Brethren is a young colt I’ve been following since last summer. I wrote about him in my 2011 Kentucky Derby Outlook and my blog about the Importance of Dam Lines.
Needless to say, I, along with many others, was disappointed in his Tampa Bay Derby performance. With these light racing schedules it is difficult to measure the depth of talent of these young colts and I don’t, yet, know what to make of Brethren.
Brethren is talented and he has a nice pedigree but he was never challenged in his previous three races and when challenged at the top of the stretch in the Tampa Bay Derby he eventually folded in the final strides and dropped back to third place, 3 ¼ - lengths off of winner Watch Me Go.
On paper, this year’s Derby is very similar to last year’s where Brethren’s half-brother Super Saver, also with Ramon Dominguez in the saddle, set the fractions and finished third one-half length behind winner Odysseus.
Here are Super Saver’s fractions:
23:52, 47:02, 1:11.74, 1:37.42, 1:44.31
Brethren’s fractions:
23.98, 48.20, 1:12.60, 1:37.10, 1:44.85
Super Saver made his 3-year-old debut in the Tampa Bay Derby which was his fifth race and third graded stakes race. The Tampa Bay Derby was Brethren’s fourth race and his second race in graded stakes competition.
So is Brethren’s performance due to lack of seasoning? Maybe. I just don’t know, though, if Brethren has the same “will to win” as that of his half-brother Super Saver – only time will tell that story.
In my Kentucky Derby blog Super Saver was one of my top picks and I wrote that he had the “will to win” as it was evident in the tenacious performance of his last three races leading up to the Derby.
My friend Kerry Thomas, founder of the Thomas Herding Technique, knows how important it is for a horse to have the “will to win.” He has written numerous articles about Emotional Conformation and the importance of a horse to stay focused during a race.
Here’s an excerpt from his most recent article Discovering The Communicated Equine where Kerry writes about the importance of focus and Efficiency of Motion in the equine athlete:
You don’t want your horse, while running in a race, to react in a way that will compromise its speed and pace and, likewise, you don’t want the ability of a dressage horse to transition from motion to motion to be compromised either. Like the lead horse in the wild, if for some reason your high end equine athlete feels threatened during a competition, for reasons of survival, it will seek safety and withdraw, like a horse melting away from the lead on the racetrack. This is why it so vitally important to nurture mental fitness in high end horses so that they have a sense of anticipation ahead of them, taking the lead and staying on the lead because they're dynamic of intent is to influence what is "just around the bend" (see Training Efficiency of Motion article).
To train for Efficiency of Motion you need to coach, train the horse to anticipate intent. The highest levels of coaching the athlete forward mentally lie within the area of nurturing the high level horse’s ability to anticipate. That can only be accomplished within communication dynamics of the horses in your stable. Without that training, the horses will frequently perform in an inconsistent manner.
Breeding for mental soundness should be one of the primary goals if one hopes to produce a high quality equine athlete. Emotional Conformation trumps physical ability because character traits are what separate herd dynamics within the group – not physical ability.
I haven’t given up on Brethren but he will need to make a big move forward in his next race. As we draw closer to the Derby the picture should become clear as to the depth of talent for all of these young colts.
"To train for Efficiency of Motion you need to coach, train the horse to anticipate intent. The highest levels of coaching the athlete forward mentally lie within the area of nurturing the high level horse’s ability to anticipate. That can only be accomplished within communication dynamics of the horses in your stable. Without that training, the horses will frequently perform in an inconsistent manner."
ReplyDeleteMr. Thomas is certainly a timely writer. I wonder if the Super Saver, Brethren and the Uncle Mo brain trust have read this important contribution. I doubt they have. The two brothers seem to fall into the inconsistent area. For Brethren this might work out if he follows Super Saver's game plan. I say Super Saver's game plan because these horses are running to their own levels of coaching.
Uncle Mo is being left to his own devices [as was Big Brown] with the exception of race selection. The Timely Writer did not move this horse forward mentally. Brethren gained more in defeat. Mo should have run in the Tampa Bay Derby and both horses would be moving ahead.
Uncle Mo is mirroring the Big Brown path to a wreck. The coaching and nurturing for the unexpected is missing and as long as everything goes perfectly he may well win the Ky. Derby. One of those West Coast rough and tumble types might disturb perfect. Opens the door for your Brethren colt. Bob Bright
Mr. Bright,
ReplyDeleteThank you for the kind words. Give me a call anytime or email me; would relish the opportunity to get to know you and talk going forward.
Sincerely,
KMT
Bob Bright,
ReplyDeleteMr. Bright thank you for the excellent commentary.
I agree that Brethren may have got the most out of his race. If he has heart, if he has the "will to win" then maybe he'll run better next time out. Time will tell.
I'm hoping Brethren will improve next out, he had a terrible ride by Ramon Dominguez being sent to the lead that early. It completely killed his closing punch. Hopefully we'll see him rating off the pace int he Arkansas Derby.
ReplyDelete@Bob Bright - Uncle Mo has a very solid 2-year-old foundation to fall back on unlike Big Brown and is facing a far more talented crop. I don't care for the easy Kentucky Derby prep schedule but I think he's still going to come out on top.
Brian, Your right, but the style of his 4 races are the same. Uncle Mo has yet to be in a scrap.
ReplyDeleteHis tainer will take the safe route to the Derby. He will either win like "Big Brown" or wait for other horses to loose and he will show up first.
What I was eluding to, if the Baffert speedster "The Factor" wins The Rebel, on to the SA Derby or Ark Derby and then he will create allot of problems for everybody in the Derby. Mo will not have been in that sort of gang fight.
If "The Factor" holds his form thru 9 panels then the pucker factor in the Mo camp will max out.
Anyway it is just horse racing and we will have fun. Right Brian
Have you ever heard the term, Full Chat, well get ready. Bob Bright