©2017 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
The
much anticipated journey on the 2017-2018 Road to the Kentucky Derby begins Saturday at Churchill
Downs with the 36th running of the $150,000 Iroquois Stakes (G3). In
addition to the Japan road to the Derby, Churchill
Downs has also added a European road to Derby glory.
Post
time for the Iroquois is 5:20 p.m. ET., and Hollywood Star, a Thoroughbred Daily News Rising Star, has been tabbed as the 5-2
morning line favorite.
Owned
by Albaugh Family Stables, LLC and trained by Dale Romans, Hollywood Star comes
into this race with a 1-1-0 record in two starts including a second-place
finish in the Saratoga Special Stakes (G2) at Aqueduct on August 13. Here’s the
video and chart call of that race:
HOLLYWOOD STAR
off a step slow albeit without incident, chased two to three wide from near the
rear, began to advance into the turn and came under coaxing three furlongs from
home, spun just off the inside into upper stretch, rallied with good energy to
chase the winner home proving no match for that one on this day while along
clear for the place honors second best.
Hollywood
Star looked good earning his second-place finish in graded stakes competition
and I look for him to improve as the races get longer.
Malibu
Moon, the sire
of Hollywood Star, made only two starts as a two year old, compiling a 1-1-0
record, before a slab fracture ended his racing career.
At
stud, Malibu Moon sired the
2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb. In addition, he’s sired several horses
that have been competitive on the Derby trail such as Gormley, Danzig
Moon, Mr.
Z and Stanford.
Other
nice runners sired by Malibu Moon include Life
At Ten,
Devil May Care, Declan’s
Moon, Ask
the Moon,
Prospective, Kauai
Katie,
Moon Catcher, Moonshine Memories, Ransom the Moon, and Malibu
Mint.
With
an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred
Profile®,
Hollywood Star was a yearling (Hip 395) I liked in session
two at the 2016 Keeneland September Yearling Sale and if he lives up to his
breeding he could be a factor on the Kentucky Derby Trail.
Undefeated
in two starts, The Tabulator (6-1) comes into this race for
trainer Larry Rivelli off of a 2¼ length win in the Prairie Gold Juvenile
Stakes at Prairie Meadows on July 28. Here’s the video
and chart call:
THE TABULATOR
forwardly placed while four wide early, moved closer on the turn, responded
when given his cue nearing the furlong marker and was gradually going away at
the finish.
The
Tabulator showed good speed chasing blistering fractions before taking the lead
in the stretch. If he can carry that speed to a route of ground, then he could
be a factor in this race.
In
his only start as a two year old, The Tabulator’s sire, Dialed
In, won a 6½-furlong
maiden special weight by a half a length at Churchill Downs in November 2010.
As a three year old, Dialed In won the one mile Holy Bull Stakes, finished
second in a 9-furlong Allowance Optional Claiming race at Gulfstream Park, and
won the Florida Derby (G1) by a head over Shackleford en route to an eighth place-finish in
the Kentucky Derby (G1).
On
the Derby Trail, Dialed In’s best runner to date is Gunnevera who won the Saratoga Special Stakes
(G2), Delta Downs Jackpot Stakes (G3), Xpressbet Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2)
and the Tangelo Stakes. In addition, Gunnevera finished second in the Lambholm
South Holy Bull Stakes (G2), third in the Xpressbet Florida Derby (G1) and
second in the Travers Stakes (G1).
The
Tabulator, like Gunnevera, has a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and I
look for him to be competitive.
A
long shot I like in this race is Big
Gemmy (15-1)
who broke his maiden by 3¾ lengths in his second start at Saratoga on August
28. Here’s the video and chart call:
BIG GEMMY broke
out at the start bumping GOLDEN SEAL solidly, chased two to three wide just off
the pace coming under coaxing seven-sixteenths from home, angled out five wide
into upper stretch, rallied to issue a challenge inside the final eighth taking
command just outside the eighth pole, edged clear under a drive to the finish.
Big
Gemmy recovered from the start, chased fast fractions, and showed good
determination to rally for the win.
Gemologist, the sire of Big Gemmy, was a
multiple graded stakes winner who compiled a 5-0-0 record in seven starts with
$794,855 in career earnings.
Undefeated
in his first five starts, Gemologist won the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2)
as a two year old and the Resorts World Casino New York City Wood Memorial
Stakes (G1) at the age of three en route to a 16th place finish in
the 2012 Kentucky Derby (G1).
A
leading first-crop sire in 2016, Gemologist’s best stakes runners to date
include Golden Diamond, Mind
Reader, Rose
to Fame, Xerxes Avenue, Yellow
Agate and Theory.
Big
Gemmy also has a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and I look for him to
be competitive.
Flameaway (4-1) is also undefeated in
two starts and he comes into this race for trainer Mark Casse off of a victory
in the Skidmore Stakes at Saratoga on August 18. Here’s the video and chart call:
FLAMEAWAY bumped
lightly with a rival at the start then dropped back, was urged along off the
pace, went around most of the turn in the two path, dropped to the rail late on
that bend, steadied behind a rival outside the quarter pole, cut the corner
into the stretch, was roused while moving to the two path at the
three-sixteenths, rallied under a right-handed whip, closed well to make a bid
at the sixteenth pole and proved best under good handling.
Flameaway
has a D Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® score so I’ll be watching to see
how well he handles the stretch out in distance.
Scat
Daddy, the
sire of Flameaway, was a multiple graded stakes winner who compiled a 5-1-1
record in nine starts with $1,334,300 in career earnings.
As
a two year old, Scat Daddy was 3-0-1 in five starts with wins in the Sanford
Stakes (G2) and Champagne Stakes (G1), and he finished second in the Hopeful
Stakes (G1).
In
his season debut as a 3-year-old, Scat Daddy finished third in the one mile
Holy Bull Stakes (G3) and followed up with wins in the 9 furlong Fountain of
Youth Stakes (G2) and Florida Derby (G1) in route to a eighteenth-place finish
in the Derby.
His
best runners on the Derby Trail include Daddy Long Legs, Daddy Nose Best, El
Kabeir, Frac
Daddy, Azar and Dice
Flavor who was
my long shot pick to win the 2013 El Camino Real
Derby (G3).
In
the overall Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® ranking, Flameaway has a low
score and is ranked fifth but his Behavior Index potentially moves him into the
top four and makes him competitive in this race.
Honorable
mention goes to Ten City (3-1), who I’m not too keen on
for the win but could figure in the bottom exotics.
*****
This
is the sixth consecutive year for Churchill Downs to use a point system to
determine eligibility to get into the Kentucky Derby starting gate. A total of
36 races comprise the Road to the Kentucky Derby and a significant change to the
schedule is the addition of the Springboard Mile at Remington Park on December
17.
In
addition to the Japan road to the Derby which features
the Cattleya Sho Stakes (November 25), Zen-Nippon Nisai Yushan Stakes (December
13) and Hayacinth Stakes (February 2018), Churchill Downs has added a European road to Derby glory consisting
of seven races: Juddmonte Beresford (September 24), Juddmonte Royal Lodge
(September 30), Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardère (October 1), Racing Post Trophy
(October 28, Road to the Kentucky Derby Condition Stakes (March 1), Patton
(March 2) and the Burradon (March 30).
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