©2017 Calvin L.
Carter. All rights reserved.
Monday,
the Road to the Kentucky Derby takes us to Oaklawn Park in Hot
Springs, Arkansas where Uncontested will go to the starting gate
as the 2-1 morning-line favorite in what appears to be a wide open 10th
running of the $150,000 Smarty Jones Stakes. Most of the horses have yet to
live up to their full potential and they come into this race off of lackluster
performances last time out.
With
a 1-0-0 record in two starts for trainer Wayne Catalano, Uncontested comes into
this race off of a fourth-place finish in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2)
at Churchill Downs last November. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:
UNCONTESTED set
the pace early, shifted into the three path in the far turn and faltered late
in the stretch run.
Uncontested
has a low Classic Champion Thoroughbred
Profile® score
but his Behavior Index makes him competitive and the drop in distance to a mile
should be more to his liking.
Tiz Wonderful, the sire of Uncontested, was a multiple graded
stakes winner that compiled a 3-1-0 record in five starts with $254,672 in
career earnings.
As
a two year old, Tiz Wonderful was undefeated in three starts including wins in
the Iroquois Stakes (G3) and Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2).
Early
in his racing season as a three year old, Tiz Wonderful suffered a minor tendon injury and he was taken out of
contention for the Derby. After his recovery, Tiz Wonderful resumed racing and
finished sixth in the Jim Dandy Stakes (G2) and second in the More Than Ready
Stakes.
Uncontested
should be competitive in this race but I’m not too keen on him for the win.
Two
long shots I like are Unbridled Eagle (8-1) and Love That Lute (20-1). Both have yet to live up to their
potential but if they stake a step forward as a three year old they could,
perhaps, be factors in this race.
Unbridled
Eagle struggled as a two year old compiling a 1-0-1 record in seven starts and
he debuts as a three year old for new trainer Steve Asmussen. With an A Classic
Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, Unbridled Eagle is the best bred horse in this
race and, perhaps, the switch to Asmussen will help him run closer to his
profile score.
Here’s
the video of his last race last November.
To date, his best race was in a seven furlong sprint at Saratoga Racecourse
last November. Here’s the video of that race and here’s a video of his third-place finish on
the turf race at Saratoga.
Mineshaft, the sire of Unbridled Eagle,
was an outstanding route racer who compiled a 10-3-1 record in 18 lifetime starts. He
began his racing career in England at the age of three, winning a maiden weight
for age race at Newmarket. In November, Mineshaft was shipped to America where
he won two more races to close out the season with a 3-1-1 record in nine
starts.
As
a four year old, Mineshaft really proved himself as a champion and compiled a
7-2-0 record in route to earning Horse of the Year and Champion Older Horse
honors. In nine starts, Mineshaft won the New Orleans Handicap (G2), Ben Ali
Stakes (G3), Pimlico Special Handicap (G1), Suburban Handicap (G1), Woodward
Stakes (G1) and the Jockey Club Gold Club Stakes (G1).
Unbridled
Eagle has room to improve in his first start as a three year old and if he runs
close to his profile score he should be competitive in this race.
Love
That Lute comes into this race with a 1-0-0 record in two starts for trainer
Jack Van Berg. Here’s the video and chart call of his last
race:
LOVE THAT LUTE
sent clear to dictate terms, dug in to meet the bid of MOUNTAIN WARRIOR a
furlong out and kicked away.
The
chart call pretty much tells the story of Love That Lute who set fast fractions
to “dictate terms” and lead from gate to wire.
Midnight Lute, the sire of Midnight Hawk, was an Eclipse
champion male sprinter and two-time winner of the Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1).
During his career, Midnight Lute compiled a 6-3-1 record with $2,690,600 in
earnings.
Because
of breathing problems, Midnight Lute was raced mostly in sprint races and it is
unknown if he could have had any classic potential.
Love
That Lute has been training well at Oaklawn Park and he’s the only horse in
this race with a win last out. A repeat of his maiden win performance will make
him competitive in the Smarty Jones Stakes.
Honorable
mention goes to Warrior’s Club (7-2) and Petrov (5-2) who look like they could
be factors in this race.
Warrior’s
Club comes into this race with a 1-1-3 record in seven starts for trainer D.
Wayne Lukas including a third-place finish in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes
(G2). With a sixteenth left in that race, Warrior’s Club eased past Uncontested
and beat him by a head at the wire. Here’s the video of the Jockey Club.
Petrov
comes into this race with a 1-1-0 record in two starts for trainer Ron Moquett
including a second-place finish in the Kings Swan Stakes. Here’s the video of that race.
*****
Under
the points system implemented by Churchill Downs to determine which horses will
qualify to enter the Kentucky Derby starting gate, the winner of the Smarty
Jones will receive 10 points, the second-place finisher will receive 4 points,
the third-place finisher will receive 2 points and the fourth-place finisher
will receive one point. Here’s a look at the current top twenty Derby
qualifiers:
2017 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Classic
Empire, 30, Mark Casse, $1,459,520
2. Gormley, 20,
John Sherriffs, $260,000
3. Practical
Joke, 14, Chad Brown, $690,000
4. Gunnevera, 10,
Antonio Sano, $738,600
5. Lookin At Lee,
10, Steve Asmussen, $275,600
6. Mastery, 10,
Bob Baffert, $240,000
7. Mo Town, 10,
Tony Dutrow, $180,000
8. McCraken, 10,
Ian Wilkes, $165,048
9. El Areeb, 10,
Cathal Lynch, $150,000
10. Wild Shot, 6,
Rusty Arnold, II, $87,200
11. No Dozing, 5,
Arnaud Delacour, $85,000
12. Klimt, 4, Art
Sherman, $380,000
13. Hot Sean, 4,
Bob Baffert, $180,000
14. Dangerfield,
2, Doug O’Neill, $168,500
15. Syndergaard,
4, Todd Pletcher, $160,000
16. Irap, 4, Doug
O’Neill, $60,000
17. Bonus Points,
4, Todd Pletcher, $40,000
18. American
Anthem, 4, Bob Baffert, $20,000
19. Straight
Fire, 2, Keith Desormeaux, $96,000
20. Favorable
Outcome, 2, Chad Brown, $50,345
In
addition to the current top 20, Churchill Downs has partnered with the Japan
Racing Association to feature the Cattleya Sho Stakes and Hayacinth Stakes as
two qualifying races in the Japan Road to the Kentucky
Derby. The
horse with the most points from those races will receive an invitation to
compete in the 2017 Kentucky Derby.
2017 JAPAN ROAD TO KENTUCKY
DERBY LEADERBOARD
Ranking, total points, Trainer,
Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1.
Mont Saint Legame (JPN), 40, Koji Maki, $90,154
2.
Caucus (JPN), 16, Hideaki Fujiwara, $35,850
3.
Blane Eclat, 8, Ryo Takei, $22,340
4.
Lavapies (JPN), 4, Ryuji Okub, $52,163
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