ROAD LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Vacation (JPN), 20, Kenichi Takatsuki, $499,874
2.
Dieu du Vin (JPN), 10, Yukihiro Kato, $159,609
3.
Iolite (JPN), 8, Yoshinori Muto, $246,008
4.
T’s Dunk (JPN), 4, Takashi Mizuno, $143,414
5.
Shonan Mario (JPN), 4, Shizuya Kato, $96,526
6.
Meisho Tensui (JPN), 2, Katsumi Miani, $255,394
7.
Daimei Corrida (JPN), 2, Naoyuki Morita, $107,736
8.
Aurora Tesoro, 1, Yoshihiro Hatakeyama, $99,395
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