Friday, March 10, 2017

San Felipe Stakes Racing Roundup

©2017 Calvin L. Carter. All rights reserved.

The Road to the Kentucky Derby will log a lot of miles this Saturday with qualifying races in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2) on the east coast and the San Felipe Stakes (G2) on the west coast. At Santa Anita Park, Mastery has been tagged as the 6-5 morning line favorite in what could be a very contentious running of the $400,000 San Felipe Stakes (G2).
Undefeated in three starts, Mastery has not raced since last December and he comes into this race for Hall of Fame Trainer Bob Baffert with wins in the Bob Hope Stakes (G3) and a 7¼ length romp in the Los Alamitos Cash Call Futurity Stakes (G1). Here’s the video and chart call of his last race:

MASTERY had good early speed and dueled outside a rival, was fanned out some into the stretch, inched away under left handed urging then drifted in and drew off under steady handling late.

In his stretch out to a route, Mastery looked good setting racehorse time of 1:35.04 for the mile and 1:41.56 for the finish. Like a lot of horses on the Kentucky Derby Trail, Mastery has a low Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® ranking, however, his Behavior Index makes him competitive.
Candy Ride, the sire of Mastery, was bred in Argentina and during his racing career he was undefeated in six starts.
In his maiden debut as a three year old, Candy Ride won the Premio El Quimico, a six furlong sprint, by 12 lengths. He went on to finish the season with a win in the one mile Gran Premio San Isidro (G1) by eight lengths and another win by eight lengths in the one mile Joaquin S de Anchorena (G1).
As a four year old, Candy Ride was shipped to America where won his U.S. debut in an 8 ½ furlong Allowance Optional Claiming race at Hollywood Park on June 7, 2003. A month later, he ran on the turf winning the 9 furlong American Handicap (G2) and in August, Candy Ride was able to carry his speed to a 3¼-length victory in the 10 furlong Pacific Classic Stakes (G1) in a record time of 1:59.11.
Despite the layoff, Mastery has been training well and two recent bullet work outs could have him ready to run a good race in his debut as a three year old.
Gormley (9-5) is a young colt I liked early on and he was my upset pick in the FrontRunner Stakes (G1). He comes into the San Felipe for trainer John Sherriffs with a 3-0-0 record in four starts, including wins in the FrontRunner and Sham Stakes (G3). Here’s the video and chart call of the Sham:

GORMLEY a bit washy at the gate, was between horses early, stalked off the rail, bid outside the runner-up to duel for the lead, took a short advantage into the stretch, fought back outside that one through a stiff drive and gamely prevailed under urging.

Gormley rebounded nicely from his performance in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes (G1) last November and looked good in his stretch duel with American Anthem to prevail by a head. The fractions were fast and the finish time of 1:35.89 is what I like to see young colts run on the Kentucky Derby Trail.
Malibu Moon, the sire of Gormley, made only two starts as a two year old, compiling a 1-1-0 record, before a slab fracture ended his racing career.
At stud, Malibu Moon sired the 2013 Kentucky Derby winner Orb. In addition, he’s sired several horses that have been competitive on the Derby trail such as Danzig Moon, Mr. Z and Stanford. Other nice runners sired by Malibu Moon include Life At Ten, Devil May Care, Declan’s Moon, Ask the Moon, Prospective, Kauai Katie, Moon Catcher and Malibu Mint.
With an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® Gormley is the best bred colt in this race and he has room to improve in his second start of the season as a three year old.
Iliad (5-2) comes into this race with a 2-0-0 record in three starts including a 3½ length win in the San Vicente Stakes (G2) for new trainer Doug O’Neil. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

ILIAD had speed outside the dueled three deep, battled alongside a rival leaving the turn, took a short lead approaching the stretch, drifted to the inside in upper stretch, inched away in mid-stretch and won clear under urging.

Iliad also has a low Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® ranking but his Behavior Index makes him competitive.
Ghostzapper, a 2012 Hall of Fame inductee and the sire of Iliad, and McCraken, was an incredibly talented, multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a 9-0-1 record in 11 starts with $3,466,120 in career earnings.
As a two year old, Ghostzapper won his maiden special weight debut by nine lengths and was 1-0-0 in two starts. At the age of three, Ghostzapper won the Vosburgh Stakes (G1) and finished third in the King’s Bishop (G1), compiling a 3-0-1 record in four starts.
As a four year old, Ghostzapper was undefeated in four starts winning the Tom Fool Handicap (G2), Philip H. Iselin Breeders’ Cup Handicap (G3), Woodward Stakes (G1) and the Breeders’ Cup Classic Powered by Dodge (G1). In addition, Ghostzapper was selected as the 2004 Eclipse Horse of the Year and Eclipse Champion Older Horse.
In his only start as a five year old, Ghostzapper was a 6¼ length winner of the one mile Metropolitan Handicap (G1).
Iliad has been training well and a recent bullet work out could have him ready to run a good race in his stretch out to a route of ground.


*****

Under the points system implemented by Churchill Downs to determine which horses will qualify to enter the Kentucky Derby starting gate, the winner of the San Felipe Stakes (G2) will receive 50 points, the second-place finisher will receive 20 points, the third-place finisher will receive 10 points and the fourth-place finisher will receive five points.
Beginning with the UAE Derby (G2) and Louisiana Derby (G2) on March 25, the points will increase to 100 points for the winner, 40 points for second place, 20 points for third and 10 points for fourth place.
Here’s a look at the current top twenty Derby qualifiers:

2017 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings

1. Gunnevera, 64, Antonio Sano, $1,042,800
2. J Boys Echo, 53, Dale Romans, $255,000
3. Girvin, 50, Joe Sharp, $249,800
4. Practical Joke, 34, Chad Brown, $766,000
5. Classic Empire, 32, Mark Casse, $1,493,820
6. El Areeb, 30, Cathal Lynch, $330,000
7. Untrapped, 24, Steve Asmussen, $120,000
8. McCraken, 20, Ian Wilkes, $285,048
9. Gormley, 20, John Sherriffs, $260,000
10. Cloud Computing, 20, Chad Brown, $60,000
11. Guest Suite, 15, Neil Howard, $144,040
12. Lookin At Lee, 12, Steve Asmussen, $325,600
13. Uncontested, 11, Wayne Catalano, $100,729
14 One Liner, 10, Todd Pletcher, $300,000
15. Irish War Cry, 10, Graham Motion, $272,660
16. Mastery, 10, Bob Baffert, $240,000
17. Mo Town, 10, Tony Dutrow, $188,000
18. Three Rules, 10, Jose Pinchin, $142,240
19. Royal Mo, 10, John Sherriffs, $90,000
20. Local Hero, 10, Steve Asmussen, $40,000
x-Not This Time, retired to stud at Taylor Made Farm.

In addition to the current top 20, Churchill Downs has partnered with the Japan Racing Association to feature the Cattleya Sho Stakes and Hayacinth Stakes as two qualifying races in the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby. The horse with the most points from those races will receive an invitation to compete in the 2017 Kentucky Derby. Here’s the video of the Cattleya Sho Stakes. Here’s the video of the Hayacinth Stakes.


2017 JAPAN ROAD TO KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings

1. Epicharis (JPN), 50, Kiyoshi Hagiwara, $450,374
2. Mont Saint Legame (JPN), 40, Koji Maki, $90,154
3. Adirato (JPN), 20, Naosuke Sugai, $154,951
4. Caucus (JPN), 16, Hideaki Fujiwara, $35,850
5. Foggy Night (JPN), 5, Noriyuki Hori, $23,801

Tampa Bay Derby Stakes Racing Roundup

©2017 Calvin L. Carter. All rights reserved.

The Road to the Kentucky Derby takes us to Tampa Bay Downs, Saturday, where Tapwrit has been tagged as the 3-1 morning line favorite in the 37th running of the $350,000 Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (G2). Post time for the race is 5:27 p.m. ET.
Tapwrit, ranked 31st in Kentucky Derby Point Standings, comes into this race for trainer Todd Pletcher with a 2-1-0 record in four starts including a win in the Pulpit Stakes and a second-place finish in the Sam F. Davis Stakes (G3). Here’s the video and chart call of the Sam F. Davis:

TAPWRIT raced off the pace, had a ground saving trip, angled out at the furlong marker and finished well for the place award.

Tapwrit finished well and appeared to have more in reserve at the finish.
Tapit, the sire of Tapwrit, was a multiple graded stakes winner that compiled a 3-0-0 record in six starts with $557,300 in career earnings.
As a two year old, Tapit was undefeated in two starts including a win in the Laurel Futurity (G3).  Tapit was troubled by a lung infection for much of his three year old season but he did win the nine-furlong Wood Memorial Stakes (G1) in route to a ninth-place finish in the 2004 Kentucky Derby.
At stud, Tapit has been America’s leading sire for the past three years and he’s the sire of the Belmont Stakes (G1) winners Tonalist and Creator.
With an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® rating Tapwrit is one of the best bred colts in this race and another move forward will make him competitive in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2).
A long shot I like in this race is Tale of Silence (15-1) who comes into the Tampa Bay Derby (G2) with a 1-1-0 record in six starts for trainer Barclay Tagg including a second-place finish in his last start: Here’s the video and chart call:

TALE OF SILENCE veered inward at the start then trailed in the back, saved ground along then began to pick up the pace, came under strong left handed encouragement, quickly kicked in along the rail and produced a solid finish for second best.

The fractions were fast in this race and the strong finish of Tale of Silence indicates that he could like the stretch out in distance in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2).
Tale of the Cat, the sire of Tale of Silence, was a graded stakes winner that compiled a 5-1-2 record in nine starts with $360,900 in career earnings.
As a three year old, Tale of the Cat won the seven-furlong Kings Bishop Stakes (G2) and finished third in the Vosburgh Stakes (G1). At the age of four, Tale of Silence finished second in the nine-furlong Whitney Handicap (G1) and he was third in the Vosburgh Stakes (G1).
Tale of Silence struggled as a two year old but his second-place finish in his last start could indicate that he is improving at the right time of year. With an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® rating he has the breeding to be competitive in this race.
In his last race, Wild Shot (5-1) finished fourth to McCraken in the Sam F. Davis Stakes and he comes into this race for trainer George Arnold with a 1-2-1 record five starts. Here’s the video and chart call of the Sam F. Davis:

WILD SHOT settled three wide off the pace, made a four wide bid on the far turn, dueled into the stretch and weakened.

It appeared that Wild Shot did not really take to the track as he has in previous races. He was only beaten by 3½ lengths and if he can improve off of that he can be a factor in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2).
Trappe Shot, the sire of Wild Shot, raced mostly in sprints from the age of two to four, compiling a 6-2-0 record in 12 starts with $703,884 in career earnings. His best stakes victories were in the six furlong Waldoboro Stakes, True North Handicap (G2) and he did stretch out to win the 8½ furlong Long Branch Stakes. In other route races, Trappe Shote finished second in the nine-furlong Izod Haskell Invitational (G1) and ninth in the Travers Stakes (G1).
To date, Trappe Shot’s best runner on the Kentucky Derby Trail has been My Man Sam who finished second in the nine furlong 2016 Toyota Blue Grass (G1) stakes.
With only one out-of-money finish, Wild Shot is a proven competitor and he also has an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® ranking. However, Wild Shot has yet to fully live up to his breeding and it remains to be seen if he can earn graded stakes honors.
State of Honor (4-1) comes into this race with a 1-2-2 record in eight starts for trainer Mark Casse including a third-place finish in the Sam F. Davis Stakes (G3). Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

STATE OF HONOR set the pace on the inside, dueled on the far turn and dug in gamely inside through the stretch run.

State of Honor should be on or near the lead in the Tampa Bay Derby. However, I’m not keen on him for the win.
Honorable mention goes to Sonic Mule (8-1), No Dozing (6-1) and Beasley (9-2) who will need to improve off their last start in order to secure the win.


*****

Under the points system implemented by Churchill Downs to determine which horses will qualify to enter the Kentucky Derby starting gate, the winner of the Tampa Bay Derby (G2) will receive 50 points, the second-place finisher will receive 20 points, the third-place finisher will receive 10 points and the fourth-place finisher will receive five points.
Beginning with the UAE Derby (G2) and Louisiana Derby (G2) on March 25, the points will increase to 100 points for the winner, 40 points for second place, 20 points for third and 10 points for fourth place.
Here’s a look at the current top twenty Derby qualifiers:

2017 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings

1. Gunnevera, 64, Antonio Sano, $1,042,800
2. J Boys Echo, 53, Dale Romans, $255,000
3. Girvin, 50, Joe Sharp, $249,800
4. Practical Joke, 34, Chad Brown, $766,000
5. Classic Empire, 32, Mark Casse, $1,493,820
6. El Areeb, 30, Cathal Lynch, $330,000
7. Untrapped, 24, Steve Asmussen, $120,000
8. McCraken, 20, Ian Wilkes, $285,048
9. Gormley, 20, John Sherriffs, $260,000
10. Cloud Computing, 20, Chad Brown, $60,000
11. Guest Suite, 15, Neil Howard, $144,040
12. Lookin At Lee, 12, Steve Asmussen, $325,600
13. Uncontested, 11, Wayne Catalano, $100,729
14 One Liner, 10, Todd Pletcher, $300,000
15. Irish War Cry, 10, Graham Motion, $272,660
16. Mastery, 10, Bob Baffert, $240,000
17. Mo Town, 10, Tony Dutrow, $188,000
18. Three Rules, 10, Jose Pinchin, $142,240
19. Royal Mo, 10, John Sherriffs, $90,000
20. Local Hero, 10, Steve Asmussen, $40,000
x-Not This Time, retired to stud at Taylor Made Farm.

In addition to the current top 20, Churchill Downs has partnered with the Japan Racing Association to feature the Cattleya Sho Stakes and Hayacinth Stakes as two qualifying races in the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby. The horse with the most points from those races will receive an invitation to compete in the 2017 Kentucky Derby. Here’s the video of the Cattleya Sho Stakes. Here’s the video of the Hayacinth Stakes.


2017 JAPAN ROAD TO KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings

1. Epicharis (JPN), 50, Kiyoshi Hagiwara, $450,374
2. Mont Saint Legame (JPN), 40, Koji Maki, $90,154
3. Adirato (JPN), 20, Naosuke Sugai, $154,951
4. Caucus (JPN), 16, Hideaki Fujiwara, $35,850
5. Foggy Night (JPN), 5, Noriyuki Hori, $23,801

Friday, March 3, 2017

Gotham Stakes Racing Roundup

©2017 Calvin L. Carter. All rights reserved.

The Road to the Kentucky Derby takes us to Empire State, Saturday, where El Areeb has been tagged as the 6-5 morning line favorite in the 64th running of the $400,000 Gotham Stakes (G3) at Aqueduct Racetrack. Post time is 4:50 p.m. ET.
El Areeb, ranked fourth in the Kentucky Derby point standings, comes into this race for trainer Cathal Lynch with a 4-1-0 record in six starts including an 11-length blowout win in the Jerome Stakes (G3) and a 4¼ length win in the Withers Stakes (G3). Here’s the video and chart call of the Withers:

EL AREEB three wide through the first turn, settled tracking three wide in range of the leader, was patiently handled until nearing the quarter pole, came under urging continuing three wide into upper stretch, rallied to take over command with three sixteenths to go, drew clear under a vigorous hand ride through to the wire.

El Areeb has won his last four races by a combined 29¼ lengths and with an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® he has the breeding to be competitive on the Kentucky Derby Trail.
Exchange Rate, the sire of El Areeb, was a graded stakes winner who compiled a 6-2-2 record in 15 starts with $479,803 in career earnings. He fared best mostly in sprint races finishing second in both the Hollywood Juvenile Championship Stakes (G3) and Best Pal Stakes (G3) as a two year old.
At the age of three, Exchange Rate was able to stretch out and win the 8½-furlong Risen Star Stakes (G2) en route to a fourth-place finish in the Louisiana Derby (G2), a ninth-place finish in the Wood Memorial Stakes (G1) and a 12-place finish in the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Exchange Rate’s only stake win came as a five year old in the seven furlong, Tom Fool Handicap (G2).
El Areeb has been training well and a recent bullet work out could have him ready to run another good race.
J Boys Echo (8-1) comes into this race with a 1-1-1 record in four starts for trainer Dale Romans, including a 5½ length maiden win at Keeneland (video) on October 27 and a third-place finish in the Withers Stakes (G3). Here’s the video and chart call of the Withers:

J BOYS ECHO three wide through the opening bend, settled three to four wide in pursuit from mid pack, came under encouragement at the five-sixteenths, swung four wide at the head of the stretch, offered up a mild kick to procure the show honors.

J Boys Echo was gaining ground at the end but it was too little too late. With an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, J Boys Echo has nice breeding and should have run much better.
When horses like J Boys Echo fail to run close to their Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® score, then the issue[s] preventing them from reaching their full potential needs to be investigated. And there can be many contributing factors for a horse not running to his profile score – Effinex is a good example of that.
Mineshaft, the sire of J Boys Echo, was an outstanding route racer who compiled a 10-3-1 record in 18 lifetime starts. He began his racing career in England at the age of three, winning a maiden weight for age race at Newmarket. In November, Mineshaft was shipped to America where he won two more races to close out the season with a 3-1-1 record in nine starts.
As a four year old, Mineshaft really proved himself as a champion and compiled a 7-2-0 record in route to earning Horse of the Year and Champion Older Horse honors. In nine starts, Mineshaft won the New Orleans Handicap (G2), Ben Ali Stakes (G3), Pimlico Special Handicap (G1), Suburban Handicap (G1), Woodward Stakes (G1) and the Jockey Club Gold Club Stakes (G1).
Jockey Robby Albarado retains the mount and if he can keep J Boys Echo closer to the pace he could finish much better than he did in the Withers.
True Timber (6-1) comes into this race for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin with a 1-1-1 record in four starts including a third-place finish in the Jerome Stakes (G3) and a second-place finish in the Withers Stakes (G3). Here’s the video and chart call of the Withers:

TRUE TIMBER stumbled at the start pecking the ground, came under coaxing to scrape the paint inside of JAIME’S ANGEL and take command into the first turn with seven and a half furlongs to run, settled into a comfortable rhythm showing the way in hand along the inside under the watchful eyes of JAIME’S ANGEL to the outside through sensible splits, began to come under challenge midway through the far turn, came under coaxing at the five-sixteenths, cut the corner into upper stretch under threat, got displaced three-sixteenths from home, ran on to secure the place honors.

True Timber was much more engaged in this race taking the lead at the start but he could not hold off El Areeb who was too dominant. However, with a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® True Timber is a proven, consistent competitor.
Like J Boys Echo, True Timber was also sired by Mineshaft and he has been training well at Belmont. A recent bullet work could have True Timber ready to run a good race.
Cloud Computing (5-1) comes into this race off of a maiden win for trainer Chad Brown. Here’s the video and chart call:

CLOUD COMPUTING off to a stutter step beginning, got checked and pulled off another right afterwards, raced towards the inside down the backstretch, picked up interest leaving the half mile pole, vacated the rail in the vicinity of the five-sixteenths marker without loss of momentum, spun approximately four wide into the stretch and after being set down took off in earnest after the front runners, headed the second-place finishers with a sixteenth or so to go, cemented itself to the front and edged away, kept to urging to the end.

With an A Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, Cloud Computing has the breeding to be competitive in this race and it will be interesting to see if he can step up in class and earn graded stakes honors off of his maiden win.
Honorable mention goes to So Conflated (8-1) and Gaetano (50-1).


*****

Under the points system implemented by Churchill Downs to determine which horses will qualify to enter the Kentucky Derby starting gate, the winner of the Gotham Stakes (G3) will receive 50 points, the second-place finisher will receive 20 points, the third-place finisher will receive 10 points and the fourth-place finisher will receive five points.
Beginning with the UAE Derby (G2) and Louisiana Derby (G2) on March 25, the points will increase to 100 points for the winner, 40 points for second place, 20 points for third and 10 points for fourth place.
Here’s a look at the current top twenty Derby qualifiers:

2017 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings

1. Girvin, 50, Joe Sharp, $249,800
2. Classic Empire, 32, Mark Casse, $1,493,820
3. Untrapped, 24, Steve Asmussen, $120,000
4. El Areeb, 20, Cathal Lynch, $300,000
5. McCraken, 20, Ian Wilkes, $285,048
6. Gormley, 20, John Sherriffs, $260,000
7. Guest Suite, 15, Neil Howard, $144,040
8. Gunnevera, 14, Antonio Sano, $807,200
9. Practical Joke, 14, Chad Brown, $690,000
10. Lookin At Lee, 12, Steve Asmussen, $325,600
11. Uncontested, 11, Wayne Catalano, $100,729
12 One Liner, 10, Todd Pletcher, $300,000
13. Irish War Cry, 10, Graham Motion, $272,660
14. Mastery, 10, Bob Baffert, $240,000
15. Mo Town, 10, Tony Dutrow, $188,000
16. Royal Mo, 10, John Sherriffs, $90,000
17. Local Hero, 10, Steve Asmussen, $40,000
18. Petrov, 8, Ron Moquett, $150,000
19. Irap, 8, Doug O’Neill, $90,000
20. Wild Shot, 7, Rusty Arnold, II, $97,200
x-Not This Time, retired to stud at Taylor Made Farm.

In addition to the current top 20, Churchill Downs has partnered with the Japan Racing Association to feature the Cattleya Sho Stakes and Hayacinth Stakes as two qualifying races in the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby. The horse with the most points from those races will receive an invitation to compete in the 2017 Kentucky Derby. Here’s the video of the Cattleya Sho Stakes. Here’s the video of the Hayacinth Stakes.


2017 JAPAN ROAD TO KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings

1. Epicharis (JPN), 50, Kiyoshi Hagiwara, $450,374
2. Mont Saint Legame (JPN), 40, Koji Maki, $90,154
3. Adirato (JPN), 20, Naosuke Sugai, $154,951
4. Caucus (JPN), 16, Hideaki Fujiwara, $35,850
5. Foggy Night (JPN), 5, Noriyuki Hori, $23,801

Thursday, March 2, 2017

Fountain of Youth Stakes Racing Roundup

©2017 Calvin L. Carter. All rights reserved.

The Road to the Kentucky Derby takes us to sunny Florida, Saturday, where Irish War Cry, winner of the Lambholm South Holy Bull Stakes (G2), will go the starting gate as the mild 5-2 morning-line favorite in the 71st running of $400,000 Xpressbet.com Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) at Gulfstream Park.
Irish War Cry comes into this race for trainer Graham Motion undefeated in three starts including a narrow win by a nose in the Marylander Stakes and a three and three quarter length win in the Holy Bull Stakes (G2). Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

IRISH WAR CRY quickly sprinted clear but stayed well off the rail three wide into the backstretch, remained off the inside around the far turn, lengthened the advantage into the stretch still well out in the track and bounded away while only shown the whip left-handed late.

Irish War Cry was my long shot pick in the Holy Bull and he showed his class to extend his winning streak to three in a row. He showed the same class and grit to prevail over a determined O Dionysius in the Marylander and that foundation should have him prepared for the Fountain of Youth.
Curlin, the sire of Irish War Cry, was an outstanding racehorse that compiled an 11-2-2 record in 16 career starts with $10,501,800 in career earnings.
Curlin did not start as a two year old. But, at the age of three, Curlin was 6-1-2 in nine starts with $5,102,800 in earnings including wins in the Rebel Stakes (G3) and Arkansas Derby (G2) en route to a third-place finish in the 2007 Kentucky Derby (G1). He went on to win the Preakness Stakes (G1) and he finished second in the Belmont Stakes (G1).
Other important stakes wins include the Breeders' Cup Classic (G1), Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), twice, Dubai World Cup (G1), Stephen Foster Handicap (G1), Woodward Stakes (G1), and the UAE Jaguar Trophy Handicap.
With a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile®, Irish War Cry is one of the best bred colts in this race. He has the breeding to be competitive and I look for him to run a good race.
However, Irish War Cry could, perhaps, get some stiff competition from my long shot Lookin for Eight (20-1) who comes into this race off of a maiden win on January 28. Here’s the video and chart call of that win.

LOOKIN FOR EIGHT vied three deep for the early lead, took command leaving the turn without much asking, tapped few times, pulled away to clear lead and finished wrapped up in the end.

The chart call pretty much tells the tale of Lookin for Eight who impressively took command and broke his maiden in his second start.
Lookin at Lucky, the sire of Lookin for Eight, was an exceptional two year old who was undefeated in four starts, including victories in the Best Pal Stakes (G2), Del Mar Futurity (G1) and Norfolk Stakes (G1), before suffering his first loss by a neck to Vale of York in the 2009 Grey Goose Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Stakes (G1).
As a three year old, Lookin at Lucky won the CashCall Futurity (G1), Rebel Stakes (G2) and he finished third in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). Lookin at Lucky finished sixth in the Kentucky Derby and he earned the title Classic Champion Thoroughbred with a three-quarter length victory in the Preakness Stakes (G1).
Lookin for Eight is stepping up in class and stretching out to a route for new trainer Mark Casse. However, with a B Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® he has the breeding to competitive and room to improve in his second start of the season.
Made You Look (10-1) comes into this race for trainer Todd Pletcher with a 3-1-1 record in six starts including a third-place finish in the Kitten’s Joy Stakes. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

MADE YOU LOOK was unhurried two wide after being bumped by CLYDE’S IMAGE at the start, remained reserved toward the rear into the far turn, came three wide at the top of the stretch and had nowhere to go behind and between horses, altered course toward the inside and finished well too late.

Made You Look only lost by one length and, perhaps, if he had clear running room he could have won. The finish time of 1:36.41 is in the neighborhood of what I like to see in young colts on the Derby trail.
More Than Ready, the sire of Made You Look, was a multiple graded-stakes winner that compiled a 7-4-1 record in 17 starts with $1,026,229 in earnings. He won the WHAS-11 Stakes, Flash Stakes, Tremont Stakes (G3), Sanford Stakes (G2), Hutcheson Stakes (G2) and finished second in the Louisiana Derby (G2) and Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G1) in route to a fourth-place finish in the 2000 Kentucky Derby (G1).
At stud, More Than Ready made quite a mark with in Australia with his sons Phelan Ready and Sebring who were champion 2-year-colts with over $2 million in career earnings. Some of his best runners in America have been the turf-sprinter Regally Ready with over $1 million in career earnings and Pluck, winner of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Stakes (G2) and Summer Stakes (G3) with $727,290 in career earnings, and Verrazano.
Made You Look has room to improve in his third start of the season. The jockey switch to John Velazquez and a recent bullet work out could have him ready to run a good race in his debut on the dirt.
Gunnevera (7-2) comes into the race for trainer Antonio Sano with a 3-2-0 record in seven starts including a win in the Delta Downs Jackpot (G3) and a second-place finish in the Holy Bull. Here’s the video and chart call of that race:

GUNNEVERA raced within striking range along the rail to the far turn, steadied attempting to get through inside TALK LOGISTICS with five sixteenths to go and altered course to the outside, rallied willingly into the stretch and would up back toward the rail clearly besting the others.

With a C Classic Champion Thoroughbred Profile® Gunnevera continues to show that he is a competitor on the Derby trail and his rally in the stretch is what I like to see in young colts.
Dialed In, the sire of Gunnevera, won his only start as a two year old – a 6½ furlong maiden special weight by a half a length at Churchill Downs in November 2010. As a three year old, Dialed In won the one mile Holy Bull Stakes, finished second in a 9-furlong Allowance Optional Claiming race at Gulfstream Park, and won the Florida Derby (G1) by a head over Shackleford en route to an eighth place-finish in the Kentucky Derby (G1).
 Gunnevera has been training well and he has room to improve in his second start of the season.
Honorable mention goes to Takaful (12-1), Practical Joke (3-1) and Quinientos (50-1).


*****

Under the points system implemented by Churchill Downs to determine which horses will qualify to enter the Kentucky Derby starting gate, the winner of the Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) will receive 50 points, the second-place finisher will receive 20 points, the third-place finisher will receive 10 points and the fourth-place finisher will receive five points.
Beginning with the UAE Derby (G2) and Louisiana Derby (G2), the points will increase to 100 points for the winner, 40 points for second place, 20 points for third and 10 points for fourth place.
Here’s a look at the current top twenty Derby qualifiers:

2017 KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings

1. Girvin, 50, Joe Sharp, $249,800
2. Classic Empire, 32, Mark Casse, $1,493,820
3. Untrapped, 24, Steve Asmussen, $120,000
4. El Areeb, 20, Cathal Lynch, $300,000
5. McCraken, 20, Ian Wilkes, $285,048
6. Gormley, 20, John Sherriffs, $260,000
7. Guest Suite, 15, Neil Howard, $144,040
8. Gunnevera, 14, Antonio Sano, $807,200
9. Practical Joke, 14, Chad Brown, $690,000
10. Lookin At Lee, 12, Steve Asmussen, $325,600
11. Uncontested, 11, Wayne Catalano, $100,729
12 One Liner, 10, Todd Pletcher, $300,000
13. Irish War Cry, 10, Graham Motion, $272,660
14. Mastery, 10, Bob Baffert, $240,000
15. Mo Town, 10, Tony Dutrow, $188,000
16. Royal Mo, 10, John Sherriffs, $90,000
17. Local Hero, 10, Steve Asmussen, $40,000
18. Petrov, 8, Ron Moquett, $150,000
19. Irap, 8, Doug O’Neill, $90,000
20. Wild Shot, 7, Rusty Arnold, II, $97,200
x-Not This Time, retired to stud at Taylor Made Farm.

In addition to the current top 20, Churchill Downs has partnered with the Japan Racing Association to feature the Cattleya Sho Stakes and Hayacinth Stakes as two qualifying races in the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby. The horse with the most points from those races will receive an invitation to compete in the 2017 Kentucky Derby. Here’s the video of the Cattleya Sho Stakes. Here’s the video of the Hayacinth Stakes.


2017 JAPAN ROAD TO KENTUCKY DERBY LEADERBOARD

Ranking, total points, Trainer, Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings

1. Epicharis (JPN), 50, Kiyoshi Hagiwara, $450,374
2. Mont Saint Legame (JPN), 40, Koji Maki, $90,154
3. Adirato (JPN), 20, Naosuke Sugai, $154,951
4. Caucus (JPN), 16, Hideaki Fujiwara, $35,850
5. Foggy Night (JPN), 5, Noriyuki Hori, $23,801