©2014 Calvin L. Carter. All rights
reserved.
The
“Road To The Kentucky Derby” enters the stretch drive this weekend with the UAE
Derby (G1), Florida Derby (G1) and Louisiana Derby (G1) kicking off phase three
of the new scoring system implemented by Churchill Downs to determine which
horses will qualify to enter the Kentucky Derby (G1) starting gate. The winner
of those races will receive 100 points each and it’s “Now or Never” for many of
the horses on the Derby Trail.
Television
coverage of Dubai Racing can be seen Saturday on HRTV and TVG beginning at 9
a.m., ET. You can also watch Dubai Racing online here. Live
coverage of the Florida Derby (G1) and Louisiana Derby (G1) will be broadcast on the NBC Sports Network at
6:30 p.m., ET.
Let’s
take a look at the Florida Derby (G1) at Gulfstream Park.
Cairo Prince, trained by Kiaran McLaughlin, has been tabbed at
the morning-line 9-5 favorite. He comes into the Derby with a 3-1-0 record in four
starts including wins in the Nashua Stakes (G2), Remsen Stakes (G2) and Holy Bull
Stakes (G2) which he won by an impressive 5¾-lengths in January.
Despite
the two-month layoff since his last race, McLaughlin thinks that Cairo Prince
is a “special horse” and you can read more of his comments at the Downey
Profile here.
Cairo
Prince has been training well at the Palm Meadows Training Center and a recent
bullet work could have him ready to run a good race. Cairo Prince looms as the
horse to beat.
A
long shot I like in this race is Spot (8-1) who comes into the Derby
with 2-1-0 record in six starts including a win in the 7-furlong Swale Stakes
(G2) at Gulstream Park earlier this month. The fractions in the Swale were
blistering fast and Spot, who trailed early, looked impressive coming from the
back of the herd to beat No
Nay Never, the 2-5 heavy favorite, by 2½-lengths. Here’s the video
and chart call of Spot’s win in the Swale:
SPOT unhurried
early, swung out for the stretch run, then rallied to take over nearing the
eighth pole and drew clear.
Spot
has the breeding to handle the stretch out to 9-furlongs and Nick Zito, the
trainer of Spot, knows how to get young horses ready for big races. He’s won
the Derby three times with Dialed
In (2011), Ice Box
(2010) and High Fly
(2005).
Spot
could be getting good at the right time of year and a recent bullet work out at
the Palm Meadows Training Center could have him ready to run a good race for a
decent price.
General a Rod (7-2), trained by Michael Maker, and Constitution (4-1), trained by Todd Pletcher, look like they
could be competitive.
General
a Rod comes into the Derby with a 2-2-0 record in four starts including a
narrow loss by a head in the Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) to Wildcat Red (3-1) who’s
also entered in this race. Constitution comes into this race undefeated in two
starts including a 3¼-length win in an optional claiming race at Gulfstream
Park on February 22.
But
another long shot I’m most interested in is East
Hall (20-1)
who comes into this race with a 2-1-4 record in 12 starts for trainer William
Kaplan. East Hall finished third, just 2¼-lengths behind General a Rod and Wildcat
Red, in the one-mile Gulfstream Park Derby on January 1. And in the Fountain of
Youth Stakes (G2) last month, East Hall finished fourth to the dueling Wildcat
Red and General a Rod who covered the 8½-furlongs in a fast time of 1:41.85.
I’m
not so sure that General a Rod and Wildcat Red can carry their speed to
9-furlongs and, if they fade at the end, that could be a good opportunity for
East Hall to figure in the exotics at a nice price.
*****
The
winner of the Florida Derby (G1) will receive 100 points while second place
will yield 40 points, the third-place finisher will receive 20 points and the
fourth-place finisher will receive 10 points. Here’s a look at the current top
20 list:
2014 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD
Individual Leaders ranking,
total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. We Miss Artie, 60, Todd Pletcher, $544,000
2. Samraat, 60, Rick Violette, Jr., $450,000
3. Hoppertunity, 55, Bob
Baffert, $376,000
4. Chitu, 54, Bob Baffert,
$440,000
5. Intense Holiday, 53, Todd
Pletcher, $327,500
6. Midnight Hawk, 52, Bob Baffert, $320,000
7. Wildcat Red,
50, Jose Garrofalo, $410,000
8. Ring Weekend,
50, Graham Motion, $210,000
9. California
Chrome, 50, Art Sherman, $182,250
10. Tapiture, 42, Steve Asmussen, $420,738
11. Albano, 24, Larry Jones, $150,000
11. Uncle Sigh, 24, Gary Contessa, $150,000
13. Vinceremos, 20, Todd Pletcher, $190,000
14. Vicar’s in Trouble, 20, Mike Maker, $160,000
15. General A Rod, 20, Mike Maker, $140,000
16. Ride On Curlin, 15, Billy Gowan, $154,387
17. Havana, 14,
Todd Pletcher, $660,000
18. Cairo Prince,
14, Kiaran McGlaughlin, $470,000
19. Kristo, 14, John Sadler, $56,000
20. Coastline, 13, Mark Casse, $129,679
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