Friday, April 5, 2019

Wood Memorial Stakes Racing Roundup



This Saturday, from coast-to-coast, the Road to the Kentucky Derby enters the stretch drive with three marquee races on tap at New York, Kentucky and California. Winners of those races will each receive 100 qualifying points and a guaranteed spot in the Derby starting gate on the first Saturday in May.
At Aqueduct Racecourse in New York, TACITUS has been tabbed as the 5-2 morning-line favorite in the 95th running of the $750,000 Wood Memorial Stakes (G2). Post Time is 6:00 p.m.
Tacitus comes into this race with a 2-0-0 record in three starts for trainer Bill Mott including a win in the Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (G2). Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

TACITUS raced three wide early, settled off the pace, off the rail, moved up two wide on the far turn, raced between horses turning for home, rallied in the two path in the stretch, gained the lead near the sixteenth pole and moved clear under urging.

Tacitus looked good in his debut as a three year old to get by on the rail and and win his first graded stakes race by 1¼ lengths.
Tapit, the sire of Tacitus, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a 3-0-0 record in six starts with $557,300 in career earnings.
As a two-year-old, Tapit was undefeated in two starts including a win in the Laurel Futurity (G3).  Tapit was troubled by a lung infection for much of his three-year-old season but he did win the nine-furlong Wood Memorial Stakes (G1) in route to a ninth-place finish in the 2004 Kentucky Derby.
At stud, Tapit has sired numerous graded stakes winners including the Belmont Stakes (G1) champions Tapwrit (2017), Creator (2016) and Tonalist (2014).
Tacitus has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s the best-bred horse in this herd of runner. Tacitus has room to improve in his second start of the season and I look for him to run a good race.
TAX (9-2) comes into this race with a 2-1-1 record in four starts including a win in the Withers Stakes (G3) last out. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

TAX stumbled at the start and came under coaxing to be forwardly placed along the inside through the first turn and into the backstretch, tracked in the loose pocket patiently handled until placed to coaxing three furlongs from home, spun just off the inside in upper stretch, got forced to be taken in hand and paused at the three-sixteenths when placed in tight inside as NOT THAT BRADY drifted in, had that rival be corrected outwards and rallied up the inside to take narrow command a furlong out, dug in under threat from a pair through to the finish and repelled the duo gamely on the wire.

Tax looked good in his first start of the season to squeeze through on the rail and best Not That Brady by a head and the finish.
Arch, the sire of Tax, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a 5-1-0 record in seven starts with $480,969 in career earnings.
Arch made only one start as a two-year-old easily winning a maiden special weight at Keeneland in October 1997. As a three-year-old, Arch won an allowance race at Keeneland in April 1998 and compiled a 4-1-0 record in six starts including wins in the 10-furlong Super Derby (G1) and the 9½-furlong Fayette Breeders' Cup Stakes (G3).
Arch passed away in 2016 and as a stallion, his best runners include: Instilled Regard, Nyaleti, Arklow, Blame, Grand Arch, Arravale, Hymn Book, Art Trader, Les Arcs, Archarcharch and Pine Island.
Tax has an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s the second best-bred horse in this herd of seven runners. I look for him to improve in his second start of the season.
OUTSHINE (6-1) comes into this race for trainer Todd Pletcher with a 2-1-0 record in four starts including a second-place finish to Tacitus in the Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (G2). Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

OUTSHINE settled into stride racing well off the early pacesetters, advanced into contention on the far turn, rallied four wide into the stretch, dug in gamely in the stretch drive and closed steadily to earn the place award.

Outshine tracked the leaders in third and passed them in the stretch but was no match for the winner Tacitus and settled for second-place honors.
Malibu Moon, the sire of Outshine, made only two starts as a two year old, compiling a 1-1-0 record, before a slab fracture ended his racing career.
At stud, Malibu Moon sired the 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb. In addition, he’s sired several horses that have been competitive on the Derby trail such as Gormley, Danzig Moon, Mr. Z and Stanford. Other nice runners sired by Malibu Moon include Life At Ten, Devil May Care, Declan’s Moon, Ask the Moon, Prospective, Kauai Katie, Moon Catcher, Moonshine Memories, Ransom the Moon, and Malibu Mint.
Outshine has a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s ranked third in the herd of runners. He’s been training well and a recent bullet work out could have him ready to run a good race.
FINAL JEOPARDY (8-1) comes into this race with a 2-0-1 record in three starts for trainer Jason Servis including a win last out in an Allowance Optional Claiming race. Here’s the video and chart call:

FINAL JEOPARDY stalked the pace three wide, took over turning for home and went clear, shied out from left-handed pressure in mid-stretch, widened and shifted back inward as the rider switched right handed, and was kept busy.

Final Jeopardy tracked the leaders in third, took command a quarter mile from home, and pulled away in the stretch to win by 3¾ lengths.
Street Sense, the sire of Final Jeopardy, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a 6-4-2 record in 13 starts with $4,383,200 in career earnings.
As a two year old, Street Sense finished third in both the Arlington-Washington Breeders’ Cup Futurity (G3) and the Lane’s End Breeders’ Futurity (G1). He followed that with a win in the 2006 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes (G1) and was tabbed as the Eclipse Champion Two Year Old.
 Street Sense won his season debut as a three year old in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) and finished second in the Blue Grass Stakes (G1) en route to a 2¼ length win over Hard Spun in the 2007 Kentucky Derby.
Final Jeopardy has a C Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and I look for him to run a good race in his second start of the season.
Honorable mention goes to Haikal (7-2), Math Wizard (30-1) and Hoffa’s Union (6-1).


*****

A total of 35 prep races comprise the USA Road to the Kentucky Derby. In addition, there are seven races on the European road and four races on the Japan road to Derby glory.


2019 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Plus Que Parfait, 104, Brendan Walsh, $1,540,400
2. By My Standards, 100, Bret Calhoun, $600,000
3. Maximum Security, 100, Jason Servis, $582,800
4. Code of Honor, 74, Shug McGaughey, $432,070
5. War of Will, 60, Mark Casse, $440,840
6. Long Range Toddy, 53.5, Steve Asmussen, $830,000
7. Cutting Humor, $50, Todd Pletcher, $462,467
8. Haikal, 50, Kiaran McLaughlin, $247,500
9. Tacitus, 50, Bill Mott, $210,000
10. Game Winner, 43, Bob Baffert, $1,610,000
11. Gray Magician, 41, Peter Miller, $526,000
12. Spinoff, 40, Todd Pletcher, $224,000
13. Bodexpress, 40, Gustavo Delgado, $188,000
14. Omaha Beach, 37.5, Richard Mandella, $450,000
15. Bourbon War, 31, Mark Henning, $137,200
16. Anothertwistafate, 30, Blaine Wright, $228,960
17. ++Country House, 30, Bill Mott, $120,000
18. Sueno, 28, Keith Desormeaux, $265,000
19. Improbable, 25, Bob Baffert, $389,520
20. Mucho Gusto, 24, Bob Baffert, $286,800
++ = Profiled as a B yearling at the 2017 Keeneland September sale.


EUROPEAN ROAD LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Royal Marine (IRE), 10, Saeed bin Suroor, $263,370
2. Western Australian (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $59,201
3. Sydney Opera House (GB), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $107,544

Not Triple Crown Nominated
1. Playa Del Puente (IRE), 20, M. Halford, $50,047
2. Jahbath (GB), 20, William Haggas, $0
3. Magna Grecia (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $185,000
4. Mohawk (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $128,702
5. Japan (GB), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $75,316
6. Phoenix of Spain (IRE), 4, Charlie Hill, $157,944
7. Broome (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $140,871
8. Mount Everest (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $24,254
9. Numerian (IRE), 4, Joseph O’Brien, $7,634
10. Target Zone (GB), 4, David Elsworth, $0
11. Van Beethoven, 2, Aidan O’Brien, $114,655
12. Anodor (FR), 2, Freddie Head, $99,215
13. Cape of Good Hope (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $41,515
14. Power of Now (IRE), 2, Michael O’Callaghan, $11,489
15. Chairmanoftheboard (IRE), 2, Michael E. Channon, $693
16. Boitron (FR), 1, Richard Hannon, $44,917
17. Victory Command, (IRE), 1, Mark Johnston, $35,108
18. Circus Maximus (IRE), 1, Aidan O’Brien, $24,368
19. Sovereign (IRE), 1, Aiden O’Brien, $5,106


JAPAN ROAD LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Earnings
1. Master Fencer, 19, Koichi Tsunoda, $168,979
2. Derma Louvre (JPN), 14, Hirofumi Toda, $616,402
3. Romantico (JPN), 1, Kazuo Fujisawa, $101,200

Not Triple Crown Nominated
1. Der Flug (JPN), 40, Nobuhiro Suzuki, $157,187
2. Oval Ace (JPN), 30, Noboru Takagi, $326,720
3. Nova Lenda (JPN), 20, Takashi Saito, $446,285
4. Weitblick (JPN), 12, Shoichiro Wada, $195,593
5. f-Make Happy, 12, Koichi Shinkai, $184,181
6. Rhein Carina, 8, Yoshinori Muto, $211,813
7. Black Warrior, 4, Masayuki Nishimura, $254,305
8. Gal Vihara, 4, Kiyoshi Hagiwara, $216,271
9. Kingen (JPN), 4, Kunihide Matsuda, $97,867
10. Johaan (JPN), 2, Yasuyuki Takahashi, $72,900


Thursday, April 4, 2019

Santa Anita Derby Racing Roundup



This Saturday, from coast-to-coast, the Road to the Kentucky Derby enters the stretch drive with three marquee races on tap at New York, Kentucky and California. Winners of those races will each receive 100 qualifying points and a guaranteed spot in the Derby starting gate on the first Saturday in May.
At Santa Anita Park in California, GAME WINNER has been tabbed by morning line maker Jon White as the 4-5 favorite in the 83rd running of the $1 million Santa Anita Derby (G1). Post Time is 6:30 p.m.
Game Winner comes into this race for trainer Bob Baffert with a 4-1-0 record in five starts including a second-place finish in the Rebel Stakes (G2). Here’s he video and chart call of that race:

The latter [GAME WINNER] broke inwards bumping JERSEY AGENDA, was quickly collected to gain position between foes in second flight, switched out of close quarters racing through the first turn, commenced a steady four wide advance racing into the far turn, moved up to challenge for command while shifting inwards bumping the winner near the wire and just missed.

Game Winner looked good in his first start of the season to narrowly miss victory over Omaha Beach by a nose.
Candy Ride, the sire of Game Winner, was bred in Argentina and during his racing career he was undefeated in six starts.
In his maiden debut as a three year old, Candy Ride won the Premio El Quimico, a six furlong sprint, by 12 lengths. He went on to finish the season with a win in the one mile Gran Premio San Isidro (G1) by eight lengths and another win by eight lengths in the one mile Joaquin S de Anchorena (G1).
As a four year old, Candy Ride was shipped to America where won his U.S. debut in an 8 ½ furlong Allowance Optional Claiming race at Hollywood Park on June 7, 2003. A month later, he ran on the turf winning the 9 furlong American Handicap (G2) and in August, Candy Ride was able to carry his speed to a 3¼-length victory in the 10 furlong Pacific Classic Stakes (G1) in a record time of 1:59.11.
As a stallion, Candy Ride’s top ten lifetime performers include Gun Runner, Shared Belief, Game Winner, Misremembered, Sidney’s Candy, Leofric, Twirling Candy, Ascend and Capt. Candyman Can.
Game Winner has a C Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and that makes him competitive in this race.
A long shot I like in this race is SYNTHESIS (30-1) who comes into this race for new trainer George Papaprodromou. With a 1-1-4 record in nine starts, Synthesis comes into this race off a fourth-place finish in the San Vicente Stakes (G2). Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

SYNTHESIS settled inside then was taken off the rail to chase the pace, came a bit wide into the stretch and lacked further response.

Synthesis may have not liked the sloppy going and he appeared to be almost jogging around the track.
First Samurai, the sire of Synthesis, was a multiple graded-stakes winner that compiled a 5-1-1 record in eight starts with $915,975 in career earnings.
As a two year old, First Samurai was undefeated in his first four starts with wins in the Hopeful Stakes (G1) and Champagne Stakes (G1). He finished the season with a third-place finish in the Bessemer Trust Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes (G1).
At the age of three, First Samurai finished second in the Hutcheson Stakes (G2) and won the Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2). He followed that with a fifth-place finish in the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G1) where he suffered two broken ribs during an incident in the starting gate and was later taken off the Kentucky Derby trail.
As a stallion, First Samurai’s top lifetime performers include Lea, Justin Philip, Last Gunfighter, Carve, Sharp Samurai, Miss Sky Warrior, Northern Passion, Swift Warrior and Stacked Deck.
Synthesis has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®. He’s the best-bred horse in this herd of runners and he has the breeding to win.
A recent bullet work out with new trainer Papaprodromou could have Synthesis ready to run a good race and, perhaps, upset at a nice price.
ROADSTER (5-2) comes into this race with a 2-0-1 record in three starts for trainer Bob Baffert including a win in an Allowance Optional Claiming race last out. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

ROADSTER three deep into the first turn, stalked outside a rival, bid outside the pacesetter leaving the backstretch and again leaving the second turn, took a short lead into the stretch, inched away mid-stretch and won clear under a couple taps of the whip turned down, some hand urging and a snug hold late.

Roadster looked good in his first start of the season to win by an easy 2½ lengths.
Quality Road, the sire of Roadster, easily won his maiden debut, and only race as a two year old, in November of 2008. In his debut as a three year old, he finished second in an allowance race at Gulfstream Park in January. He followed that in February with a 4¼ length win in the Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) and in March, Quality Road ran to a 1¾ length win over Dunkirk in the Florida Derby (G1).
In late April, Quality Road developed a quarter crack on his right front foot and that prevented him from running in the Kentucky Derby. After a three month break, Quality Road returned to racing to win the Amsterdam Stakes (G2).
Quality Road completed his racing career with wins in the Hal’s Hope Stakes (G3), Donn Handicap (G1), Metropolitan Handicap (G1) and Woodward Stakes (G1). He finished third in the Travers Stakes (G1) and second in both the Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes (G1) and Whitney Handicap (G1). 
Roadster has a D Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and that ranks him fourth in this herd of runners. He has room to improve in his second start of the season and a recent bullet work out could have him ready to run a good race.
Honorable mention goes to Nolo Contesto (6-1).


*****

A total of 35 prep races comprise the USA Road to the Kentucky Derby. In addition, there are seven races on the European road and four races on the Japan road to Derby glory.


2019 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Plus Que Parfait, 104, Brendan Walsh, $1,540,400
2. By My Standards, 100, Bret Calhoun, $600,000
3. Maximum Security, 100, Jason Servis, $582,800
4. Code of Honor, 74, Shug McGaughey, $432,070
5. War of Will, 60, Mark Casse, $440,840
6. Long Range Toddy, 53.5, Steve Asmussen, $830,000
7. Cutting Humor, $50, Todd Pletcher, $462,467
8. Haikal, 50, Kiaran McLaughlin, $247,500
9. Tacitus, 50, Bill Mott, $210,000
10. Game Winner, 43, Bob Baffert, $1,610,000
11. Gray Magician, 41, Peter Miller, $526,000
12. Spinoff, 40, Todd Pletcher, $224,000
13. Bodexpress, 40, Gustavo Delgado, $188,000
14. Omaha Beach, 37.5, Richard Mandella, $450,000
15. Bourbon War, 31, Mark Henning, $137,200
16. Anothertwistafate, 30, Blaine Wright, $228,960
17. ++Country House, 30, Bill Mott, $120,000
18. Sueno, 28, Keith Desormeaux, $265,000
19. Improbable, 25, Bob Baffert, $389,520
20. Mucho Gusto, 24, Bob Baffert, $286,800
++ = Profiled as a B yearling at the 2017 Keeneland September sale.


EUROPEAN ROAD LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Royal Marine (IRE), 10, Saeed bin Suroor, $264,968
2. Magna Grecia (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $185,000
3. Mohawk (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $128,702
4. Japan (GB), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $75,316
5. Phoenix of Spain (IRE), 4, Charlie Hill, $157,944
6. Broome (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $140,871
7. Sydney Opera House (GB), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $40,956
8. Mount Everest (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $24,254
9. Anodor (FR), 2, Freddie Head, $99,215
10. Western Australian (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $43,084
11. Cape of Good Hope (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $41,515
12. Power of Now (IRE), 2, Michael O’Callaghan, $11,489
13. Boitron (FR), 1, Richard Hannon, $44,917
14. Victory Command, (IRE), 1, Mark Johnston, $35,108
15. Circus Maximus (IRE), 1, Aidan O’Brien, $24,368
16. Sovereign (IRE), 1, Aiden O’Brien, $5,106


JAPAN ROAD LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Earnings
1. Nova Lenda (JPN), 20, Takashi Saito, $446,285
2. f-Make Happy, 12, Koichi Shinkai, $184,181
3. Derma Louvre (JPN), 8, Hirofumi Toda, $447,672
4. Gal Vihara, 4, Kiyoshi Hagiwara, $216,271
2. Kingen (JPN), 4, Kunihide Matsuda, $97,867
3. Johaan (JPN), 2, Yasuyuki Takahashi, $72,900
4. Romantico (JPN), 1, Kazuo Fujisawa, $91,245

Blue Grass Stakes Racing Roundup



This Saturday, from coast-to-coast, the Road to the Kentucky Derby enters the stretch drive with three marquee races on tap at New York, Kentucky and California. Winners of those races will each receive 100 qualifying points and a guaranteed spot in the Derby starting gate on the first Saturday in May.
At Keeneland Racecourse in Lexington, Kentucky, VEKOMA has been tabbed as the 9-5 morning-line favorite in the 95th running of the $1 million Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G2). Post Time is 6:23 p.m. ET.
Vekoma comes into this race with a 2-0-1 record in three starts for trainer George Weaver including a third-place finish in the Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2). Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

VEKOMA rated off the clear trio through early stages then picked up the pace at half mile marker, quickly advance on three wide run in final turn then drifted in upper stretch, switched out when urged left handed, appeared all out but continued to try and lasted for a share.

Vekoma is a talented colt and he finished a respectable third in his first start of the season.
Candy Ride, the sire of Vekoma, was bred in Argentina and during his racing career he was undefeated in six starts.
In his maiden debut as a three year old, Candy Ride won the Premio El Quimico, a six furlong sprint, by 12 lengths. He went on to finish the season with a win in the one mile Gran Premio San Isidro (G1) by eight lengths and another win by eight lengths in the one mile Joaquin S de Anchorena (G1).
As a four year old, Candy Ride was shipped to America where won his U.S. debut in an 8 ½ furlong Allowance Optional Claiming race at Hollywood Park on June 7, 2003. A month later, he ran on the turf winning the 9 furlong American Handicap (G2) and in August, Candy Ride was able to carry his speed to a 3¼-length victory in the 10 furlong Pacific Classic Stakes (G1) in a record time of 1:59.11.
As a stallion, Candy Ride’s top ten lifetime performers include Gun Runner, Shared Belief, Game Winner, Misremembered, Sidney’s Candy, Leofric, Twirling Candy, Ascend and Capt. Candyman Can.
Vekoma has a D Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® but his Behavior Index indicates that he could potentially be competitive in this race. However, he was all out in his last race and the stretch out to nine furlongs may not be to his liking.
A long shot I like is SO ALIVE (15-1). He’s a colt we profiled as a yearling (Hip 543) at the 2017 Keeneland September Yearling Sale and he comes into this race with a 2-0-1 record in four starts for trainer Todd Pletcher including a third-place finish in the Same F. Davis Stakes (G3). Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

SO ALIVE was off a bit slow and bumped at the start, outrun early, advanced midway on the far turn, swung wide for the drive, rallied outside and was along for the show spot.

So Alive came from the back of the herd and made up a lot of ground in the stretch to get up for a respectable third-place finish in his second start of the season.
Super Saver, the sire of So Alive, was a multiple graded stakes winner and Classic Champion Thoroughbred that compiled a 3-2-1 record in 10 starts with $1,889,766 in career earnings. In addition, he was my pick to win the 2010 Kentucky Derby.
As a two year old, Super Saver was 2-1-0 in four starts and finished his racing season with a win in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) making him, along with Street Sense and Nyquist, among a select group of two year olds to win a major end-of-year prep race that went on to victory in the Derby.
As a three year old, Super Saver compiled a 1-1-1 record in six starts with a third-place finish in the Tampa Bay Derby (G3) and a gutsy second-place finish to Line of David in the Arkansas Derby (G1) in route to victory in the Kentucky Derby (G1).
As a stallion, Super Saver’s top-five, leading runners include Runhappy, Inside Straight, Competitive Edge, Embellish the Lace and Hedge Fund.
So Alive has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® and he’s a half-brother to Vino Rosso who we also profiled at the 2016 Keeneland September Yearling Sale as a young horse (Hip 528) with stakes potential.
So Alive has been training well and a recent bullet work out could have him ready to take another step forward in his third start of the season.
AQUADINI (30-1) is another long shot I like, and he comes into this race with a 1-1-0 record in four starts for trainer Dallas Steward including a second-place finish last out. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

AQUADINI set the clear pace in the two path, was asked near the five-sixteenths, came under a drive in upper stretch, led until the sixteenth pole but was overtaken while well clear for the place.  

Aquadini led from the start but he could not hold off a fast-closing Courtyard to finish just three quarters of a length shy of victory.
Bernardini did not race as a 2-year-old but at the age of three, he was a fast colt that won races from a mile to 10-furlongs.
He broke his maiden on his second start running a mile at Gulfstream Park in 1:35.57. That’s the kind of time I like to see a young colt run in a mile. Bernardini went on to become a Classic Champion Thoroughbred, compiling a 6-1-0 record in eight starts with $3,060,480 in career earnings.
Notable races won by Bernardini in route to becoming the 2006 Eclipse Champion Three-Year-Old Male include: Withers Stakes (G3, 8-furlongs), Preakness Stakes (G1, 9½-furlongs), Jim Dandy Stakes (G2, 8½ furlongs), Travers Stakes (G1, 10 furlongs), Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes (G1, 10 furlongs) and he finished second, a length behind Invasor, winner of the 2006 Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1, 10 furlongs).
As a stallion, Bernardini’s top ten lifetime performers include Boban (AUS), Cavorting, Stay Thirsty, Alpha, To Honor and Serve, Dame Dorothy, Rachel’s Valentina, Capezzano, Ruud Awakening (AUS) and Angela Renee.
Aquadini did not race as a two-year-old until December but with an A+ Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® he’s the best-bred colt in this race. He’s been training well at Churchill Downs and, in his short racing span, he appears to be an improving colt with the potential to upset at a nice price.
SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN (10-1) come into this race with a 3-2-1 record in seven starts for trainer Michael Maker including a win in the Jeff Ruby Stakes (G3). Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN vied for the lead early on, took over command, was on the inside to the lane then drew clear in the stretch while drifting in and out but was geared down in the final stages.

Somelikeithotbrown soon took the lead and pulled away at the end to win his second graded-stakes race by 3¼ lengths.
Big Brown, the sire of Somelikeithotbrown, was a multiple graded-stakes winner and a dual classic winner of the Kentucky Derby (G1) and Preakness Stakes (G1) that compiled a 7-0-0 record in eight starts with $3,614,500 in career earnings.
As a three year old, Big Brown won the Florida Derby (G1) by an impressive five lengths en route to a 4¾-length win in the Kentucky Derby (G1). He followed that victory with a 5¾ length win in the Preakness Stakes (G1) but did not finish in the Belmont Stakes (G1), ending his contention as a Triple Crown winner.
Big Brown finished the season with wins in the Haskell Invitational Stakes (G1) and Monmouth Stakes.
In addition to Somelikeithotbrown, other leading top performers of Big Brown include Dortmund, Kiss to Remember, Coach Inge and Send It In.
Somelikeithotbrown has a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® but his Behavior Index makes him potentially competitive in this race. Since his off-the-board finish as a two year old, Somelikeithotbrown has never finished worse than third and I look for him to run a good race.
Honorable mention goes to Win Win Win (7-2), Sir Winston (15-1) and Market King (20-1).


*****

A total of 35 prep races comprise the USA Road to the Kentucky Derby. In addition, there are seven races on the European road and four races on the Japan road to Derby glory.


2019 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Plus Que Parfait, 104, Brendan Walsh, $1,540,400
2. By My Standards, 100, Bret Calhoun, $600,000
3. Maximum Security, 100, Jason Servis, $582,800
4. Code of Honor, 74, Shug McGaughey, $432,070
5. War of Will, 60, Mark Casse, $440,840
6. Long Range Toddy, 53.5, Steve Asmussen, $830,000
7. Cutting Humor, $50, Todd Pletcher, $462,467
8. Haikal, 50, Kiaran McLaughlin, $247,500
9. Tacitus, 50, Bill Mott, $210,000
10. Game Winner, 43, Bob Baffert, $1,610,000
11. Gray Magician, 41, Peter Miller, $526,000
12. Spinoff, 40, Todd Pletcher, $224,000
13. Bodexpress, 40, Gustavo Delgado, $188,000
14. Omaha Beach, 37.5, Richard Mandella, $450,000
15. Bourbon War, 31, Mark Henning, $137,200
16. Anothertwistafate, 30, Blaine Wright, $228,960
17. ++Country House, 30, Bill Mott, $120,000
18. Sueno, 28, Keith Desormeaux, $265,000
19. Improbable, 25, Bob Baffert, $389,520
20. Mucho Gusto, 24, Bob Baffert, $286,800
++ = Profiled as a B yearling at the 2017 Keeneland September sale.


EUROPEAN ROAD LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings
1. Royal Marine (IRE), 10, Saeed bin Suroor, $264,968
2. Magna Grecia (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $185,000
3. Mohawk (IRE), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $128,702
4. Japan (GB), 10, Aidan O’Brien, $75,316
5. Phoenix of Spain (IRE), 4, Charlie Hill, $157,944
6. Broome (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $140,871
7. Sydney Opera House (GB), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $40,956
8. Mount Everest (IRE), 4, Aidan O’Brien, $24,254
9. Anodor (FR), 2, Freddie Head, $99,215
10. Western Australian (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $43,084
11. Cape of Good Hope (IRE), 2, Aidan O’Brien, $41,515
12. Power of Now (IRE), 2, Michael O’Callaghan, $11,489
13. Boitron (FR), 1, Richard Hannon, $44,917
14. Victory Command, (IRE), 1, Mark Johnston, $35,108
15. Circus Maximus (IRE), 1, Aidan O’Brien, $24,368
16. Sovereign (IRE), 1, Aiden O’Brien, $5,106


JAPAN ROAD LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Earnings
1. Nova Lenda (JPN), 20, Takashi Saito, $446,285
2. f-Make Happy, 12, Koichi Shinkai, $184,181
3. Derma Louvre (JPN), 8, Hirofumi Toda, $447,672
4. Gal Vihara, 4, Kiyoshi Hagiwara, $216,271
2. Kingen (JPN), 4, Kunihide Matsuda, $97,867
3. Johaan (JPN), 2, Yasuyuki Takahashi, $72,900
4. Romantico (JPN), 1, Kazuo Fujisawa, $91,245