©2018 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
The
Road
to the Kentucky Derby will span two continents this Saturday with
the $300,000 American Pharoah Stakes (G1) at Santa Anita Park and the Juddmonte
Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2) at the Newmarket
Racecourse Rowley
Mile in Suffolk, England. On Sunday, the European road to Derby
glory continues with the Juddmonte Beresford Stakes (Group 2) at Naas
Racecourse in County Kildare, Ireland.
Let’s
look at the American Pharoah Stakes (G1) which is the first Grade One race on
the Kentucky Derby Trail and a Breeders’ Cup “Win and You’re In” Challenge
Race.
Game Winner heads a herd of five as the 6-5
morning line favorite and he comes into this race with a 2-0-0 in two starts including
a win in the Del Mar Futurity (G1) last out for Hall of Fame Trainer Bob
Baffert. Here’s the video
and chart
call of that race:
GAME WINNER bumped
with a rival early, stalked three deep then four wide on the backstretch,
continued outside on the turn and three deep into the stretch and rallied under
left handed urging to the lead in deep stretch to prove best.
Game
Winner stalked the pace and pulled away from pacesetter Rowayton in the stretch to
easily win by 1½ lengths.
Candy
Ride, the sire of Game Winner, was bred in Argentina and
during his racing career he was undefeated in six starts.
In his maiden
debut as a three-year-old, Candy Ride won the Premio El Quimico, a six-furlong
sprint, by 12 lengths. He went on to finish the season with a win in the one-mile
Gran Premio San Isidro (G1) by eight lengths and another win by eight lengths
in the one-mile Joaquin S de Anchorena (G1).
As a four-year-old,
Candy Ride was shipped to America where won his U.S. debut in an 8 ½ furlong
Allowance Optional Claiming race at Hollywood Park on June 7, 2003. A month
later, he ran on the turf winning the 9-furlong American Handicap (G2) and in
August, Candy Ride was able to carry his speed to a 3¼-length victory in the 10-furlong
Pacific Classic Stakes (G1) in a record time of 1:59.11.
Game
Winner has a C Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile® but his Behavior Index makes him competitive
in this race.
A
long shot I like is Jefe (8-1) and he comes
into this race with an 0-1-2 record in three starts for trainer Keith Desormeaux. Here’s the video and chart call of his last race:
JEFE saved ground
stalking the pace, moved up the inside on the second turn, came out into the
stretch and was clearly second best.
Curlin, the sire of Jefe, was an outstanding racehorse that
compiled an 11-2-2 record in 16 career starts with $10,501,800 in career
earnings.
Curlin did not
start as a two-year-old. But, at the age of three, Curlin was 6-1-2 in nine
starts with $5,102,800 in earnings including wins in the Rebel Stakes (G3) and
Arkansas Derby (G2) en route to a third-place finish in the 2007 Kentucky Derby
(G1). He went on to win the Preakness Stakes (G1) and he finished second in the
Belmont Stakes (G1).
Other important
stakes wins include the Breeders'
Cup Classic (G1), Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), twice, Dubai World Cup (G1),
Stephen Foster Handicap (G1), Woodward Stakes (G1), and the UAE Jaguar Trophy
Handicap.
In
six crops as a stallion, Curlin has sired the 2013 Belmont Stakes (G1) winner Palace Malice and the 2016 Preakness Stakes
(G1) winner Exaggerator. In addition, Curlin produced
the classic-placed runners Good Magic (second, 2018 Kentucky Derby), Tenfold (third, 2018 Preakness), Ride On Curlin (second, 2014 Preakness), Keen Ice (third, 2015 Belmont) and Irish
War Cry
(second, 2017 Belmont).
With
an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, Jefe has the breeding to win this
race. But, he’ll need to improve his game and the stretch out in distance could
be a plus in his favor.
Gunmetal Gray (9-5) comes into this race off a
maiden win last out for trainer Jerry Holllendorfer. Here’s the video
and chart call of that race:
GUNMETAL GRAY
stalked inside then a bit off the rail, bid between horses on the backstretch
and outside of a rival on the second turn, took the lead leaving that turn and
drew off inside in the stretch under urging and steady handling late.
Gunmetal
Gray was clearly the best of the eight-horse herd as he pulled away in the stretch
to win by 6¾ lengths.
Exchange Rate, the sire of Gunmetal Gray, was
a graded stakes winner who compiled a 6-2-2 record in 15 starts with $479,803
in career earnings. He fared best mostly in sprint races finishing second in
both the Hollywood Juvenile Championship Stakes (G3) and Best Pal Stakes (G3)
as a two-year-old.
At
the age of three, Exchange Rate was able to stretch out and win the 8½-furlong
Risen Star Stakes (G2) en route to a fourth-place finish in the Louisiana Derby
(G2), a ninth-place finish in the Wood Memorial Stakes (G1) and a 12-place
finish in the Kentucky Derby (G1).
His
only stake win came as a five-year-old in the seven-furlong Tom Fool Handicap
(G2).
Gunmetal
Gray has a low E Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® but his Behavior Index
makes him competitive.
*****
A
total of 35 races comprise the Road to the Kentucky Derby. In addition, there
are seven races on the European road to the Kentucky Derby and there three
races on the Japan road to Derby glory.
2018/2019 KENTUCKY DERBY
LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer
1. Cairo Cat, 10, Ken McPeek
2. Tight Ten, 4, Steve Asmussen
3. Pole Sitter, 2, Brad Cox
4. Tobacco Road, 1, Steve Asmussen
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