(The preceding story, originally published in
the July/August 2010 issue of HorsePlayer Magazine, has been updated
with current information and statistics.)
Now that the
Triple Crown is over, the next crop of 2-year-old thoroughbreds are ready to
begin racing. Pedigree, of course, is one of the most important tools
handicappers have when wagering on precocious juveniles-it can determine which
horses have the potential to be rising stars and stakes winners.
Not
surprisingly, descendants of the Mr. Prospector
and Northern Dancer sire lines perform extremely well as juveniles, and it
would do the horseplayer some good to pay attention to these pedigrees as the
prestigious 2-year-old races at Del Mar and Saratoga get underway.
Del Mar July 18
to September 5
Del Mar hosts two marquee races for
juvenile colts: the Best Pal Stakes (G2) and Del Mar Futurity (G1).
The Best Pal Stakes (G2) is
eponymously named after the California-bred racehorse, who began racing at two
and had more than $5.6 million in earnings when he retired at the age of eight.
The Best Pal Stakes (G2) produced the 2010 Preakness (G1) winner, Lookin At
Lucky, who also won the 2009 Del Mar Futurity (G1).
Traditionally held on the closing day
of the meet, the Del Mar Futurity (G1) has long been a springboard for top runners.
Del Mar Futurity (GI) winners that became classic champions include:
·
Lookin
At Lucky (Preakness)
·
Silver
Charm (Kentucky Derby, Preakness)
·
Gato
del Sol (Kentucky Derby)
·
Tomy
Lee (Kentucky Derby)
Saratoga July
20 to September 3
Saratoga hosts
the Sanford Stakes (G2), Saratoga Special Stakes (G2), and Three Chimneys
Hopeful Stakes (G1) - all prestigious races in their own right.
Sanford Stakes (G2) winners that went
on to become classic champions include:
·
Affirmed
(Triple Crown winner)
·
Secretariat
(Triple Crown winner)
·
Afleet
Alex [Preakness, Belmont)
·
Regret
(Kentucky Derby)
·
Vagrant
(Kentucky Derby)
·
Spendthrift
(Belmont)
Saratoga Special Stakes (G2) winners
that became classic champions include:
·
Union
Rags (Belmont)
·
Whirlaway
(Triple Crown winner)
·
Morvich
(Kentucky Derby)
·
Regret
(Kentucky Derby)
·
Swale
(Kentucky Derby, Belmont)
·
Bold
Forbes (Kentucky Derby, Belmont)
·
Native
Dancer [Preakness, Belmont)
·
Bimelech
[Preakness, Belmont)
·
Conquistador
Cielo (Belmont)
·
Blue
Larkspur (Belmont)
·
Colin
(Belmont)
·
Summer
Squall (Preakness)
Three
Chimneys Hopeful Stakes (GI) winners that became classic champions include:
·
Affirmed
(Triple Crown winner)
·
Secretariat
(Triple Crown winner)
·
Whirlaway
(Triple Crown winner)
·
Foolish
Pleasure (Kentucky Derby)
·
Morvich
(Kentucky Derby)
·
Regret
(Kentucky Derby)
·
Ben
Ali (Kentucky
Derby)
·
Afleet
Alex (Preakness, Belmont)
·
Man
O'War (Preakness, Belmont)
·
Native
Dancer [Preakness, Belmont)
·
Nashua
(Preakness, Belmont)
·
Bimelech
(Preakness, Belmont)
·
Needles
(Kentucky Derby, Belmont)
·
Middle
Ground (Kentucky Derby, Belmont)
·
Zev
(Kentucky Derby, Belmont)
·
Jaipur
(Belmont)
·
Peter
Pan (Belmont)
·
Summer
Squall [Preakness}.
Sire
Lines for the Last Seven Key 2-Year-Old Stakes
Sanford Stakes
(G2), $200,000, 6-furlongs, July 22
Year-Horse, Sire,
Sire Line
2011-Overdriven,
Tale Of The Cat, Northern Dancer
2010-Maybesomaybenot,
Sunday Break, Mr. Prospector
2009-Backtalk,
Smarty Jones, Mr. Prospector
2008-Desert
Party, Street Cry, Mr. Prospector
2007-Ready’s
Image, More Than Ready, Nasrullah
2006-Scat
Daddy, Johannesburg, Northern Dancer
Note:
In 2005, the Sanford Stakes (G2) was not run.
Best Pal Stakes
(G2), $150,000, 6½-furlongs, August 5
Year-Horse, Sire,
Sire Line
2011-Creative
Cause, Giant’s Causeway, Northern Dancer
2010-J
P’s Gusto, Successful Appeal, Man o’ War
2009-Lookin
At Lucky, Smart Strike, Mr. Prospector
2008-Azul
Leon, Lion Heart, Northern Dancer
2007-Salute
The Sarge, Forest Wildcat, Northern Dancer
2006-Principle
Secret, Sea Of Secrets, Northern Dancer
2005-What
A Song, Songandaprayer, Mr. Prospector
Saratoga Special
(G2), $200,000, 6½-furlongs, August 12
Year-Horse, Sire,
Sire Line
2011-Union
Rags, Dixie Union, Northern Dancer
2010-Kantharos,
Lion Heart, Northern Dancer
2009-D’
Funnybone, D’ Wildcat, Northern Dancer
2008-Run
Away and Hide, City Zip, Mr. Prospector
2007-Kodiak
Kowboy, Posse, Northern Dancer
2006-Chace
City, Carson City, Mr. Prospector
2005-Henny
Hughes, Hennessy, Northern Dancer
Three Chimney’s
Hopeful (G1), $300,000, 7-furlongs, September 3
Year-Horse, Sire,
Sire Line
2011-Currency
Swap, High Cotton, Northern Dancer
2010-Boys
At Tosconova, Officer, Man o’ War
2009-Dublin,
Afleet Alex, Mr. Prospector
2008-Vineyard
Haven, Lido Palace, Mr. Prospector
2007-Majestic
Warrior, A. P. Indy, Bold Ruler
2006-Circular
Quay, Thunder Gulch, Mr. Prospector
2005-First
Samurai, Giant’s Causeway, Northern Dancer
Del Mar Futurity
(G1), $300,000, 7-furlongs, September 5
Year-Horse, Sire,
Sire Line
2011-Drill,
Lawyer Ron, Northern Dancer
2010-J
P’s Gusto, Successful Appeal, Man o’ War
2009-Lookin
At Lucky, Smart Strike, Mr. Prospector
2008-Midshipman,
Unbridled’s Song, Mr. Prospector
2007-Georgie
Boy, Tribal Rule, Northern Dancer
2006-Horse
Greeley, Mr. Greeley, Mr. Prospector
2005-Stevie
Wonderboy, Stephen Got Even, Bold Ruler
In
the past seven years, of the 35 key 2-year-old stakes races at Del Mar and
Saratoga, 15 races have been won by sire-line descendants of Northern Dancer;
the Mr. Prospector sire line produced 13 winners; the Man o’ War sire line
produced three winners; the Bold Ruler sire line produced two winners and the
Nasrullah sire line produced one winner.
Hi Calvin,
ReplyDeleteAs we look towards another summer of debutantes, and study the bloodlines trying to eke out any potential stars emerging, do you have any details on this years progeny specifically, and names and trainers that we should be keeping an eye out for?? Is there some form of service that lists the offspring of prominent sires that are now 2yo and tracking of who those horses are, names and where they are currently stabled?? I would really love to get in some early research and am looking for resources.
Hi Calvin,
ReplyDeleteMy research comment above is from Julius in CA but posted as anonymous as I could not find another working profile...sorry.
Julius Orth
Julius,
ReplyDeleteI begin researching the young colts at this time of year and there are several sources where you can find free information about young Thoroughbreds.
Here is a list of links:
http://lyricalshadow.blogspot.com/2012/07/2-year-olds-to-watch_18.html
http://ironmaidensthoroughbreds.blogspot.com/2012/07/kiddie-list-tomorrow-and-thursday-we.html
http://www.horseracingnation.com/p/c/kentucky_derby_2013_contenders
http://cs.bloodhorse.com/blogs/maidenwatch/
If you want to explore on your own, you can search for offspring of sires on pedigree.com. For example, type in name of sire like Empire Maker. When his pedigree comes up, click on reports on far left side and then click on progeny and you will get a list of his offspring. You can click on the headings at the top – Horse, Color, Sex, Year, Dam, BM Sire, Earnings, Family – and it will reorganize those categories.
http://www.pedigreequery.com/progeny/empire+maker
As the season progresses, I write about the young colts I like when they run in an important stakes races.
I hope this listing helps. Thanks for following my blog.
Hi Calvin,
ReplyDeleteUpon finishing your blog, I naturally had to look up some of the horses mentioned.You always inspire a history lesson. lol.
I knew of the Best Pal stakes, but was unfamiliar with the accomplishments of the horse it was named after.
An interesting pedigree (Princequillo on both sides!)Trying to find video on youtube of him, so far only found the Hollywood Futurity 1990 and the BC classic in 93. He had quite an impressive racing career til the age of 8.
Good to see Mr. Prospector still going strong in his influence. As always, thanks for passing on your research!
Sharon,
ReplyDeleteThanks for the kind words and thanks for following my blog. Interesting that you mention Princequillo as I've been doing some research on his line.